but also because you have history against these very strange factors. you have history telling you what will happen to a president in the first midterms, his party. then you have the dobbs decision, which is not like some routine piece of legislation, but has awakened a lot of people, and it's not that easy to visualize. you go to a trump rally and you see 10,000 people in a stadium fired up. you don't have sames s you don't have sametadiums full women, but they're out there, and it's picking up in some voter registration and polling. so i think there's a lot of uncertainty. >> some of the signals that political reporters look at to figure out what's going on -- >> it wasn't just "inside politics with abby phillip" it wasn't just roe v. wade,