desperate to go against the republican district. if they can win, psychologically for them, even more important than one single congressional district which after all is not a harbinger of anything really. i mean you can't extrapolate and and say because they one this one district they're going the take back congress, psychologically it's important for them. >> let's look at this district in terms of the numbers and how much it has swung. in 2012 romney won by 23 points over president obama. then in 2016 trump won by 1.5%. >> right. >> over hillary clinton. so this, it's very very tough to predict. i mean even if you look at all of the soothe sayers, the projections are all over the math. >> the republicans should win because they outnumber the democrats in that district. they've hold it since '79. >> if math works, the republicans should win. >> the other number that is no ?