it's essentially the same thing every incumbent president ends up running on. a moment like this. is it intangible, the gut check, that now david plouffe and david axelrod feel like they now have that, that maybe they were missing before? >> don't change horses in the middle of the stream when the arrows are shooting at you. we're clearly in a war. he has proved he's commander in chief. and i think that argument holds greater instead today than it did a month and a half ago. >> so could the obama re-elect look more similar to the bush re-elect than we realized. >> the bush releblgt was at 45% and today it's at 45. and what that showed was an election that was 70,000 votes in ohio that decided who was president. look, a lot of thinlgs are going to change. i have, i think, shockingly, by november 2012, we won't be talking about this event. but it does suggest like that election of 2004, that re-elect number for bush was a shadow