going to do is try and hold on to a new army, that they're in the process of generating through conscription, through the draft and through all of that, is able to take the field sometime in the spring, that they started this conscription process in september, they took some of the troops and just rushed them to the front trying to hold things, and others they seem to be trying to prepare a bit more sensibly behind the lines. they won't be ready, for, one assumes, till the spring, six months after they were, six or seven months after they were drafted. so the russians are going to try, we think, or see they hold on to that new army is ready and ukraine will want to keep up the momentum. and that's in the stage. if you look at the map in the east and the donbas, particularly around bakhmut, very heavy fighting, in the southwest around kherson, the russians have dug in with these three successive layers of defense in depth so probably not a lot of movement there.