are the most important positions but in fact these are and then you go to ideology and say this group is more important but he's doing as well among this group and they make an equal share. you can see how you can trick yourself and say we're looking for these certain signs of how he's doing and wether or not he's doing well. but he's doing very well on things that matter, but not necessarily in the things we think matter so we fall in this trap. and now it's this trap whereby we think we're supposed to see something but we're seeing something else that makes a lot of skblens what's the most important tab on the bottom. >> it's right here, reporting in less than a week, the oakland as are reporting, noyer woo all big baseball fans, at least i am, they this is re, very bad. see, i want to be cross it out it's so bad. the yankees at 15% chance to win the wold series. we don't like that, i know you don't like that, i know you don't like that. this you poppy. >> it's not zero. >> it's not zero. >> you're saying there's a