Transcripts For ALJAZAM Consider This 20140318 : vimarsana.c

ALJAZAM Consider This March 18, 2014

Democracy. Well base our response on whether russia chooses to escalate or deescalate. We call on the russian leaders not to annex crimea. Its been 10 days of confusing information. The uss kidd is leaving. One of the most beloved orchestra conductors in the world sits down with al jazeera. Astro fizz fists say they have proof that the universe bang. Bang. Im david shuster, sitting in for antonio mora. We begin with the crisis in ukraine. President obama and leaders in europe announced limited sanctions against russian and ukrainian officials, following the take over of the strategic crimean peninsula. It came after a monday vote in crimeas vote that called on russia to annex crimea. Russian media claimed 97 o crimeans voted for independence. At the white houses president obama explained who was sanctioned and why. Individuals who provide Material Support to senior officials of the russian government. The International Community will stand together to oppose violations of ukrainian sovereignty. It did not stop russian president Vladimir Putin signing a decree recognising crimea as an independent state, and will address the parliament in connection with crimeas appeals to join russia. Those that signed up in the national guard, Russian Troops which surrounded Ukrainian Forces continued to observe a negotiated ceasefire, scheduled to last until friday. Lets go to simferepol, to nick schifrin, al jazeeras correspondent. What is it like there . Excitement. They are talking about buying things in russian ruble, getting the russian passport. Theres a sense among the prorussians, that sunday was an Independence Day and they are determining their own destiny, writing, in their words, an historical wrong when a 1954 crimea became part of ukraine as part of an administrative decision. They feel that that decision is being taken back, and theyll look forward, as Vladimir Putins address to the duma on tuesday morning. Theyll look forward to becoming part of russia, and peopling like they are part of the moscow orbit, rather than what the majority feels is the kiev centric westernlooking orbit of western ukraine, which they dont associate with physically but culturally. The vote of 97 , given that the Crimean Tatars boycotted, what are the percentages of people that support russia, ukraine. If you look at the demographics and the polls over the last few years, there are no fewer than 60 of people that identify themselves as eastern leaning or moscow leaning or russian speaking or perhaps most specifically ethnic russians. So the other 30 to 40 , 15 are muslims, they are the largest minority, ethnic ukrainians. The majority of this peninsula is deciding or feeling that they are leaning towards russia, that they associate with russia than western ukraine, not only because they speak russian, but their history, they feel an association with the soviet history, theres a lot of talk about world war ii, and which side the soviet union was on, and a feeling that western ukraine was on the long side, the nazi side. Theres a lot of accusations about that. The minorities are fearful of the majority coming in and marginalizing them. The tar tars were departed by the soviet union leadership. Some of them fear that history could defeat themselves. They will be deported if nothing left, that theyll be marginalised. That will be determined in the next couple of weeks. The first thing that everyone here is waiting for is what russia will do, expecting it to be annexed, and that will close the chapter of history that is 60 years old. Writing a wrong, according to most of the people. Closing a chapter between russia, crimea and ukraine, but open another diplomatically. Nick schifrin in simferepol. Thank you for joining us. For more on the crisis in ukraine we are joined from washington d. C. By ambassador william taylor, serving ag ambassador for ukraine from 2006 to 2009 and coordinated assistance. He is Vice President for the middle east and africa for the United States institute of peace. And on set nina khruscheva, professor of International Affairs at the new school, member of the council on foreign into the gulag of the russian mind. Ambassador taylor, president obama announced sanctions against 11 russian and ukrainian officials, all architects of the russias ukraine policy, and the European Union is to announce sanctions on tuesday, but they may overlap with the president s list. The responses have been like this, from Russias Deputy Prime Minister saying comraid obama, what do you do with those that dont have acts abroad or you didnt thing about it . Are the sanctions duds before you even think about it . No, i dont think they are not. The sanctions are designed to put pressure on officials, because of actions and decisions they had taken before. That is the action, decisions and recommendations to Vladimir Putin that he go forward with this sham referendum. That is what these sanctions are for. If the next step is taken, that is if Vladimir Putin decides that he is actually going to annex crimea, then the next round of sanctions, and a harsher round of sanctions will go into play. I believe that these people who are dismissing these sanctions now as not being effective will sanctions. The point of sanctions is to change your behaviour. You can do that by pressuring the economy. The smart money does not expect much of a fight, at least not over crimea. I think its because time should tell whether putin would annex crimea or go further into ukrainian territory. Seems theres a lull waiting until tomorrow, and i think most analysts predict he wouldnt, if he annexes crimea, it wouldnt happen immediately. That would be as ambassador pointed out, that would be a harsher than what and the russians want to wait and see how the International Community independent. As this goes step by step, russia is reportedly proposing sanctions against american officials, including dick durbin. Is he playing to his domestic audience there . I am sure hes playing to the domestic audience, for what he hopes will be history, hell go down as the leader who got crimea back. I bet durbin doesnt have many assets in russia and doesnt care in he travels to russia. I suspect it may not bother him. On the other hand there are people in russia who own properties, houses in london and in new york, and in florida, and have financial assets. So i suspect that these sanctions that we are talking about will be more effective than the ones that the russians are talking about. If the sanctions are effective, why not put sanctions been Vladimir Putin himself. Hes believed to have money stashed overseas in all places, including cypress. Why not go after that . What are you going to do next . If you sanction Vladimir Putin, who will you talk to. Vladimir putin has shown that when america does something to push him, he pushes hard. So you have pepsi cola, mcdonalds, all the american interests, and so far they havent gone after those, although the russian threatened that they might. Its a delicate balance of power, and diplomacy still should be given a chance. Given the diplomacy, its interesting to listen to the Public Comments that the leaders say. I want to play sound from president obamas sanctions announcement on tuesday and get your reactions, watch. Going forward we can cal brit our response based on whether russia chooses t deescalate. That was monday, can that put pressure on russia, a calibrated off . Some would back off. They went beyond crimea for five seconds, but then went back. Even though they occupy the power plant. Nonetheless they went back to crimea. There is pressure, Vladimir Putin is trying to decide how much and how more scary he can get. He doesnt want to get too scary for the west. He will no longer be a partner for the west. For someone like Vladimir Putin, this is scary. If it is scary, i wonder if you can explain in that context that newsagencies are reporting that theres a ceasefire that the russian and ukraine agreed to, that that will end on friday. Is that part of an effort to give breathing room, and what do you take the ceasefire to many . I understand that the cease fire is directed at the forces, the Ukrainian Forces on their bases in the crimea. There are ukrainian soldiers who are loyal to kiev, and they are on their bases. They are not giving up, and not going over to the other side. Now there are russian soldiers who are also there, and she is are clearly russian soldiers in crimea, who are vosurrendering the bases in some cases. Its a stand off, a truce between the two sets of the military force, those loyal to kiev and those russians surrounding the bases. One thing i dont understand, crimea imports more than Something Like 80 of its energy from kiev. Why doesnt ukraine use the leverage from there and the United States to force russia to back off. They can, its getting warmer so the Energy Crisis is probably not as threatening. This is weak leverage because russia has more oil and gas than ukraine does. If ukraine cuts the supply, russia would be willing to come in and saying what well do for the face, for the people. Its calculated. Its not a great theft. If ukraine cuts supplies, they can get more from russia. Over the next couple of days, what key moments or turning point will you see in terms of identifying whether the situation is getting worse or perhaps theres room for negotiated diplomacy . Over the next couple of days well be looking to see if the government in kiev, the dual government of ukraine continues its amazing restraint and discipline. It has shown remarkable discipline in ta it has its territory has been violated, it has been restrained in its response. If that conditions, that could lead to discussions. Thank you both for joining us, we appreciate it. There are countless nears about the missing malaysian jetliner. What expertise would be needed to make the plane disappear without a digitalar radar trait. Theres a lot of attention on the pilots political beliefs and state of mind. Harmeli aregawi is tracking the top stories on the web. What do you have . After recalling 1. 6 million vehicles last month General Motors has more bad news. I have the details ahead. While you are watching, join the conversation by scared as hell. As american troops prepare to leave afghanistan get a first hand look at what life is really like under the taliban. Were going to be taken to a place, where theyre going to make plans for an attack. The only thing i know is, that they say theyre not going to withdraw. Then, immediately after, an america tonight special edition for more inside and analysis. Why did you decide to go. Its extremly important for the western audience to know why these people keep on fighting. Its so seldom you get that access to the other side. Faultlines on the front lines with the taliban then an america tonight special edition, only on Al Jazeera America as the search for Malaysia Airlines flight 370 continues, theres a new report from the New York Times indicating the first change in the flight path was carried out by a Computer System most likely programmed by someone in the cockpit. The time sources the story to american officials. Whoever altered the path typed in key strokes on a system between the captain and first officer. It is not clear whether the planes path was reprogrammed before or after it took off. The new information will, of course, add to the theories about the jet liners disappearance, and it ranges from a terrorist hijacking to a political statement by the pilot, copilot or engineer. For more on what could and could not have happened based on the information so far. We are joined by santa fe by alan diehl, the author of science to save lives one crash at a time. This computerized flight management system, how does it work and how significant is the New York Times story to our happened . Its interesting. Im an Airline Transport rated, but i do not fly the 777. Some of the Flight Management Computers store standard routes that the airline flies, and if that were the case, which hitting a few key streaks, the plane went to a route it had flown previously, which is not the route to beijing. Im not sure this means that someone was in the cockpit with a gun or the pilots were crazy. It could mean there was another emergency, and the pilots were whatever. Do you think that would account for them not communicating with back to tower or signal that they were in some sort of trouble . It wouldnt absolutely prevent them. Once these fires break out, and this happened before. The swiss air jumbo jet out of j. F. K. They smelt fumes, they keep flying and before they know it there was a raging fire and they didnt make it. We dont know if there was a raging fire in this case, but based on the data, the transponder and data reporting system were cut off shortly. Does it paint i understand that one of these systems is not in the cockpit. Well, thats where of course, we are all speculating here, david. That is where this problem might have occurred, and youd start to lose electrical systems. Perhaps the transponder, followed by the data part of the acars data link. We know the plane talked to the satellite for several hours. This we cant eliminate this problem. By the way, it happened before in this identical airplane, cairo, 2011, 777 sitting on a ramp, a fire in the cockpit. Everybody, of course jumped out, they were on the ground. They never quite figured out what caused the fire. We cant discount anything. We have to keep our minds open. There was another accident involving a 737 in 2005 where it wasnt a fire, but a greek airline, hellios, and a Flight Attendanteneded up in the cockpit trying to fly the plane. He had a Flight Attendant Action System separate from the airplane, he couldnt recover the plane, it flue until it ran out of gas and crashed. Again, i dont know that that happened here, but i can envision scenarios outside of the hijacking terrorist line of thinking we are going down. We dont know and we need to look at previous problems. Some can envision the possibility of the jet landing at an old world war ii airfield. Most of those air fields are to the east and the small island airfields to the west of malaysia are monitored by india and inton eastern radar. How much space does a 777 need to land . The manual says 5,000 feet if its light. Thats tight. We cant assume hijackers are worried about protecting the jet. They may belly it in because theres a scenario thats been discussed that maybe this is really a robbery. On this route from kuala lumpur to beijing, theres supposed to be a lot of diamond shipments, a lot of gold. We saw die hard, and saw how a hotel was taken over by robbers pretending to be terrorists. Theres so much we dont know. If i was going to hijack the airplane, id head for the australian outback and put it back. I might not think about reselling the airplane. Theres plenty of places where you could put a 777 down in australias past outwhack in the northwest, where the airplane could be put down without crashing. Of course, we could do the sole thing in the hudson. Is this is only a guess, but i would sindian ocean, and we need the aircraft out there. Alan diehl, the science to save lives one crash at a time, thank you for your time tonight. We appreciate it. Thank you for having me. Over the weekend investigators turned some of their focus to the pilot, zaharie ahmed shah. There was a report that his family moved out of his house of day before the flight and another report that he was infuriated by a court ruling against an Opposition Party leader that he supported. As for the family crisis. Investigators knocked it down and the family said report of conflict were nonsense. What about political anger over the treatment of the Opposition Party leader. Lets turn to william j dobs dobson dobson, author. The pilot supported the peoples justice party, led by Anwar Ibrahim, and he was allegedly pictured wearing a shirt saying, democracy is dead, are any members supporting violence . No. Thats what you have to realise about Anwar Ibrahim, and the Democratic Coalition that he leads. Anwar ibrahim is trying to change malaysia through elections. Hes not even hes not using terrorism or revolutions. Hes competing against the ruling party and doing so effectively, which is one of the reasons why hes become a target for abuse and a number of different scandals that circulated. No, this is a supposeful democratic movement. Saying someone is a fanatical follower is saying someone is a fanatical follower of one of the finer democrats in the world. What was the court ruling a few days before the flight disappeared, that opposition supporters didnt like . That court ruling was the overturning of an acquittal in january 2012 of sodomy charges brought against Anwar Ibrahim several years earlier. The history of this goes back to 1998 when he was the deputy Prime Minister. He was believed to be the next Prime Minister of malaysia. Shortly before that could happen he began to make statements about the Political Class in malaysia, and in particular about corruption and nepotism. Many believed they were not so veiled comments about the outgoing Prime Minister.

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