Transcripts For BLOOMBERG With All Due Respect 20160804 : vi

BLOOMBERG With All Due Respect August 4, 2016

Fans. Three months left to unfold before november 8. This day in politics began began with frenzied reports of angst over the possibility that donald trump has shifted from the chaos candidate to the kamikaze candidate, with his campaign apparently spiraling out of control. Republican National Committee chairman Reince Priebus was in particular furious over his Washington Post interview yesterday, in which donald trump pointedly declined to endorse paul ryan and john mccain. Even some of Donald Trumps closest allies admitted today a dramatic change of course was imperative. Newt donald trump is still behaving as though it was the primaries and there were 17 candidates. He has not made the transition to being the potential president of the United States, which is a much tougher league. People are going to watch you every single day, and take everything they can out of context, and he is not performing at the level you need to. I am, frankly, reminded of joe montana, when you went through a stretch in his career when he kept throwing interceptions, and for half a season he was not joe montana anymore, then he figured out what he was doing and changed. John Newt Gingrich told the Washington Post that donald trump cannot win the president ial election operating the way he is now. She, meaning Hillary Clinton, cannot be bad enough if he is determined to make this many mistakes. Compounding the panic are various media reports suggesting disarray and rebellion within Donald Trumps team. Is that true, Paul Manafort . All, thest of candidate is in control of his campaign. That is number one. And i am in control. The turmoil, this is another clinton narrative. The campaign is in very good shape. You know, we are organized and moving forward. The clinton machine may not like it, but we are prepared for the fight. John there have been reports from some Media Outlets that some of Donald Trumps allies would like to stage an intervention with the help of his family. Bloomberg politics has learned that two of his children left this morning for a hunting trip in the yukon. On the bright side, none of the republicans he singled out yesterday have lashed out at him. In a way that would escalate the republican threat level. And his running mate, mike pence, did a soothing interview this afternoon, embracing donald trump and endorsing paul ryan. Bloombergpolitics has also learned that donald trump has plans to make a Major Economic policy address in detroit on monday. Mark, so after all the selfinflicted damage culminating with the Washington Post interview yesterday, is donald trump closer to getting his campaign back on track . Mark given what happened 24 hours ago, today could have been a lot worse. Trump has something new to talk about with the United States sending money to iran. Donald trump was more focused at his events this afternoon. You did not see john mccain, who is a history of popping off, or ayotte, come kelly back at him in a newsmaking way. Make no mistake. While it could be worse, below the scenes, there is panic in the Republican Party. Because they know they cannot abandon him yet, but they know also he is headed currently in a direction they do not want to follow. That in thethe case worst case scenario, today, any number of people, including speaker ryan, could have renounced him today and withdrawn their endorsement. 100 right, could have been a worse day. I feel like the Republican Party is on tender hooks and there are a lot of conversations taking place in every corner of the party about what are we going to do. Because no one believes a good day means anything more for donald trump. We still have some hours before we go to bed tonight. Donald trump could go off the rails again later tonight or tomorrow. He has pushed the party right to the edge, it seems to me, and we will talk about this later, to the edge of widespread defections and people abandoning him in droves. They are right at the edge. It did not happen today. It is good for donald trump. But right now, it is a very tenuous situation for him. Mark we have seen this before when people say in the next few days we will fix this. No, this needs to be fixed now. The fact that his two sons are away and not reachable is a real problem. They are amongst the only people on planet earth who can persuade him to do something calibrated or different. John i believe they are the only people on earth. Mark his soninlaw and daughter, also. John i dont think any of these strategists i dont think Paul Manafort has any ability to change Donald Trumps behavior. Mark there is some of that potential. Mike pence tried to diffuse tensions today. On fox news today, listen to the Vice President ial nominee thread the needle between his loyalty to donald trump and showing his anxious party that the ship can be righted. Gov. Pence the enthusiasm across the country for Donald Trumps message and his vision is overwhelming. Donald trump is not there yet. These are two men building a good relationship. I am confident that after donald trump is elected president and paul ryan is elected speaker of the house, these two men will do great things. To restore this country at home and abroad. I strongly support paul ryan and strongly endorse his election. He is a longtime friend and he is a strong conservative leader. I believe we need paul ryan in leadership in the congress of the United States. I talked to donald trump this morning about my support for paul ryan and my longtime friendship, he strongly encouraged me to endorse paul ryan. In next tuesdays primary. Mark yesterday, mike pence met in arizona with john mccain, the same day that donald trump suggested to the Washington Post that john mccain has not been good enough to veterans. John, what is your sense of this . John if you are in a plane going through turbulence, its like rattling around, grabbing the stick, the pilot trying to stabilize the plane. He is making the best of a horrible situation for him, doing it quite well given the extremes in which he is operating. But people looking at this will think it is weird that there is this division on so many issues. Increasingly, where mike pence is in a different place and donald trump. Mark welcome to trump world, where things can be weird. Below the radar, you talk about the conversations below the radar. That is problematic. Mike pence is calming down donors, people in the media. Donors. More than anyone else. John more than anyone else. Mark he is doing it by largely being true to himself. And he can say donald trump sent endorseand urged him to support for paul ryan, but it is clear mike pence is trying to keep the peace within the party and get donald trump back to winning news cycles. Think about the hilarity. If the running mate were Newt Gingrich, the kerosene they would be pouring on it. Whereas mike pence is out there, not in the spotlight necessarily, but calming people down and giving the ticket a chance to try to regain footing. Likebolton to your point, i said, he is making the best of a bad situation. As we both know, if donald trump wants to drive this bus off a cliff, mike pence will not be able to keep that bus from going off the cliff. In the end, it all comes back to donald trump. God bless mike pence. I would not want to be him. Not at all. Last night, after we went off the air, the New York Times reported that meg whitman, a prominent republican donor, joining the ranks of republicans who plan to vote for Hillary Clinton in november. And not her own partys nominee. That is still a small club of republicans, but there is growing speculation that more defections are in the offing. Latehile, relatively donald trump endorser scott walker says he will not appear with his partys standardbearer friday when donald trump rolls into green bay. Mark, clearly, there will be more republicans backing clinton in the coming weeks, we know that is true. At what point does there get to be a Critical Mass that has an actual impact on the race . Mark at the state level. Yes, the National People like meg whitman will get attention. There may even be more members of congress. But it is people at the state level that can impact the race. Respected state officials, the Clinton Campaign will be sure to aggressively highlight them. They have a huge operation to promote news in battleground states. I think we are nowhere near Tipping Point, but we may get to one if donald trump has a bad first debate. I dont think there will be huge Tipping Point before then. John those things all matter. I tell you what. I would bet a lot of money that between now and november we will see an event orchestrated by the Clinton Campaign that is going to have a dozen or more diehard republicans, military people, former military people, a bunch general level, lieutenants, who will stand on stage and not just endorse her and say they will vote for her, but say this man should not have his finger on the nuclear button. That will matter. Mark here is the dirty secret about why paul ryan has done what he has done. And most republicans have stayed with donald trump. 70 of the base, maybe higher, in a gerrymandered district, they want donald trump. You abandon donald trump, there is no formula for winning a general election if 70 of the base is angry at you. John and nothing like that will affect the military people. Mark that is interesting. When we come back, we will talk about the cargo of cash the Obama Administration secretly sent to iran. But first, these words from our sponsors. Mark welcome back. Time to follow the money. The wall street journal as we said reported today that the Obama Administration secretly sent 400 million to iran in january, the same day four prisoners were freed. Senior Officials Say there is no link between that money and the prisoner exchange. They said the timing was early coincidental and the cash was part of a financial settlement with iran after a failed arms deal almost four years ago. Donald trump, rnc, john mccain, donald trump was unrelenting, leading to his speech in Daytona Beach on the criticism today. John, can they use this as an effective issue . John they can make it an effective issue about the iran deal. It divides the country. A lot of people think it is a bad deal. On the matter of substance, 400 million, we knew that we were going to send them a bunch of money, right . And this was part of that big chunk of money. Do not like the deal . Criticize the deal. Will this 400 million matter to anybody . On election day, i dont think so. Mark fires up the base. I dont know that this will cut across undecided voters or independents or anything, but i think with the base this is a great talking point. John it gives them away into criticizing the iran deal in general. Right . I mean, just because it is a hot point for the base. It gives them a hook on that argument. Mark i said the deal was four years ago, it was four decades ago. A very old issue. Clearly, the iranians wanted to tie up the issues. All at once. I will say, Foreign Policy in general, critiquing obamaclinton foreignpolicy is something donald trump and mike pence will have to do better. If theyre going to have foreignpolicy as a talking point. Trump has scrambled some of these issues. John good point. The other money story that team trump is trying to capitalize on are the new fundraising dollars, showing he raised 80 million in the month of july, most of it from lowdollar donors, ending the month with a trove of 37 million cash on hand, closing much of his fundraising gap with Hillary Clinton, who raised 90 million last month and has 58 million on hand. So, mark, do these numbers suggest to you that we should be in terms of what the Trump Campaign can contribute . Mark donald trump can now get people, as did Bernie Sanders and barack obama, into the rhythm of giving over and over, and it solves partially the fear that republicans are being badly outspent. On the other hand, they still have not figured out how they will spend the money they are bringing in. John i will give you credit. It seems like they arent able to capitalize. If they cant keep up with the Clinton Campaign in terms of money, all of their other problems will be compounded. This at least suggests the possibility they can do it. We know clinton will raise a ton of money between now and november. Mark what donald trump knows, and i give him credit for this, low dollar donors volunteer, keep giving. They are involved. John they dont max out. Mark they are also activists. They turn out to vote. They get their friends to turn out. John it is the obama legacy. Mark they had a very successful month. Lets see how they keep it up. John you have to have infrastructure to deploy them and get them to do stuff, but they dont have that yet. Will try. Said, they up next, checking in with some reporters out on the trail with donald trump and Hillary Clinton right after this. John we are joined now by two women who have been following both president ial candidates around this country for a long time. Katy tur joins us down the street from trump tower. Kasie hunt comes to us live from a clinton event. Katy, you have been on the Republican Party in this disarray, apocalypse, craziness mode all day. All day today. Katy all year. John ok, all year. Fair enough. Mark and i were saying that compared to how it could have gone, the day has not gone that badly for the Trump Campaign. What is your sense of the threat level right now over there at trump tower and the gop more broadly . Katy well, he did going to have a Campaign Rally in jacksonville, florida today, and he did not trash paul ryan, so a positive note for the campaign. I can tell you that behind the scenes, they are trying to tamp down on this idea that there is campaign infighting. They are saying donald trump has always been the outsider, the antiestablishment candidate. Why would he support john mccain if john mccain is not supporting him . Why would that come as a surprise . So, this idea that there is infighting in the campaign, theyre trying to put the brakes on that. And i can tell you that, at least from the sources i have been talking to, the infighting idea is not as large as it has been during past controversies, say when there were more Corey Lewandowski folks on the campaign. That are are aides people close to donald trump telling him that it is time, enough with the controversy. It is time to move on and focus on his message and start acting a little more president ial so he can win this race. Right now, if he continues with these controversies, its going to be harder and harder. Again, guys, in the middle of new york city. A fire engine, i apologize. Back to you. Mark kasie, we know part of the messaging from president obama and the Clinton Campaign is donald trump is not normal. How did they view the endorsement of meg whitman to get people to see Hillary Clinton in a different light . Kasie i would call it the normalization of voting for hillary, right . They are trying to make it so neighbors, longtime republicans in places like ohio feel like voting for Hillary Clinton is a perfectly normal thing to do, even if they have been members of the Republican Party for many , many years. That is why you are seeing split messaging. In any other year, we would of her democrats. Mitch mcconnell is just as bad as donald trump. You not seeing a traditional approach. They are trying to put donald trump on an island by himself, very different with fiscal in mind. John you said you were colorado naughty in the naughty pie, which lowers my level. I put that in there for you, john. John what is the message youre about donald trump ties, outsourcing, and all the rest . Kasie they make americanmade neckties, which Hillary Clintons campaign would like you to remember, that Donald Trumps neckties are not made in america. And this is all aimed at one group. Pollsters call them noncollege whites. Yes, we are in colorado, a much more diverse state, a swing state in the past, but right now the Clinton Campaign is not on the air here. The dedicated ad buy. They are not on the air in virginia. They are on the air in pennsylvania. And that should tell you a lot about what this is focused on. She is talking about things made in america. Tomorrow, she will be in los angeles talking about the apprenticeship programs. It seems like it is down in the weeds. Its about people who dont have college degrees. If they feel like they can make inroads with those people, they feel they can ensure they will win the election. The one number, we honestly talked a lot about the top line poll number, show her with a postconvention bounce. The important number is that she was up two points on the economy. He had been up on her 11 points in that category. They feel like if they can nail this part of it down, then they will be up to coast in a way they would not have been able to otherwise

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