'Itâs not if, itâs when': COVID-19 outbreaks on horizon if vaccination rates remain low Updated: 7:00 PM EDT Jul 9, 2021 Share Updated: 7:00 PM EDT Jul 9, 2021 Hide Transcript Show Transcript EV, -- TO CATCH, THERE ARE SOME RED FLAGS. SOME DARK CLOUDS ARE BLOWING IN THE PANDEMIC ATMOSPHERE, AND THOSE WHO READ THE VIRAL CLIMATE ARE MAKING A FORECAST. >> IF WE DONâT CONTINUE TO HAVE PEOPLE VACCINATED, WEâRE GOING TO HAVE OUTBRES.AK ITâS NOT IF, ITâS WHEN AND HOW BIG. BRIAN: DR. ROBERT FRENCK IS THWI CINCINNATI CHILDRENâS HOSPITAL. HE SAYS VACCINATION RATES WILL DETERMINE HOW WELL EACH EAAR FARES AS WE SEE OUTBREAKS POP UP ACROSS THE COUNTRY. >> WE WILL SEE OUTBREAKSF O COVID IF PEOPLE ARE NOT VACCINATED. BRIAN: VACCINATION RATES IN OHIO ARE 48%. KENTUCKY 50% A INDNDIANA 42%. SOME STATES LIKE ALAMA,BA ARKANSAS AND MISSISSIPPI ARE BE43LO%. STATES WITH LOWER VACCINATION TERAS ARE AT HIGHER RISK FOR OUTBRES.AK >> WHEN THE FALL COMES AND WE GO BACK INDOORS AND WE CONTINUE TO HAVE VARIANTS OUARND, WE NEETOD SHORE OURSELVES UP AS A COMMUNITY TO GET THAT VACCINATION RATE AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE. BRN:IA KATE SCHRODER WITH THE HEALTH COLLABORATIVE SAYS THE PROTECTION FROM VACCINES IS APPARENT IN HOSPITALIZATION NUMBS. >> THERE IS ALMOST NO ONE WHO HAS BEEN VACCINATED WHO HAS ENBE HOSPITALIZED. IABRN: THE NORTHERN KENTUCKY HEALTH DEPARTMENT IS KEEPING AN EYE ON THE LATEST NUMBERS HERE. OVER THE PAST FEW WEEKS CASES HAVE BNEE THREE OR LESS. THE LAST TWO WEEKS, THE NUMBERS HAVE GONE TO 44 AND .69 AND OVERNIGHT 27 CASES ADDED. ALTHOUGH MOST OF THE CASES DO NOT APPEAR TO BE SERIOUS. >> YOU MAY BE SEEING CASES THAT ARE NOT SERIOUS CASES. THE MORE CASES YOU GET, YOUâRE GOING TO BE GETTING SERIOUS CASES. BRN:IA WHY ANALYSTS ARE KEEPING A TCH WAON THE BAROMETER OF COVID CONDITIONS. HERE AT THE NORTHERN KENTUCKY HEALTH DEPTARTMENT THEY DONâT KNOW HOW MANY IF ANY OF