understatement to say that the climate is trending toward the democrats. numbers quite overwhelming. midterm election, single biggest factor, the president's approval rating, latest poll at 36%. 36% approval with registered voters. he has hovered around 40% throughout the year. most smart republicans tell you that the president must be above 40, would prefer him at 45 to have any chance for the republicans to keep the house. 37 weeks to go. bad news. 36, this translates when voters are asked which party do you want to support for congress? it's right around the president's nim. democrats with a 12-point lead. again if this holds up through election day, the democrats will take back the house. no way with a 12-point gap on election day that the republicans can contain the house. let's look at history to make that point. president trump at 36%. you see where president obama was in his two midterms, president bush in his second midterm, '06. double digits for the president.