a brand new poll of likely iowa gop caucus goers showing the donald locked in with dr. carson at 23%. the des moines register poll paints a slightly different story. trump leads carson 23% to 18% there. but there is an important note here. when you add in first and second choices, trump and carson are tied. nbc's ali vie vitali joins me now. >> i think it really will continue to be business as usual for the trump people. a lot of us have been suspecting the shifting landscape. it is early and trump has had a very consistent lead in the early states and the shifting is always to be expected at this point. what is notable and you were talking about this earlier is that the new poll numbers show shifting leaders on maybe tying leaders and the same narrative of the fact of the outsiders on top and you did a bing poll a
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