Transcripts For BLOOMBERG With All Due Respect 20161011 : vi

BLOOMBERG With All Due Respect October 11, 2016

Mark there was a lot going on today. The prevailing consensus in the political world is that donald j. Trumps campaign is in dire condition. The wall street journal updated its National Poll with postdebate numbers today. Survey says, Hillary Clinton leads trump in the fourway matchup. Slightly smaller than his her margin yesterday. That was before monday respondents were added in. That suggests trumps performance may have helped from a freefall. But it is much steeper than it was just one week ago. So, how was donald trump responding to this . Today he launched one of his twitter tirades, he called paul ryan a weak and ineffective leader. And he lashed out at senator john mccain for disendorsing him over the year. And framing his campaign strategy, he wrote this on twitter so what does this unshackled donald trump do next . He released a new tv ad that revisits a topic of Hillary Clintons health. Our next president faces daunting challenges in a dangerous world. Iran promoting terrorism, korea threatening, isis on the rise, libya and north africa in chaos. Hillary clinton fails every single time. Secretary of state, now she wants to be president. Hillary clinton those not of the fortitude, strength, or stamina to lead our world. She failed as a secretary of state. Mark so john, to the extent you can discern a formula here, is trumps new gambit a potential path to victory for him, or pure, causing kamikaze. That is apocalypse now. The colonel when of the river, surrounded himself with a bunch of guys in cambodia, and they treated him like a god, and he gradually went totally insane. That is what that is about. A strategy, i said this yesterday on the show, having seen him yesterday in pennsylvania. We are amped up to 11, it is a great strategy if you want your base, the 37 of people right now, who are for him, to be really excited and pumping their fists and yelling and screaming at the television. But it is not a strategy to expand your voting pool to the point that you can even get back to contention, let alone win. Joke i will make this a again, if he is running to be editor in chief of breitbart, he has a good platform. For trump to become president , he needs to get republicans back on his side. It is possible, that if he does all this stuff and regains the people he has lost over the past few days, then beats are in the debate, more clinton disclosures, this ad breaks through it is still a role struggle. But because he is currently seen through the prism am of unhinged and out of control, all of this stuff causes them to have a bad day. John you are right. Who are the republicans to the left . Not the hardcore trump people. They are in the middle of the electorate, the moderate republican to read those are the ones that fled, like he has attacked john mccain and paul ryan. He is running an ad that looks like it was from 2008 that the Mccain Campaign was afraid to run it is like apocalypse now. Ark it is pure petulance he sends the message, do not cross me. That can work if you six months out and trying to get people in line. But 30 days out . John and only if you are on the rise, not flailing. Mark all he is doing is making more enemies than sending a message of disarray. John i agree, and not getting back republicans he needs. Another thing people are talking about is House Speaker paul ryan telling House Republicans yesterday they should feel free to flee from donald trump if that is what is necessary to save their skin and help his party remain the majority in the lower chamber. Not yesterday still has ruled out rescinding his endorsement of trump sometime in the future. But, ryan has shied away from public spats with his partys nominee. Donald trump has not. Today during that social media rampage, trump targeted ryan by tweeting trump also tweeted this bigger has been in a tough position for months. This heightens concerns republicans could lose the house. As ryan and goal changed here, or merely his method of achieving it . Mark before, he was making the case trump could get elected president and would sign things into law that would be more conservative than Hillary Clinton. He no longer thinks trump can win and no longer wants trump to win, though he will no longer say that. He is trying to save the house to have a bulwark against Speaker Pelosi and alldemocratic control. Has beene communicating with paul ryan, but basically, paul ryan is now saying, this is not my goal, to get donald trump elected. John if we go back to the period when he was meditating whether to endorse trump or not. He said he will offer it on the condition that he takes tutelage from me. Outsource the policy part to me. When i saw them in pennsylvania, he was railing against free trade and entitlement reforms, two of the pillars that ryan believes needs to happen. If he asked you who you would get actual reforms for in trade deals, he is betting Hillary Clinton would be easier to work with to get those things done than donald trump. Ryan, the best chance to save majority, is to have trump run well. Now his position, the best way to keep a majority is to warn republicans that you must turn out to vote for House Republicans. John i agree with you, not just because he wants to save the majority. If ryan looks down the road at what could yield the policy outcomes he wants, a Clinton Presidency with a Republican House in either chamber mark mixed bag. John trump has rejected all the things he wants them to. Mark not all of them. The judges. John fair enough. Mark on the flip side of trumps tribulations, i give you a Hillary Clinton. She is whistling a happy tune. Sheerday in columbus, ohio drew what is said to be her largest crowd of the entire campaign. Take a look at this New York Times photo. It also click like a donald trump or Bernie Sanders rally. Service says there were more than 18,000 people in attendance. Clintons outdoor event yesterday was welltimed. It was a show of strength when the campaign needed one, because her campaign usually holds events during the day when there are fewer people because they are at work area this was a big rally to keep our momentum going. ,nother big rally in miami where she appeared alongside al gore. Meanwhile, for the second day in a row, wikileaks drafted additional hacked emails allegedly from the inbox of john podesta. Revelations, and email from march suggesting Donna Brazile, shew the interim chair kicked off Clintons Campaign with the question coming from a cnn town hall. Leaks like this would be making much bitter bigger waves in the political world. Most of these things are drowned out, including on this program, by all the dysfunction donald trump is causing within the Republican Party. So as we continue to look at these wikileaks questions, including people in the clintons orbit, what would it take for her to lose the news cycle . John i will go super simple here, it would take a controversy that is not inside baseball. Everything coming out of these wikileaks so far is inside baseball. The reason trump is a potent force in the last 16 months is that he talks in the language and about issues in a big, bold way that is not about the inside stuff. All this clinton stuff is a stuff politico might be interested in, but not stuff that when trump hammers on it, it seems so small compared to the controversies of his campaign. Which, everyone in the country understands. Mark the problems republicans have with this stuff, it is medium grade. It speaks to inside stuff, like the clintons strategies. People complained about other members of the team. There are questions about the state department and the functions there. There are some questions about whether there was Improper Conduct with the justice department. But again, as you suggested, so much smaller in the way it is covered. The freak show media circus that donald trump, fighting with the speaker of the house himself, not Hillary Clinton it is hard for donald trump to win a new cycle right now. Unless, the polls come out and it turns out all the speculation about trump being damaged, if he starts to be even in polling, he could win. John the New York Times account is fascinating. I am interested to read but position, her keystone Donna Brazile dropping a question, i get it. If there is nothing else going on because talk all day about it. But considering information andt Sexual Assault republican anarchy, the whole party melting down, it is nothing. The sights and sounds of Hillary Clinton day with al gore. John you mentioned earlier that Hillary Clinton shared a stage day with al gore in miami, florida. Not always the greatest history between clinton and gore since they competed two decades ago. They had not been the chummy us of political pals. He did not attend the democratic convention, all of which made their debut today all the more fascinating. Was first and foremost, their body link which. They sat a little bit far part, but eventually embraced and applauded throughout the rally. Heres what they had to say about each other. I am mostinton what excited about is to be here with one of the world foremost leaders on Climate Change, al gore. [applause] mrs. Clinton those 30 years of leadership led al gore to be awarded the Nobel Peace Prize in 2007. Proud. Ery there is not anybody who has done more, worked harder. I cannot wait to have al gore advising me when i am president of the United States. Gore she will make solving the Climate Crisis a top priority. Your vote really, really, really counts. You can consider me as a exhibit a of that truth. That Hillary Clinton, we will build on the progress made under president obama with the paris agreement. She has proposed a terrific plan. I went through that with a fine toothed comb. Our plan on solar panels and itanding renewable energy, is right at the limit of what we can do. And that is exactly the kind of that we need from the next president of the United States of america. I would say with all due y, we have immodest been studying them together for a long time. Your cause mixed thoughts about what went down today . Rivals in thee white house, and over the years they have not been close. The gore family felt that bill clintons conduct in the white house john they were disgusted by it. All today was a sign of hands on deck for the democrats, and the desire of Hillary Clinton to use al gore to not necessarily appeal directly to the millennials, but it is a bank shot. You appeal to millennials to care about Climate Change, and floridians and others in states that may be close because al gore is the world leading expert on every vote counts. Seeing them together, no doubt al gore continues to have a jaundiced view of the clintons. John lets unpack it a bit more. They were rivals because of the fact that gore believed he was the Vice President and Hillary Clinton believed she was the Vice President. Fought for bill clintons year ear. A problem with bill clinton because of his behavior. And she thought he was not officially liberal. They have never liked each other. Was miserable in the white house, and a large part of it was because of her. But he still cares tremendously about Climate Change. His reputation has taken a they thought it was hypocritical for him to sell to an oilproducing nation. Also bitter over what happened in 2000. His feeling that the election was stolen from him. And like all democrats, he regards trump as a menace to read he wants to be out there and does not want to see this happen again. That was his message today. I think he feels it in a heartfelt way. Mark you have to understand the psychology of al gore. He won the popular vote, he should have been president. So he has dabbled in president ial politics since then it has largely stayed out of it. You canim come back, imagine a world in which he would be out there a lot more. The fact that they have done one is a testament to the all hands on deck approach. Teletext,he hates almost more than anyone i have ever met. He desperately wanted to become president , but did not want to do anything to get there. To get him on stage give you a sense of the stakes. When we come back, the clinton advisor and a trump advisor walkup in gotham city. Mark earlier today, john and i hosted an event with two important political fundraisers. By the founder of an Investment Firm and a trump economic alice the advisor. And a Hedge Fund Manager and advisor to Hillary Clinton. Toe is what the former had say about what he thinks of trumps chances of winning the president ial election. I would say there right now, there is a one in five shot, or one in 10, somewhere between there. Because what you know about politics is that anything can happen. 20 . He later took to twitter to reiterate his forecast is based on polling and prediction markets. He said mr. Trump always exceeded those mr. Trump always exceeded those expectations. What do you think of one of Donald Trumps supporters suggesting his chances are not good . John i thought he was being honest. Totally fair, he defended donald trump throughout the thing. He may be extended argument for why he was with them after what came out in these tapes. But he can read the polls, these guys look at numbers all day long. He is looking at traditional markets and polls. And making an accurate assessment over what anyone would think the races that now. A goes back to something we discussed before. Every trump surrogate will be asked about the controversies because everyone is hearing them. They involve donald trump himself. The problem is, democratic beingates, they are not asked about every clinton scandal. In part, because reporters cannot keep up with the my new shop of everyone. And not everyone will have an opinion about it. John they are not as relatable. You can ask what he thinks of white what his wifes what is white or daughters cash what his wife or daughters think about it. What donald trump should do to win the election. What i would be focused on right now, i would get a Balance Sheet out, i would get those 92nd clips, the one he did friday night, or the apology, and i would say, this is where i stand on these issues. This is where the secretary stands on these issues. This is why these will be debilitating. And i would stream it and go right over the top of the Mainstream Media right to the american people. More than he can with a crowd. And i would lay out each thing, whether it is immigration or trade. I would also get his surrogates to be better coordinated so that when there are messages coming out from him they can have a message similar to the one he is beaming in. Of course, making an argument that trump is policyfocused at the moment he had an ad attacking Hillary Clinton and her health. It is an interesting prescription, but fantasyland. Mark mike pence gave a couple speeches. It revs up the base than the way trump is taking now. Pursueobviously will not a Campaign Based on policy. And, the believe that centrism in this country has shifted to the left. At the end of the day, with the issues we have, and you have seen it how it happened with bernie. T was the center has moved it is not where i was four years ago or eight years ago. You will need more government intervention. I know the feeling is for it to be in the center, but with the issues you have out there, you will need more government intervention. What position she has taken in the center, and he did not have an answer. John i do not know what the center is shifting, but the thing is, mark lazarus is concerned about economic stuff. The Democratic Center has moved to the left. And cultural politics across the country have moved to the left. You never hear about reforming entitlements or eliminating government or eliminating waste. Were 90s new democrat arguments, and they are not like that. Fascinating to hear those guys friendly with each other agree on that. Including thinking that president clinton and speaker ryan could get a lot of work done. Coming up, we talk to a trio of political titans about the state of the president ial race. John our next guest tonights three guests. From our nations capital, we have gary bauer, a former president ial candidate and current donald trump supporter. From boston, we have jeb bushs former Campaign Strategist and in los angeles, we are joined by strategist, robert shrum. What an incredible trio you are. Us, but yout see are lined up ideologically in a in an odd way. Im going to ask where the race is right now . Is this race a sickly over . Basically over . Guest it never over until its over. Whether its sports or politics, you get up and fight as if you could win. Its important for the ticket, push the and hence to campaign that way. You go on and make your points. Theres a tremendous amount of vulnerabilities for Hillary Clinton. One of them that has gotten kind of buried in all of this is that a good bit of the Industrial Base in this country has been devastated and people that have been voting democrat for years feel their party has abandoned them. Those are new people for the Republica

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