intensified. you can see the eye becoming very well defined. it was up until the last few images, moving in a north-northwesterly direction. but i believe it is starting to flatten out. that is not great. it is precarious for the tacloban area. we here at the cnn weather center believe it will take a more westerly path with the exception of maybe a slight northeasterly turn. let's talk about the difference in the computer models. the global models showing it is running parallel with the east coast, then moving in late saturday and impacting places like manila, impacting tacloban. either way you look at it, this is a major storm and all preparations need to be under way across the philippines. >> generally speaking, would we expect it to hit saturday if it hits the philippines?