Page 2 - Turnout Models News Today

And permit. >> thats right. and i have a lot of friends african-american women that actually being -- doing well at c-suite coaches not to just more women in the corporate suite buts are to use the power to be stronger activists and donating in other forms of activism and going back to a point you made earlier about apology. three wimd trained in transcripting one was hill clinton. two african-american women trained me. whats important about what i went through is seeing them in positions of pow...

Early vote and we see this projections of maybe the largest mid-term turnout in 50 years, thats got to be good, but whatever is driving people, its better when people are participating than when they are not. >> yeah, and people certainly engage. i think all of these voter, you know, turnout models and being on the they really want to change the demographics. change the kind of people who turn out. because thats what matters. voter context that youre talking about. the question is like texas, th...

Individual races, theyre very tight. a lot of them are within the margin of error when were talking about the house or senate. you have to look at early voting trends. we have two times as many voters that voted early as the last midterms. thats good for the challenging party. that should be good for the democrats this time around. millennial turnout was soft in 2016. the turnout models were wrong. the people we anticipated showing up on election day didnt all get out. i think thats why were see...

Are still red states a lot of democrat u.s. senators incumbents in trouble and i believe well have an election where republicans pick up votes in the u.s. senate and thats not something we saw president clinton and obama able to achieve in their first midterm. >> celinda what have you seen in terms of that? are you better at that than two years ago, and were looking at these numbers, and thats all weve got here. >> youre ranking the pollsters hard here, but i think we are a better at it. were ca...

Is your polling is really only as good as your turnout models. they might not be reflected in the polls. women are coming out and thats going to help phil bredesen. >> president trump is there no matter what. meaning there is -- its not quite a free vote against him, but there was -- if you voted for hillary clinton, you were never going to get a conservative judge to repolice anton iin scalia. >> there was at least the chance of something. >> this -- you cannot sit this one out and trump will s...

Midterms about which he seems confident. >> i think the republicans are going to do very nicely. were doing very well with the senate. >> when the presidents son-in-law and senior adviser was asked about republicans chances, he was a bit more guarded. >> i dont know. i mean, i see mixed data. the data that we look at shows its all about the turnout. models. so i think people who have different turnout models will show different things. one thing i learned is i wouldnt bet against trump. hes a bl...

Someone he once called the single biggest liar, someone who trump once implied was not sufficiently american due to his foreign birth. but politics makes strange bedfellows. trump has upgraded his nickname for texas senator ted cruz from lyin ted to beautiful ted. just one of many stump speeches the president is making for the midterms about which he seems confident. >> i think the republicans are going to do very nicely. were doing very well with the senate. >> when the presidents son-in-law an...

Over the course of the last two weeks weve seen polls in the states where donald trump won, reddish states in 2016. the statewide races have been going in the republican direction but polls are a lagging indicator. we could see them revert easily. >> the enthusiasm is widened when it comes to democrats and republicans. republicans saw that boost after the kavanaugh hearing, but there still a lot more democrats that say theyre more excited to vote this year than they did in 2014. 2014 was not a g...

Polls. shes using all of his myriad positions on repealing obamacare and some viral clips that exist of him with donald trump, essentially threatening him to try to win the race. youre also right about the rural. they usually only make up about 15%, 18% of the vote. in a low turnout election, theyre so conservative. they love trump. they hate most democrats. that is what could save dean heller. by the way, even though im not with you, you are sitting in the most important swing county in nevada....

>> no, of course not. there is a racial tinge to these remarks of roy moore and how unlikely the turnout models turned out the way they did. yeah. he was an exceptionally flawed candidate and drove these strange turnout models, not election irregularity other than irregular candidate and talking about steve bannon and his role in this and minor and towards the end, thes no person in america more thrilled that steve bannon got involved this case late and allowed the name attached to it than mitch...