>> because he doesn't want his people to panic. >> to mobilize this in the middle of winter, four weeks ago or before christmas when women there could be 170,000 soldiers. you can't put a nation like that on war footing like that. >> so everything depends on what putin decides to do. he spoke today for the first time in a month. he said the west is ignoring rushlg's security concerns and goading russia. he said being surrounded by so many nato allies as encroachment, being surrounded by the west. what do you think he might do next? >> you know, it's unpredictable. that statement was an answer to what happened in the u.n. yesterday where russia was just bleeding and bleeding. what could he do next? he could do a bolt attack but that's not the way they usually operate. they usually try to go in on the basis of a provocation. we found a false flag