it was always a four-person race because independents, third-party, the protest vote was big they are time around than it has been before. i think our narrative was wrong. in 2012 the sort of public polling was right on. part of the problem in polling is getting the universe right. who is the likely voter? what's really important i think for democrats this the time around, you know -- i want to sort of caution us about this. i don't care how low trump's job approval numbers drop. if we have the 2010 or the 2014 electorate again, democrats are not going to take back the house, right? if we have an electorate that is -- that looks a lot younger and a lot more diverse than midterm elections typically do, i think democrats have a fighting chance. if you have an electorate that is more upscale, one of the things that i think is really important in those numbers is even a majority of white voters are now disapproving of trump. 55% of college whites are strongly in disapproval of trump. so it is not only just his