Fromme, and others weigh in. Also we cant be by stand force bigotry. The president was at a mosque this week to talk about islam and america. All continue that conversation with one of americas most prominent muslims, basketball great, kabir abduljabbar. And what can texas learn from alberta, canada . What can we all learn from california . An idea whose time has come. Ill explain. Then, doctors and big data. The brave new world of medicine and how it will help you live to 100. Dr. David agis joins me. Finally, how would you like to go from l. A. To San Francisco in about 30 minutes without ever taking off . That dream was brought one step closer to reality this week. I will tell you about it. First, heres my take one of Donald TrumpsStock Campaign lines is that the Iran Nuclear Agreement was terrible. Im beginning to wonder if thats true, but in a sense opposite than what he means. Iran has ended up with a much worse deal than it expected. Remember, iran entered the negotiations in the heady days of scrkyhigh oil prices. As the iranians are discovering, its a new world out there. Put yourself in their shoes, the republic got serious about negotiating and signed an interim agreement in 2013. That year, oil was hovering around 100 a barrel. Irans great rival, saudi arabia, was thriving with an dmae had grown about 6 economy that had grown about 6 in 2012. Spending lavishly at home and abroad, the budget swelled 19 . Iran, meanwhile, was isolated with a shrinking kmemp the real price was not the return of funds frozen in banks in asia and europe because of International Sanctions totaling about 100 billion, it was to final get back into the markets as the secondlargest oil producer in the middle east and reap the riches of the boom. In 2010, iranian officials were predicting in staterun media that by 2015 irans oil and gas revenues could reach 250 billion annually. Thats what they were banking on when making concessions at the nuclear table. Last month, irans oil began flowing into the marketplace with prices under 30 a barrel. Bloomberg news calculates the country is making 2. 35 billion a month on oil sales. Not quite what the Islamic Republic was expecting for giving up its nuclear program. Still, iran will probably be able to handle the oil bust better than many other petrol states. Its economy has diversified to some degree, and thanks to sanctions, there is great resilience in both the economy and society as moodys points out. This is not the case in many other large countries that are reeling under the hammer blow of falling oil prices. Look at iraq. The New York Times paints a picture of a country in the midst of an expensive war against the Islamic State that is now facing economic calimity brought on by the collapse in the price of oil which accounts for more than 90 of the iraqi governments revenue. He notes that almost eight million iraqis depend on government salaries which cost about 4 billion a month. Total oil revenues are less than 3 billion a month these days. A senior iraqi politician told me that iraq might not survive as a nation if Oil Prices Stay low for long. Across the globe in venezuela, long mismanaged by hugo chavez and his successor, the country is on the verge of default and worse. The economy shrank 10 last year. It is expected to shrink an additional 8 this year. Inflation now runs at a republiclike 720 according to the International Monetary fund. As the Washington Post matt obrien writes, the only question is whether venezuelas government or economy will completely collapse first. There are other oil states not quite as challenged as these, but most of them when problems. The answer, economists say is, to embase structural embrace structural reforms, wean economies away from Natural Resources and invest in other industries in human capital. Thats hard to do at any time, but especially hard when your country is in free fall. In any event, oilproducing nations have government thats desperately need cash simply to pay salaries and meet basic obligations. That means they will pump out as much oil as they can which further adds to supply and keeps prices low. Welcome to the new world of cheap oil and perilous politics. For more, go to cnn. Com freed, and read my Washington Post column this week, and lets get started. What to make of iowa and what to make of who will win tuesday in New Hampshire. What does it all mean . Lets get right to president ial politics with a terrific panel. David fromme has gotten a lot of attention for a recent cover story on the republicans in the atlantic where he is a senior editor. Hes also chairman of policy exchange, a u. K. Based conservative think tank. Arianna huffington is, of course, arianna huffington, the president and editorinchief of the Huffington Post media group. Until two months ago, her website reported on Trumps Campaign in the entertainment section, not the politics section. Jacob weissburg is chairman and editorinchief of the slate group, author of the book i recommended recently called simply ronald reagan. Katerina vandenhuvel is author of the nation. Her magazine has already made an endorsement for the president ial race, Bernie Sanders. Arianna, how surprised were you by iowa . I wasnt really surprised. I think what was surprising is the way all the polls had got ten wrong and the way everybody in the media kept touting those polls saying the Des Moines Register poll has it wrong once, outside the margin of error. There was an expectation that trump would win based on nothing more than the way polling results dominate political coverage. In the sense that the media are covering the polls, they are not really covering the campaigns. David, youve been writing that you think rubio has a rough road ahead. Would you agree, though, that it seems to be separating into three groups, the hard right sort of economic conservatives, plus evangelicals for cruz, the establishment mainstream whatever you call it for rubio, and the strange third group of populus nativists for trump. Are those the three categories . That sounds right. And rubio is certainly he is leading in the group it is most lucrative to be leading in. You would like to be his finance chairman in the week after iowa. Theres a tendency to report its over because hes leading in the most lucrative lane. H he has to dominate quickly and persuade others to exit soon and graciously. He has is on persuade jeb bush not to use his remaining 50 million of super pac money to destroy rubio in the way theyve been doing until now. He has to find a way to get donald trump to exit the stage without smash all the scenery on the way off the set. Well what do you think of rubio . When you look at him from your perspective, does he seem more moderate . A short time ago, he wassed the tea party moderator. Now hes the establishment figure. I see a dangerous vessel for the neocon forces which have damaged our country around him. I think his youthful exuberance masks regressive and old policies. Great belicosity. Someone wrote it aes tough to two great people belying their parents heritage. To pick up on what arianna said, one thing that strikes me about the deflation of donald trump, certainly a lesson out of iowa, its the polling. But its the media mall practt k principal practice that weve seen. Donald trump entertain coverage. But the lavish devotion to donald trump last summer and at the rallies, whether its about ratings and cliques for media companies. I think well look back, and its a grave disis was to this country, certainly disservice to the country, certainly in coverage of Bernie Sanders lasteraly that got almost no outcome last summer. I think we saw the right o outcome, donald trump deflated. Smaimarco rubio is the last candidate talking about ronald reagan. Compared to the last cycles, theres usually a eventration of reagan to deatification. Not so much this time. In one of the library they invoked reagan 42 times, only invoked god 16 times to give a sense of the hiker ay in the party. Hierarchy in the party. There are two parts, one is the style of reagan. Rubio has a little bit of that. Hes optimistic, positive. The other, most of the other candidates are so inherently negative and pessimistic in a corrosive way. Also at the level of ideas, rubio was probably privately a little closer to reagans view of the world. Reagan had a view of american identity and republican politics that was inclusive. He came up with the term amnesty. He signed the biggest amnesty weve ever had. He believed that american identity was about immigration and assimilation and opportunity. Trump is running the opposite, cruz is running in the opposite. Rubio believes it in a way. I think about media malpractice, i think the worst med media practice is about the lack around donald trump. One that he is banning 1. 6 billion people in this world, all muslims in this country. This is a standing proposal, unprecedented, not just by anybody else in this race but in any race. And he was interviewed on the most serious sunday political shows except yours without anybody asking him that question. The sunday before iowa, that is true malpractice. And hes the only candidate who is still a birther, who still denies the legitimacy of the sitting president because he doubts whether he was born in this country. But the donald trump danger, i think, the real danger and davids written about this were witnessing a gop crackup. I think donald trump is fusing the kind of old nativism, xenophobia, fear mongering with speaking to an anne alienated white working class. We cant lose sight even though the majority is latinos, africanamerican, young people. Donald trump spoke about corporate inversions, unpatriotic companies leaving. And maintaining the universal health care guarantee. The one person who said that should not be with drawn. Its unusual to see a right wing pop limp rising at the same time as you would see a democratic progressive populism. Trump violated a gentlemans agreement, and it was a gentlemans agreement in the Republican Party, that nativism is not okay. Paranoia as indicated by the birther obsession is not okay. Weve had a little bit of flashes of that, maybe Pat Buchanans president ial campaign. For the most part the republicans have turfed that out since the nixon years. Theres been an establishment by william f. Buckley and the old National Review that said you cant do that here. Now you can do that here. And even when trumps over, that opportunity is going to exist. All right. Weve got to go. 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Fromme, arianna huffington, jacob weisburg, and katerina vandenhuvel. The democrats, i think youre in love, the nation magazine. There is no love. We for a long time have never believed political figures are messiahs. We dont fall in love with politicians. Weve been covering Bernie Sanders for close on to 30 years. I think in this unprecedented moment about a decade out from the financial crash which so ravaged thousands of peoples lives and there still hasnt been the real reckoning, i think Bernie Sanders has laid out a bold economic populist message, challenging the big grip of money, one of the big money grips in our country. Hes electrifying young people whose lives have essentially been shaped if you think by this last decade, and building a new coalition. The road is steep, but i think this election is changing the parameters of what has been considered feasible. Hes opening space for more powerful Progressive Movement and building independence into it. The white working class, but spi speaking also of race and weaving together of class and race. You say he doesnt have a chance. Iowa was his chance and he blew it . If the Democratic Party cant rally to him in iowa, the great home of democratic, he may run in New Hampshire but will run into the rest of the Democratic Party. A heavy minority vote, people who are not collegeeducated professionals, the people who like him best. He gets into trouble. I mean, its a strange populist message because his populist message is quite an upmarket populist message. In the Republican Party the populist message is a downmarket message. In iowa, i thought it was a small rally where Bernie Sanders spoke with People Living near the poverty level. This woman spoke about the shame she lives with as she tries to care for her family. Shes assembling an interesting coalition. He needs to introduce himself to the minority constituencies, the rising american majority. Theres a lot of enthusiasm, theres a lot of the need for turnout in the democratic base. The road is steep. The road is steep. The most fascinating thing about him to me is following iowa, 74 84 , 84 voted for a 74yearold man, and its almost like a kind of a roadtrip movie where you go on with the 74yearold man who is teaching you about socialism, and you love it. But it also has to do with the fact that millennials demand authenticity. They demand awe then tiftd from the product authenticity from the products they buy and demand authenticity from the candidates they vote from for. In New Hampshire we have onethird millens. In the latest survey, almost 90 are out for Bernie Sanders. And the other thing that we havent seen yet is the impact of women. You know, they still have excitement why is there no first woman to ever win the Iowa Caucuses . I think its still dormant. But my daughters i mean, the reason they havent picked between hillary and bernie is because theyre so excited about the idea of the first woman president. I think the debate will play out. The campaign hasnt found a way to speak in a way thats convincing. Its happened all over the world including in countries in pakistan where you think what woman wouldnt be viable. And in a way. Its sort of too little too late. Although i think at some point there will be a sense if it become imminent that were going to have the first woman president and women will get excited and some men will get excited about that. I think its exciting. There are people, women in the nation, supporting Hillary Clinton. But you know, i want to say one thing we havent talked about. Its striking to me at this time, fareed, of just perilous, complex International Crises that we havent heard enough, it seems to me, in the debates and in the town hall forums, about the candidates views of the world. I think theres a Foreign PolicyBumper Sticker were getting. But id like to hear from senator sanders more on his differences with Hillary Clinton. I think Hillary Clinton is more hawkish. I think experience is not judgment. Some wrong lessons have been drawn from her time. Just as part of this we seem provincial in some of these debates. Its been a Weak Campa