I have posted several articles on the Black Swan Theory and this link is in response to its application to Lebanon political/social structure https://adonis49.wordpress.com/2011/06/03/is-lebanon-political-system-immune-to-radical-non-violent-revolts-think-again/ Zaher Yahya posted on Huffington Post an article (with slight editing) that is a general “refresher” post on the topic: “The Arab Spring has been described and associated with a variety of symbolic designations. At times, the term describes the series of protests that have swept across the MENA (Middle East and North Africa) region. It may also indicate a person’s political position on the wide and highly polarized spectrum.