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CNNW Inside July 4, 2024

Stand we won a landslide. Pressure mounts before Super Tuesday. Haley makes a last push. None of this is normal trump and biden look toward November Plus family feud. Ive kind of brought back the Nickname House of hypocrites, exclusive details on Speaker Johnson an aid for ukraine its existential, its time sensitive. Im going to be one. But if thats ok. She usually get their way new reporting on the race to lead Senate Republicans i am not Mitch Mcconnell. Im my own person and state of his union, instead of Playing Politics with the issue, why dont we just get together and get it done . A major address biden faces warning sign please understand. Listen to us Inside Politics, the best reporting from inside the Corridors Of Power starts now good morning. Welcome to Inside Politics sunday on a raj, a raft of new polling out this morning gives us a snapshot of where the race for the white house stands eight months before election day. Its clear though momentum is with donald trump and joe biden has his work cut out for him. Now were going to dig into those numbers in just a moment. But trump has his own issues one of them is named nikki haley, who is still in the gop primary and is suing trump, is the gop nominee a major question now, looms how many of haleys supporters will actually come back to trump in november . Will they sit out or will they vote for biden . And with Super Tuesday, just two days away, well get a clear sense of trumps strength within the gop and his weaknesses as a general election candidate and for now, trump is moving closer to clinching the nomination just yesterday, he swept three gop contest held in missouri, idaho, in michigan he now has 247 delegates to nikki haleys 24, 854 more delegates are up for grabs. Tuesday in 15 states and trump needs 1,215 delegates to clinch the nomination altogether. So yesterdays he tried to rally the base and focused on biden, north carolina. Trump made some baseless accusations against the President Bidens conduct on our border is by any definition a conspiracy to overthrow the United States of america. You know, he talks about democracy he is a danger to democracy now, lets out go live to the Campaign Trail in vermont. One of the states voting on Super Tuesday, cnns eva mckend is in south burlington. Were nikki haleys holding a rally this afternoon. So eva is haley giving any signs at this may be the End Of The Road for her mano. She is continuing to keep up the fight here with more than a dozen states up for grabs on Super Tuesday, shes busy crisscrossing the state the country, rather continuing to campaign. Shell be here in vermont later this afternoon. And really key to her argument is electability she continues to argue that in a general election, she would be more competitive against President Biden, then former president donald trump. Shes citing that New York Times poll that just came out that has her beating biden in november by ten points. But you know, i was just with her in michigan and i asked her which state he thought that she could outright win and she did not give me a definitive response still, she says that republican primary voters that they deserve a real choice and that they should not be a coronation. Lets listen ive always said this needs to be competitive as long as we are competitive. Additive, as long as we are showing that there is a place for us, im going to continue to fight. Thats always been the case. Would you see yourself as competitive if you didnt win on Super Tuesday, any state, or usually you all are the ones that decide whats competitive and whats not. Were going to continue to just keep pushing through now also, in that interview, she suggested that she was no longer bound by that rnc pledge. That was a pledge to get on the debate stage that said that whoever won the primary would go on to support and endorse the eventual nominee. She seems to be squiggling out of that a little so interesting point there, but listen the rnc has all but abandoned her the establishment is now squarely behind trump, so that is perhaps why she feels no longer bound to the rnc. She says that the rnc was not the same rnc that they were a year ago. Now, after she campaigns here vermont, she heads to mean and then shes on to texas tomorrow. Mono. Yeah. And she also didnt say if she would stay as a candidate all the way to the election or do convention, or if shell decide to drop out after midweek, therell be a key question. Eva mckend. Thank you. From the report from the Campaign Trail. And now lets break this all down with my great panel this morning. Amy walter of the cook political report. Laura barron lopez from pbs newshour. Newshour. And cnns lauren fox. Good morning to all of you guys as lots of did digest and a lot of polls out this morning, which well get into urine a second, but i just wanted the questions that were going to see and Super Tuesday, trump is you know, if past is prologue, hes probably going to run the table that 15 states that are voting. But haley continues to get a sizable amount of votes, 28 , 26 . Youve gotten michigan, 39 . She got in south carolina. The question is does voters ultimately they come back home to trump in november or do they not argue they set out thats the multibilliondollar question that well be talking about a lot during this Campaign Season one of the polls that came out this weekend was the New York Times sienna poll, which was a National Poll not about these individual states, but what they found when they actually drilled down into haley voters first is that half of her voters voted for biden in 2020. In other words, a lot of these people who are showing up in the polls they are were never interested in voting for trump. But a third of them said they voted for trump in the previous election. And so thats the question is how many do those 30 represent in the key swing state . The balance, then between maybe some of those voters, many of whom were going to see on Super Tuesday are sitting in the kinds of swing suburban areas in and around burlington, vermont, or in the swings tropos had probably right. Richmond, virginia, or in texas in and around the suburbs of dallas, et cetera. But can he he cant afford to lose more support from those types of voters at the same time, what were seeing in a lot of these polls is that biden himself is losing some of his 2020 vote, especially among voters of color. And so do those just ultimately balanced themselves out or 5,000 votes, 10,000 votes here, or there, that in a court will determine the election thats in every close race. That is everything. And as we get into so much is going to be about the Enthusiasm Gap and whether or not biden can reverse this. The polls just show time and time again. Biden has significant work to do just this weekends pull from New York Times sienna poll 48 of trump voters are enthusiastic of his as the nominee, just 23 of biden voters such a significant gap. And then just how people view the Trump Presidency versus the biden present. There has been several polls that have been similar to this as one out this morning from cbs news, yougov saying, how would you rate their presidencies . 46 , say, excellent and good for trump, 53 say fair or poor, just 33 for joe biden. Those if youre in the Biden Campaign headquarters right now, what are you thinking about those and what do you gotta do differently . Well, i mean, theres those numbers clearly arent good for President Biden. But what the campaign will tell us over and over again and what theyre saying despite those numbers is that they really are clean to this theory of the case. That essentially once voters realize that it is definitely a rematch, theres no more nikki haley, and it is donald trump versus joe biden. They believe that they can swing voters towards joe biden because of that contrast, theyre going to draw a contrast on immigration, on democracy, on abortion, on reproductive rights all of that, and that voters just arent tuned in yet. And then whats there once theyre able to do that you know, that they can bring people home. I mean, that being said, a lot of the democrats that i talked to you, i was talking to adam schiff this week as i was in california for the Senate Primary and he said one of his biggest concerns is young voters. So in addition to black and brown voters, which are showing low enthusiasm for President Biden, a lot of democrats are really concerned about young voters not helmed. As we dig into that little bit further here, hes just performed biden is performing worse in the polls than he did in 2020 with those key demographics was black voters, latino voters, young voters. And just in the sienna times sienna poll, voters of color without a college degree, 72 supported biden in 20 47 now, in trump has a 15 point percent increase since then and then women voters 57 of women voters back in 2020, backed biden. That is down 11 points. Now, if you believe the polls trump up slightly, thats got to be alarming to, for the democrat. So youre talking to all the time . Yeah. Exactly. And these democrats view this not just as a referendum on the president ial race. They want joe biden to be reelected for a myriad of reasons, but also for their own races. I mean, when youre talking to adam schiff, hes concerned because he also wants to ensure that he can turn people out, right. And so that is the difficult part of this for so Many Democrats and why so many of them may say, well, im competent. Biden will be able to survive this once it becomes its very clear, its him versus trump, but in this moment theyre also arguing, what if people just stay home . And that is the biggest fear because people stay home a couple of votes here, a couple of votes there. It starts to really add up and make a difference. Everyone voter apathy, Third Party Candidates least so much uncertainty, but youre right. They, they hope that the focus because it will be more the biden team does and trump the things that he says at the rallies that could change how people viewed trump. They believe change, perhaps get people energized and the democratic side, there was last yesterday at one of his rallies in donald trump talked about obama. First, he said that sometimes confuses obama and biden on purpose. He does not intentionally. And then hes sort of confused, biden and obama putin has so little respect for obama that hes starting to throw around the nuclear war terror. You heard that nuclear, he started to talk Nuclear Weapons today i was waiting for that to happen but we have a full a full as a precedent he said he said obama versus biden, and that will bring back the age question and there has been a lot of questions we could focus on bidens age. Hes only four years older than donald trump. Theres a pull up this morning for the wall street journal, r. Biden he didnt in trump too old for president , 73 . Such a huge number, but its been consistent since august of last year, february this year, but this is an interesting 0. 5 more now from then until now, believed that donald trump is too old, that is growing. Yeah. But i still think the biggest challenge for the Biden Campaign right now one of the numbers you put up earlier bad. Do you think the economy was better under donald trump . You think do you think his policies were better . So that nostalgia for the Trump Economy is really the biggest challenge right now. For biden, look, even in 2020, biden didnt win on the issue of the economy. Trump was seen as better able to handle it, but it was by a handful of points. Now, its doubledigit points. When i was talking to democratic strategist who work, especially with latino constituencies and trying to motivate those voters to go and vote for democrats said they are seeing its not just that theyre staying home. That is one worry that they have been they do say over and over again in these polls and focus groups, yeah. Yeah. I had more in my bank account when trump was president , i had more security in my jane thats gonna be the challenge for the biden team, right . They have to be able to find their terms, what the biden of the Trump Economy was once ice and well hear more about that. All right, coming up, Speaker Johnsons under pressure from all sides about what to do about ukraine. My new reporting on the private conversations hes having in the house vegas, the story of sin city, in 98 ten on cnn americas hospitals have been pushed to the brink by broken supply chains, Workforce Shortages and high inflation more than 100 rural hospitals have already closed and many more operate in the red. Now, some in Congress Want to reduce billions of dollars in funds ending for patient care. This will jeopardize Patient Access to quality care, especially in underserved communities. Congress protect Patient Access to 24 7 hospital care everyone. Our mission is to provide complete balanced nutrition for strength and energy. 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Eliot spitzer crusading governor by day, wanted to be present in United States client number nine by nights this guy who is a crusader against Human Sex Trafficking is actually a customer, United States daniel with jake tapper, new episode tonight at nine on cnn Speaker Mike Johnson has derailed the senates bipartisan package that included billions in aid to ukraine. But hes leaving the door open for efforts emerging in the house. My new reporting this morning reveals how Senior Republicans in favor of aid to ukraine, like House Foreign Affairs chairman Michael Mccaul and congressman Brian Fitzpatrick are crafting a new package and have engaged in private talks with the speaker. They believe johnson can be convinced to put that measure on the floor this month or in april they say the speaker has not shut them do

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