she's up by seven over scott brown. is that a pretty good bet right now, or is it still close? >> i think that she has a very good chance to win. roll call still has this rated as a tossup. is a decent candidate with lots of money, you know, the incumbent tends to have the advantage but this is also a state. it's a strong democratic state. presidential year with a lot of turnout so this will be one of those key battlegrounds. the democrats are confident they with hold this seat >> you mean win it. >> win it. >> another woman candidate, shelly berkeley out in nevada. she's on against the appointed senator. what do you make of that one? >> that's against dean heller and this is a very interesting race. if barack obama wins re-election it will be in part thanks to nevada and shelly berkeley will become the next senator if that happens. this is where the top of the ticket will really matter. there's a big machine in nevada that obama activated and harry reid used to hold on to his seat last fall but lots of that will be in action. one of those key races to watch