the stir raves and only 4% say tariffs have influenced their vote at all. >> what mattered is conor lamb. it is not just a magical force of nature kind of thing. it is something that he has gone out and done and courted them. he has run a smart campaign. who runs? >> don't ask me that 20 minutes before the polls close. i will just make a general analytic point. in midterms he could not turn out his base for other democrats. we may see a similar phenomenon with donald trump. can he get them to turn out for someone else? probably not. >> and that is the big question whether these internal polls showing are true or not. that we will find out next.