rubio, cruz, and christie who just watched those guys over the month and see if they pop. the second thing is as dana pointed out, this is a sequential process. we don't have a national primary we don't all vote on the same day. it's one race after another and what happens in iowa is going to have a huge influence on what happened in new hampshire and that's going to have a huge influence on what happens in south carolina. and then finally, you know, to continue being the grinch here, the head-to-head polls, those don't -- the head-to-head general election polls, those don't really tell you -- don't have a lot of predictive value until a little bit later in the cycle. and then the final thing is, remember the caucuses are on february 1st. in previous cycles, i was in iowa on new years eve. we have an extra month compared to some of the previous cycles. so a long way to go. i would not be preparing my victory speech in cleveland if i were donald trump just yet.