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over the weekend. this is the overwhelming view, we should go slowly, steadily and cautiously, as the prime minister has laid out. there is less agreement about what is an ideal date to make a move. the reason for that is that there is no such thing as an ideal date. all possible dates have downsides and as the prime minister says, if we go at this point in time, we go at a point where there are still people being vaccinated but we are not going at a point when schools are just coming back and we are not going at a point where we are going to autumn and winter. the modelling studies that have been done on this largely show that all dates essentially tend to lead to broadly similar outcomes. different models come to slightly different conclusions, but there is no clear evidence, in comparison to previous conclusions where a delay would make a difference, there is no clear evidence that a delay now would make a difference. but going slowly will make a difference. the

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