We have three states that will be a little tough for us, that is west virginia, montana, and south dakota. Im sure we will talk about south dakota. But we have strong incumbents in the red states. We have two more tossups, iowa and colorado. Our candidates are running very strong but they are very tough. If you talk to anybody on both sides of the aisle, as he races tighter and tighter, the maps become narrower. What gives you the confidence if you look at all the , all sayaround town that the republicans are favored. Youre going to have to run the table in places like North Carolina, iowa, colorado. Where is your confidence coming from . Out of those six races, they have to pick up four of them. Races, the at the ,emographics, kay hagan somebody who, 18 months ago they said there was no chance she would be winning. Here she has, to five days out, and she has a small but steady lead. Phenomenalve a infrastructure. If you look at the early vote numbers, absentee vote numbers, those are in our favor. Colorado, heres the funny thing about colorado. In 2010, he never let in a poll. E public and he came out to win. There will be a strong latino presence there. They say 7 of the electorate, i do think that will be true, i think it will be closer to 10 or 12 . They have not had a lot of competitive races lately. It is like telling fertile soil. Tilling fertile soil. There is no expensive piece in a washington publication about what is going on in alaska. An expensive piece in a washington location about what is going on in alaska. Hat is why im confident and their candidates are not great candidates. The do not have a todd akin, but that does not mean that they have good candidates. Tom tillis is a prime example. People are smart, and i think that when they go to the booth, they will realize what the choices. Three weeks left. Are you locked in on your strategy . Where are you putting your money in on the end . There is always flexibility. One thing that has been reported is that in michigan, we will be throttling back spending their as gary peters continues to expand his lead. We know they states that we will be playing in, the ones that we mentioned. There could be something going on and south dakota, which im assuming we will get to. We will continue to spend in new hampshire, because outside groups are spending millions there. Dakota, ator south crazy situation, a fourway race. Larry, he has no money himself, his wife is very human around and he puts his own press releases out. Will you jump in there . We will look at it and try and gather some more data. I think that we pride ourselves on being efficient. It looks like, externally, there are some things happening. There could be a path for us. A lot of people have written it off. It seems to be tightening up. We are gathering the research so that, and the next five days or so, we will make decisions. Do think he could rebound against the democrat . They could say, look, and is in our state attacking me. Harry reid is in our state attacking me. He will attack the democrat anyway. We will be smart, we will be careful. Three weeks out, we have to make sure that people know what the choices. He is having problems with the electorate in what should be in what should be an easy stay for republicans. I think that we have seen the Democratic Senatorial Committee is going in there. What arkansas what about kansas . Kansas is very interesting. Can i make a macro point and then come back down . Where we aretes seeing a response to republican overreach, and that is kansas and North Carolina. In kansas, we have sam brownback, who wants to turn into an experiment. And what does that leave you with . In North Carolina, they have far overreached cutting education, the ideological war on women. Redes that should be beet are in play because of what they are doing at the state level. Kansas, we have a fancy word in dc called caucusing. Greg has not decided what side he will be on. I do not see a role for us there, but we will continue to watch it. Reid is mentioned harry a big force behind your pac. He has spent time complaining about the Koch Brothers and your pac has been one of the biggest spenders in the election cycle. The exact thing that senator reid complains about. I was is not hypocritical . How is this not hypocritical . I know we are both baseball fans. There is a fantastic manager, he was with the philadelphia phillies, and he said that we should not have the designated hitter rule. But he did not bench david r ts oritz. Does he like the rules as they are . Absolutely not. But as long as the republicans refused to reform the system and the Supreme Court rules like it does, we have to play like it is. Continues republicans to keep these rules in place, continue to vote against Real Campaign finance reform, were going to have to cant just cede what has become an important part of the political atmosphere. Of it is interesting that republicans are saying that democrats are outspending them. Do you think that democrats have become better than republicans at their own game, and or the democrats doing the same thing they did in 2010 . Absolutely not. We have groups like afp, part arehe koch network that spending 200 million in the cycle. It would never be able to catch up with that. We would never be able to catch up with that. They do a lot of their money reported which is not to read it looks like they are spending nothing, but it is filed differently. We will never be to compete with him dollar for dollar. In ad spending, in the New York Times they ran a story. About 200,000,004 republicans compared to 70 million for democrats. We have to be efficient and work well. We have been able to spend 35 million. Have phenomenal and what phenomenal allies, like emilys list, to make sure that our dollars go further. President. Have the he has helped you raise money. How big of an advantage is that . President obama has been supportive of the organization. Has said to what it people in the democratic party, to donors, is, look. The election is important. It matters. And there will be a flood of them republican money. Like i said in the previous question, we may not like the system, but this is the system we have. We cant tell candidates that you are going to get 100 million in tv ads against you and you will not be able to fight back. I think that is an important thing to bring people that might not normally vote in. I think there is this myth, and some of it is based in reality, the democrats vote big on president ials and not in midterms. I think that technology is changing got a little bit. I think that signals that this election is a big deal. Host how big a liability as he . Guest this goes back to my whole thing on the national environment. Look is the president , particularly popular in some of the states . No. We can all read poll numbers. But this isnt the president isnt on the ballot. If you are Mary Landrieu or kay hagan, you vote for a bill not because it is the president s bill. Its because you vote for what is right for your state. So, you know Something Like , equal pay for women. Something like raising the minimum wage. These are all important issues that have been championed by the president. He is the head of the party. But also by our members. Because they know it is right for their state. Republicans its funny. In the New York Times, they reported on it just this week. The republicans thought they were going to win this whole election by talking about the economy. The economy is getting better. Is there more to do . Absolutely. We must do more. Obamacare. You see that a lot. That is going to win the election. Well, you know obamacare is , working. The website is getting better. People are getting coverage. They are trying to create a sense of fear and distrust. And that is a sad thing for a party that you dont have a vision you are advocating for. That you are just saying, you know what, be afraid. Be scared. Vote for our guys. Because we will make it better. Is that a messaging strategy that you are using that has been particularly effective in the red states . I think what has been effective is showing voters what are the consequences of what i would deem it a very reckless and irresponsible agenda that republicans are advocating, and whether they are in washington, or the republican study committee, which is a powerful faction, they are going to raise the medicare age or the Social Security age. In North Carolina, if you were going to cut education, if you are going to cut things like our earned income tax credit, if you are going to make this ideological crusade against womens rights, that is with the messaging is. Its saying to people this is the reality of what is at stake for this election. What state would you say you have been most helpful or . Ffective in when you look back at the year. That is a little like judging a game in the fourth quarter. I think North Carolina how much of you spent . We are at about 13 million. And i could get up to 60 million . To 16that could get up million . Yeah, 60 million. Million. That is just television. We will expand the ways and means that we are reaching voters. Americans for prosperity really made North Carolina ground zero. In the state government, art pope was the head of the budget. They spent i want to say 30 million to 40 million on television. They have 40 to 50 fulltime staffers there. We have been on air since about thanksgivi time. Maybe even earlier. So i think there is one case that we have acted as a bulwark against the money. So that hagan would get swamped early so she can make her case. Which she has very efficiently and effectively done. And save her money. And be able to marshal her resources for the end. And the marshal her resources for the Field Program. Things like that. So she doesnt always have to be on tv. That is really our role. When these outside groups come in, whether it be the crossroads, part of the koch network, its making sure we are there to fight back. We will never be able to outspend them. We will never compete dollar for dollar. But in 2010, whether wasnt a Senate Majority pac, in the five most competitive races, wisconsin, illinois, our incumbents or candidates were outspent about eight to one. This was when crossroads really got going. Those were races we probably should have won. And we just didnt. We want to make sure the errors airwaves are at least competitive. Eight minutes. You are known for your tv ads. What are you doing on the ground . I would expand that how we are reaching voters. It is more than just tv ads. If you guys live in the virginia srea during the president ial your tv gets full pretty quick. , people grab a sandwich during the football game. We have to make sure we are reaching voters where they are. And what that is is when you log on to your facebook page, if you flip on pandora or hulu, just really expanding. Because as people become more in how theymented get their information. You have to make sure you are reaching them in where they are. We have done a very aggressive mail program. We have done a very aggressive digital program. Tv is the bulk of what we do. Absolutely. But it is not all that we do. Because people do get their information from so many other places. You need to get people Binge Watching campaign commercials. Good luck with that. [laughter] on the ground, are you aligned with mostly democratic groups . We dont really do much for typical Field Programs. Other than as i just mentioned, making sure to reach voters were they are. What do you foresee in 2016 . Is the group going to keep going . Senator reid will be up for reelection. Will that be a distraction for the pac . Have you talked about this . We are focused on the next days. 2016 will take care of itself. This was the most favorable environment for republicans. Next cycle will be very favorable on paper to democrats. They have vulnerable incumbents in pennsylvania, and ohio, and wisconsin, and illinois. States that they won in 2010. That will boomerang back. They have two members that are running for president. Marco rubio and rand paul. Rob portman ohio has been eyed for vp. There will probably be great opportunities for the Senate Democrats to further expand the majority that we are going to hold in 2014. As far as us, we havent gotten there. In this election, we havent mentioned mcconnell grimes. How important is achieving that, just thinking back to senator daschle . Both kentucky and georgia and south dakota, but those are really the two best opportunities for pickups. Mitch mcconnell, its a very hard race. He is going to spend probably 50 million or 60 million. He has got a whole army of outside groups. But, allison, we have obviously been very involved there. We have spent more than 5 million making sure the the Biggest Group is on the democratic side. I know that the president is not particularly popular in kentucky. What people forget is in 2008, john mccain beat barack obama by 19 points. And Mitch Mcconnell beat his opponent by five. He has a history of underperforming. He rarely gets over 52 of the vote. His race against sloan in 96. He has this feeling. Look Alison Grimes is running a , very smart strategic campaign. Will it be a hard race . Absolutely. Mitch mcconnell is relentless. Relentless campaigner. A relentless strategist. He has a whole army of outside money. We are very confident that we will be in a position to win. Same with georgia. David purdue was had one of the most devastating pieces of information to come out about him when he said he was proud to be an outsourcer. That is devastating. Georgia and louisiana have more difficult. Would you be playing in those . Absolutely. Georgia, we have been active. We are going for the november 4 win. We think that is in the realm of possibility. Should that not be the case, we are prepared for the runoff. In georgia, our allies have been so effective as well. They have done the omens work there. Should they go to a runoff, then you have reserved time in both . We have not reserved time. The reasons for reserving time is that they think either prices will go up, or the airways will be too crowded. We will be able to battle back to both of those things. Some groups are trying to do the head fake of reserving airtime now. We are going for november. In louisiana, senator landrieu shook up heard her campaign, made some changes. Most people think a runoff is almost inevitable at this point for. Are you doing anything to ramp up in the final days . How do you see that shaking out . I think it will probably go to a runoff because of the ballot system. We are really playing for the november 4. We will have the resources to continue to be involved there in a heavy, heavy way. It will probably just continue what we have done. We wont know the Senate Majority may be until january. That is a real possibility. The new congress could be sworn in before we know who is in the majority. Which is exciting for people like us. I think we are probably unique in that situation. Everybody else probably would scratch their head. For political junkies, it could ruin christmas and new years, and ruin the championship game. And greg if he wins in , kansas, he will decide hes caucusing on which way he wants to go. I have to say we are kind of wrapping up. What has been fascinating about this cycle is that republican said the incumbents would be off the map. We would be charging virginia, new hampshire, michigan, oregon, minnesota, and they havent been able to. And i think that is a testament to what we have done, but more important, our candidates and their vision. So its been an interesting cycle. November 4, i think, will be a see if our Field Program what they are able to college. Will we outperform National Trends . But most important like, while us junkies like to get into the machinations of it all, is making sure we keep that democratic majority so that we can continue to build on the work we have done. Making sure women have access to health care. Students have access to homes. Seniors can retire with dignity. Thats why we love the game of it all. That is what is at stake in this election. You mentioned health care a couple of times. At the beginning of the year, that was the main issue. Absolutely. Over the last five years, we are probably seen about 1 billion spent around the health care bill. Both in tv ads, and you know people know what is in the bill. You are not going to move it a lot of undecideds. Are there so people that it fires up and they hate the bill . Sure. They are not going to destroy the bill. Theink that for the bulk of folks in the middle realize that the Health Care System is getting better. Prices are going down. Saying things like seniors getting wellness visits. These things are starting to get into effect. If no idea of the scary unknown, but the actual policy coming into effect. You get republicans going out there saying we are going to take this away from you. I dont think that is a message that is going to resonate. Particularly with swing voters. We have to improve upon it . Absolutely. Every legislation needs to be improved. But Mitch Mcconnell wants to rip it out by the root and branch. Specifically, i dont the gets the most effective method. Thats it for our time. Ty matsdorf, thanks for being here. Newsmakers is back with carl hulse. And the politico. We just talked to ty matsdorf. He is bullish on his chances for achieving his goals. He referenced that most of the polls out there suggested is a tough road for democrats. What is the reality . It is very close for democrats, but it is doable, though. Earlier in the year some people , thought that wouldnt even be possible. I think republicans give a lot of credit to the Senate Majority pac. I had a republican who went on for three or four minutes. About what a great job. And he said that was off the record, because i cant have a big story about me praising harry reids pac. I think that they and i would be interested to hear what you say i think that they are credited with keeping the democrats in this to a great extent. Definitely. I think that, going back to 2012, when democrats started using this big operation, they realize they had to be e