Cold war. No, it is not our imagination, ladies. We are freezing at the office. The new study that shows its outdate said thermostat science from the 1960s thats to blame, and guys feeling the heat today, tuesday, august 4th, 2015. Good morning, everyone. Welcome to today today. 7 00 a. M. On the west coast on a tuesday, boy, what a wakep call out east. A little earlier than normal. Storms rolled through here. Lots of thunder, lightning, one shot in the big apple. Well tell you about that in a second. Our top story on this Tuesday Morning is the wildfires raging across the west. Crews pushed to the bing of exhaustion, especially in Northern California where thousands are battling the socalled rocky fire. Conditions not helping. Joe is live with the. Good morning to you. Good morning, matt. This fire has now burned 100 square miles. Right now, 13,000 people remain evacuated. Every time firefighters begin to slow it down, the flames seem to shift into something unexpected. The rocky fire is devouring New Territory this morning after leaping over its biggest barrier, highway 20, in multiple spots. This is not what firefighters wanted. The flames now burning on the north side of highway 20. The flames are unpredictable, whipped up by winds moving in one direction one minute, another direction the next. Today, i saw three or four different heads from the fire, and each one was kind of leaning a little bit different direction. A lot of fire activity. Very active burning. From a helicopter flying over the scene, you can see miles of charred land, an area at least twice as large as San Francisco. A lot of firefighters are expressed they have never seen this in their career. It is burning with great intensity. Down below, rick sanders is the only one in his neighborhood yet to evacuate. He stayed behind to defend his home of 30 years, which rests just a few blocks from the flames. It has been almost this close before. But not this intense and this close. Its a pretty hot fire. Probably scariest one i think i have seen. His home is among 7,000 structures still at risk. Wildfires are burning across the droughtstricken west with more than 20 major fires in california, plus others to the north in washington and oregon. But its the rocky fire now seven days old that wont be contained burning too close for comfort. Our team experienced the fires erratic behavior firsthand yesterday when the flames jumped over the highway. We were more than a mile away. But suddenly, we heard on the scanner that the fire could be heading toward our direction in just 30 minutes time. We packed up and evacuated as a precaution. Joe, thanks very much. Well ask al about the Weather Forecast in the area in a little while. In the meantime, the Severe Weather in New Hampshire blamed for a second deadly tent collapse in as many days. This time, happened during a crowded circus performance and the two victims were a father and daughter. Nbcs ron allen is in lancaster, New Hampshire, with more this morning. Good morning to you. Good morning, savannah. That circus big top lies as flat as a pancake on the fairgrounds behind me. Hard to imagine how shocking and terrifying it was for the 100 or so spectators. A lot of children and families there who survived the ordeal. Investigators have been going through it all over night and will continue today, trying to figure out how a circus became such a disaster. For the second day in a row, weather turned outdoor fun into tragedy. After a severe storm blew down a circus tent in lancaster, New Hampshire, killing two people and injuring more than a dozen others. Officials say about 100 people were inside the tent watching the Walker Brothers circus around 5 30 p. M. When 60mileperhour winds, oneinch hail, and lightning caused the tent to collapse. Lancaster dispatch. White field. Respond mutually to lancaster fairgrounds. Circus tent collapse. Minimum radio traffic, please. Police not releasing the names of the deceased, however, the governor confirming they are father and daughter. Both spectators here to see the show. At least 15 victims were taken to four area hospitals. The National Weather service had issued a Severe Thunderstorm Warning for the area during the time of the collapse. Well be looking at the construction of the tent and how it was set up. These are fairly substantial structures when theyre put up and we havent had any issues in the past. The accident comes just one day after a man died and more than a dozen were injured when high winds caused a tent to collapse during a sudden storm at a festival in the chicago suburbs. Here in New Hampshire, were still trying to learn and understand the magnitude of the injuries suffered by the spectators and perhaps performers. We reached out to the operators of the circus, no comment so far on why this might have happened. They cancelled performances for later today. Ron, thank you. In the meantime, voters were given a taste of what teex pkt in thursdays first republican president ial debate. Came during a Candidate Forum in manchester, New Hampshire, last night. But the most talked about contender, donald trump, wasnt there. Nbc National CorrespondentPeter Alexander has more on that. Hi, peter. Hey, matt. Good morning to you. Think of this has the end of the political preseason, the 2016 regular season kicks off thursday night. Here last night, the first primary state in the national, 14 republican contenders tested out their talking points, trying to nail that job interview, but the main man missing was donald trump. Ahead of thursday nights debate, the pregame warmup. 14 republican candidates sharing a single stage in New Hampshire, but donald trump skipped the forum, touting his frontrunner status with a press release instead. Trumps opponents forming their strategies for the primetime event. Will you attack donald trump . My goal is to let people know what i think. Should donald trump have been here . I would it would have been nice. But you know, im sure he had something more important to do. The twohour forum played out like political speed dating. The gop contenders sending their best barbs for president obama and the clintons. She lied about benghazi. I have been dealing with this crowd for 20 years. Im fluent in clinton speak. You want me to translate . When he says, bill says, i didnt have sex with that woman, he did. The latest republican turning to a stunt to distinguish himself texas, we cook bacon a little different lanthy most folks. Ted cruz cooking bacon on the barrel of a machine gun. Machine gun bacon. And now more red flags for Hillary Clintons campaign. The new nbc news wall street journal poll Shows Nearly Half of americans have a negative view of the former secretary of state. After almost 25 years in the national spotlight, shes trying to reintroduce herself once again with ads focusing on her late mother dorothy, her inspiration. I in tthink about my mother dorothy. Still up in the air whether joe biden will jump into the race. The vp is still undecided. On tap today, a private lunch with the president. No word if 2016 is on the menu. Why did donald trump skip last nights forum . He said because theres no chance hes going to get an endorsement from the union leader, the local newspaper. He said 14 contender was too many for a productive forum to take place. He will be literally center stage thursday night. That, he says, im a nice guy. Im only going to attack if someone hits me first. Peter alexander, thank you very much. Lets bring in chuck todd, nbcs political director and moderator of meet the press. I have the latest bloomberg poll on the republican side. You factor that in with the four most recent polls and you get a clear sense of whos going to be on the stage on thursday night. As you look at it unfold, what jumps out . The fact that Donald Trumps lead continues to grow. He really is consolidating at least sort of the antiwashington support inside the republican party. And it really is just eclipsing everybody. By the way, matt, it does look like the 11th spot right now is where rick perry, and if you believe fox and theyre going to stick to their ten cutoff, he wouldnt make it. Everything i hear they dont like the idea of decimal points deciding ten and 11, so its more likely there will be an 11th podium. When you get a frontrunner like donald trump in the center of the stage, that makes that person a juicy target. What is the risk reward for another candidate taking him on directly . The risk is if you attack him, he will counterpunch. He said it to me on sunday, thats what he does. He did say he doesnt plan on going on the attack first. I think that that is sort of an interesting decision that some of the candidates make. Look, i think some of the ones in low single digits, theyre incentivized to go after them because they want the moment, the tv highlight. If youre jeb bush or scott walker and youre playing the long game here, you probably dont want to get into a food fight with him, although my guess is the moderators are going to try to set that up. That, to me, is going to be the most tense moments of the evening. John weaver, a longtime political strategist who works for the Kasich Campaign tweeted this, imagine a nascar driver mentally preparing for a race knowing one of the drivers will be drunk. Thats what prepping for this debate will be like. Those are his words, not mine. Lets take a look at the latest numb numbers. These are favorability numbers for jeb bush and hillary clinton. What do you want us to see in this . I want you to understand something about jeb bush compared to mitt romney. Very much similar candidacies. Theyre the establishment pick. Mitt romney was that guy four years ago. Already, jeb bush has higher negative ratings at this point in time in the campaign than mitt romney did. Mitt romney barely got the republican nomination, when there was this antiestablishment uprising and they went candidate shopping, herman cain, and ended up with santorum. Santorum came a couple days from knocking off michigan. Bush is already in a worst position. He may have all the money in the world, but right now, hes in bigger trouble than people think. On the hillary clinton, her sid numbers. She has lower Favorability Ratings right now than any point in time did barack obama. You have the two dynasty candidates and theyre in a worst position than barack obama was in his eight years and jeb bush already in a worse position than mitt romney was at that time. The two dynasty candidates in an antiwashington atmosphere. Theyre struggling more than ever before. Chuck todd, thank you very much. Well turn to tamron in for natalie. A big arrest to tell us about. The man suspected of gunning down a Memphis Police officer is in custody this morning after an extensive manhunt. Police say 29yearold Tremaine Wilbourn turned himself in to federal authorities in memphis on monday. Hes facing first degree murder charges in saturdays shooting det of officer sean bolton. Police say bolton was shot multiple times after coming across a drug deal taking place in a car that was parked illegally. An outbreak of legion airs disease has claimed the lives of seven people here in new york city. Health Officials Say theyre taking this very seriously. More than 80 people have been diagnosed with the disease which is caused when water contaminated with a certain bacteria is inhaled into the lungs. The bacteria were discovered last week at a bronx hotel and in some hospital equipment. Some frightening moments in the netherland monday when two massive construction cranes fell over onto a group of houses. The heavy machines were lifting part of a bridge when they toppled over into nearby residential buildings and a couple businesses. Up to 20 people are believed to be injured in the awful accident. Safety officials are investigating that. For the first time this morning, were hearing the dramatic details from a man who tread water for four hours, more than 40 miles off the coast of new jersey. Hoisted to safety in the dead of night, lucky to be alive. After falling overboard, this man had been swimming for four hours, 44 miles off the coast of new jersey. The boat went this way and i fell right out. Freezing cold, without a life jacket. Praying for a miracle. A big thunderstorm, giant bolts of lightning, and just waves that were huge. What started as a fun day of fishing with a friend turned into every sailors worst nightmare. By the time i came out of the water, i saw the boat. And it kept going. Mayday. Mayday. The wind was so bad, it was blowing me back or it was blowing the ship away from me. Nearly drowning, he says he swam about ten miles. I coughed water out of my lungs so many times. And all i would have had to do is take one breath of water and it was over. Numb from the cold and cramping up, thoughts of his family are what kept him alive. I couldnt picture the next day somebody coming to tell them that im not going to be home anymore. Because i knew it would ruin their lives. I almost lost my whole world. I love him more than anything. Finally reunited with his boat, his friend threw him a lifeline, then this daring coast guard rescue air lifted him to the hospital where he made a full recovery. Im just happy to be here. I really am. What a story. And at least five cars were damaged by an unmanned run away garbage truck near pittsburgh. The driver, take a look at this, and another trash collector had stepped about ten feet away from the truck when the brakes became disengaged. You can see the two men chasing after the truck. Thankfully, no injuries, but you know, that is officially a really crumby day at work when that happens to you. Not as crumby as the folks whose cars got smashed. You have to explain to the boss, i didnt put the brake on it. How is the weather looking out west . Unfortunately, theres no relief from this drought, and theres no rain coming. We may see some dry lightning, which could spark some more wildfires. Were worried about that. You can see on the radar, we have showers, thunderstorms back through the plains. But right now, things fairly dry throughout much of Southern California, central california, into the Pacific Northwest where there are red flag warnings up. Look at the temperatures, medford, 94 degrees. Seattlesaty. Los angeles, 84. So its going to stay fairly warm there. Denver looking at a high of 91 degrees. We had excessive heat warnings stretching from palm springs all the way to phoenix with temperatures well over 100. That stretches all the way, actually, into texas as well. Dallas now on its seventh day of 100plus readings. Out west, again, the sunshine continues. They could desperately use that rain. The winds are fairly calm. However, in those wildfires, they basically create their own wind field. Wind field. So even though theiroveratibifra wind field. So even though theiroveratibifra youre unpacking already . Yeah, help me find some mugs. Sure. beep hey. O. K. Theyll do. Wake up to the mountain grown aroma of folgers. The best part of wakin up so, where do you want to start . I think this is a pretty good place. Is folgers in your cup good morning. Im meteorologist kari hall. A mostly clear start to the day across the bay and temperatures in the lower 60s. But we will start to see some mid and high level clouds moving in and temperatures stay thighs and mild, reaching 69 degrees in San Francisco, the east bay will be at 72, 76 in the peninsula, south bay expect a high of 80 degrees, and the trivalley in the lower 80s, as well as 81 degrees in the authority bay. We start the warming trend tomorrow. And thats your latest weather. Savannah. Al, thank you so much. In an emotional plea, amy schumer talks to jon stewart about gun violence. And after cecil the lion killed, the airlines take a new approach. But first coming up is your office ac sexist. Finally why the women are finally why the women are freezing in this me and you, and you and me. No matter how they tossed the dice. It had to be. The only one for me is you. And you for me. So happy together now theres a rewards program that lets you earn points at one place and use them at another. 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