being -- these things tends to end up having the front-runner and the not front-runner camp and today, bachmann is winning the not mitt romney primary to become the person who could go one-on-one with him next year. and the third story, we don't pay much attention to, is, these are national polls. and, as a result they sometimes mislead us. because, at this point, for example, in 1999, dan quayle and elizabeth dole and lamar alexander were trailing george w. bush and behind them, was the guy who ultimately became bush's principal opponents in the 2000 primaries, john mccain. of air, who at this point was polling like at 3%, but because of the way he organized his campaign and the focus he jumped up. and, this is good news for her and puts her in the lead of the not romney scramble and, puts her in a good place, provided she does well in iowa and does well in new hampshire. bill: to be clear you say polling from history doesn't tell us anything about the future? is that what you are saying? >> it is a weak guide, because,
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