in all of the swing states, the democrats won in 2008. and in all of them but colorado right now this year, the democrats have banked big margins in terms of who is turning up for early voting this year. look at the comparable numbers for 2008. in each of these swing states, the margins by which they are winning is smaller this year than it was last time. republicans tend to do better on election day, so if democrats are going to win, they have to really run up the margin in early voting. they need to build up a big lead in early voting in order to win. this year the democrats' cushion is smaller in all of these key states and nonexistent in colorado. so republicans field good about that. the other thing that gives them hope right now is this. notice anything in particular about this rally in florida? we chose this photo more or less at random, but because it's pretty much demographically representative. an interesting and smart