Turnout Patterns News Today

we are now just five days to midterms with control of congress on the line. and here are the big named closers on the trail today, president biden flying to new mexico, vice president harris in new york and former president trump in iowa where hes kicking off four rallies in five days. we head to georgia first because power in the senate could come down to this race and the peach state yet again. cnns eva mckend is in atlanta. youve been tracking this key battleground tate for months. ...

speaker. at home were watching a major test of former president trumps influence over the republican party. in the five states where voters are headed to the polls today to vote in primary elections, all eyes will be on the slate of candidates who the former president endorsed and have embraced the big lie that the 2020 election was stolen. will that message resonate with republican primary voters? today will also be a big test for these three house republicans who were among the ten...

On the ballot motivate more democratic voters to get out to the polls. also, youve got the independent voters in kansas who cant vote in either partys primary, but they could go to the polls today and vote in this referendum. how many of them who would have had no interest in voting in one of the partys primaries, how many will show up to vote on this referendum. there are x factors, variables in terms of who is going to make up the electorate in kansas tonight. we could get a little test here o...

There, trump 33%, recall a fraction of a point lower. recall probably needs to be in high 40s in santa barbara to be succeeding. monterey, what happened? donald trump had 28%, recall is running exactly where trump ran with 2/3 of the vote in. monterey last november. same group was counted last november, donald trump running at 25%, then counted more republican friendly same day votes, late mail, and it went up to 28.2%. increased three points. if current yes 28% goes up to 31%, where does it nee...

And this current republican party. but it is where their base is. and, look, i think if we have the 2010 or 2014 electorate, republicans are going to do very well. if we have a different kind of electorate, i think republicans are going to struggle. so those moderate middle of the road voters along with young voters who are turning out at less than half the rate that boomers and the greatest generation voters are turning out at, theyre allowing them to dictate their future if in fact we can have...

And this current republican party. but it is where their base is. and, look, i think if we have the 2010 or 2014 electorate, republicans are going to do very well. if we have a different kind of electorate, i think republicans are going to struggle. so those moderate middle of the road voters along with young voters who are turning out at less than half the rate that boomers and the greatest generation voters are turning out at, theyre allowing them to dictate their future if in fact we can have...

Among african-americans, if it is, jones will lose. will it be low turnout among suburban republicans who normally vote republican, who voted for president trump, but who may be unhappy with judge moore. if so, he will probably lose. we arent going to have a sense of this until late this afternoon. well at least see where the turnout patterns are. >> bill: okay. late this afternoon is that based on exit polling? why do you say that? >> just on raw numbers. who is turning up. you can tell from th...

Down. the tension here is historically republican constituencies vote more in the midterm, older whites than democratic constituents. those democratic landing constituents are extremely negative on trump. whether that changes the historical turnout patterns will help determine who is holding the house in 2018. >> lets move from polls to policies. senator david purdue and tom cotton proposed this immigration overhaul that would slash legal immigration over the next decade by 50% and the white hou...

But ill eat crow. i believe the data. although i thought trump, and i said it publicly in the summer of 2015, could be the republican nominee, i never thought he could pass the threshold of acceptability as president of the united states. i was wrong. the turnout patterns change. i do think comeys announcement on sunday had an impact. and i think that impact was hurtful to clinton. and finally, when you look at this whole thing, hillary clinton was the first democratic candidate for president in...

Ten points on election day to win the state if, indeed, its even close to what the turnout patterns have been. that is almost impossible. that is why you hear him in reno right now. a little earlier complaining about voter fraud and complaining that they kept those polls open so late. they know the score in nevada, chris, and its not good for them. >> im trying to find the quote. i think you were watching this live. it was -- was it the county chairman or the state chairman for the nevada -- >> ...