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so let's go beyond the numbers. harry enten, i think you're a one namer now. first of all she has surged. so the surge in recent weeks has been dramatic, but right now 7-point poll deficit in new hampshire. a few weeks to go until the primary. has anyone closed that gap? >> absolutely. there are four examples throughout history we can list for you that close that gap. go back to 1984 gary hart did it, pat buchanan did it. and john mccain was well behind mitt romney in 2008 in new hampshire and both of them went onto be the nominee. so the answer to your question is 100% absolutely nikki haley can close that gap in new hampshire and go onto win nationally as well. >> okay, so who is fueling her rise? >> if you know one thing about new hampshire it's that independents play a major role in that primary, perhaps more so