Transcripts For ESPRESO 20240703 : vimarsana.com

ESPRESO July 3, 2024

P. M. Nayspresso, this is a scary place and such places have appeared again in ukraine, we see them in in the liberated cities of the torture chamber, we know about their existence in the occupied territories of the russian world. If he had rolled back to lviv, it is very possible that this place would have worked again as a prison, as a place of destruction. Who knows . Where would i be, where would you be, but now this is a museum at the cost of the lives of our soldiers , at the cost of destruction, the price that all of ukraine is paying. In case of Us National Security kudos to ukraine, dear mr. Ambassador , i welcome you to the espresso broadcast well, the key story of the g20 summit meeting with a rather ambiguous result, in particular , is the final resolution from one we were hoping for a much clearer position of india in particular, and not only of india. On the other hand, we saw that the g20 is starting to play its alternative game, which does not coincide with the vision of putin or china. Ukraine for the Peace Process , i do not think that it will have significant consequences , such statements ultimately mean nothing. We all know that the United States and its european allies remain determined to support ukraine unchanged and as mrs. Fondelaien said, ukraine will provide everything that is necessary, the usa has already provided a total of about 73 billion dollars in aid to the eu, even a little more, and President Biden has requested another 23 billion. Thus, from a political point of view, such a resolution demonstrates that the russian side was able to use the risk the lack of a comic that means so much to nonrender mods as a threat to harm the g20 or as a way to replace the clear wording of last years communique that condemned the russian invasion of ukraine the Ukrainian Government is disappointed by such a resolution, which personally, but in the end i think that its impact on the Peace Process will be zero, we feel that in washington , in particular, in the administration of president joseph biden, they may finally mature to change their position, in particular, it is about the allocation of longrange Missile Systems in the country , we understand as much as it is necessary, and not even for the purpose of storming russian positions, because it would save the lives of our soldiers who are forced to overcome these defensive fortification lines of surovykin. I feel that the mood in washington regarding the attacks is changing. I really hope so. We also need to provide ukraine with better air defense equipment and aircraft. The time for providing the f16 has long come and while we wait , russia has adapted its tactics that allow it to launch bombs and drones behind the socalled surovikin line. As you know, the russians now use a lot of conventional gravity bombs, which they equipped with wings and gps so that the russian planes drop the bombs, leaving behind the line the navies, so they are on their own will fly to ukrainian positions and cities in the Biden Administration stated that for a counteroffensive in ukraine, armored vehicles, artillery and ammunition are needed and that there is no real need for f16 fighters now everything is changing Energy Russia will be able to attack counteroffensive Ukrainian Forces from afar beyond the surovykin lines using updated bombs, russian planes are needed will shoot from the sky and this is exactly why ukraine needs f16 so the time has come for f16 and for attacks, and i wish it is very insincere, even dubious, that some in washington is impatient with the pace of advancement of ukraine and its counteroffensive, showing that ukraine does not need modern fighters for air cover, which every American Military commander would demand before even imagining the attempt of the counteroffensive that ukraine is currently carrying out. Dear mr. Ambassador, i cannot but ask you about the so called election cycles in particular in the United States and how they can influence the initiation of certain neonation negotiations , we understand that the United States is currently going through an election campaign, it will be very tough, in particular, is the proposal of the administration of joseph biden, which should work not only outside but also inside america, on the other hand, the war , especially taking into account the american defeat in afghanistan. We remember what happened a few years ago when they evacuated and did not take out representatives of the American Government the war requires some Additional Solutions , the administration of joseph biden cannot afford to reduce the degree of support for ukraine on the other hand, President Biden and his people must demonstrate certain victories for now support among American Voters for the continuation of our aid and assistance to ukraine is very strong, the American People know and believe that we have an obligation not only to ukraine but also to all our nato allies and to ourselves to make sure that russia loses and ukraine wins, so the american the public is well aware of what causes concern. This is because the Republican Party has radical politicians among the far right who politicize everything. They politicized the coronavirus pandemic. Ukraine from the United States is concerned with migration and all kinds of other issues , but now they are actively politicizing aid to ukraine. President trump , who is a president ial candidate, said that if he is elected in november 2024, he will stop russias war against ukraine within 24 hours. Of course, this is impossible. I think that if if he wins, he will not stop all aid to ukraine, but he will definitely reduce it, if, god forbid, he becomes president again, he will not be able to simply block all american support, however, the issue of permanent american aid to ukraine has become politicized in the event that biden wins, then support for ukraine will continue on all fronts, but the question remains whether biden will run at all, the majority of americans are talking about more than 70 do not want joseph biden to run because they consider him too old even the majority of the democrats polled in the party hold the same opinion, so the democrat may have to hurry with the search for an alternative candidate if only biden will not insist on his participation in the elections, but even if he was the only democrat who could defeat donald trump. In the last election, based on Public Opinion polls, the situation is no longer the same and winning over trump will be a difficult task. Who is elon musk in the present american situation. This is just a billionaire or a billionaire who has a direct influence not only on domestic american processes, but also on our war scenarios. Elon musk this is much more than just the richest person on planet earth which he was until recently much more than just a billionaire he is a genius visionary who invented and implemented some of the most Amazing Things in the history of American Business essentially thanks to iron mask we have the wide production and recognition of electric cars we have commercial space launches and Satellite Communications and sterling about which you already mentioned his borin creating tunnels all over the world hyperamplifying ultrafast movement on land based on the portfolio of business projects i just mentioned you can see what he has there is no single vision or focus. He goes beyond geopolitics. He believes that humanity should prepare for survival on mars. Regarding the stalinists, first of all, it should be rightly noted that it was musk who provided them to ukraine and he and his company financed a large part of this project so that ukraine would have the opportunity to fight the russians so i think that without any real geopolitical motive he was suddenly excited that he would be involved in the mass death of russian soldiers and sailors if thanks to the stalinists ukraine will carry out an attack with the use of naval drones, which was planned against the black sea fleet of russia. He did not realize then that he did not allow ukraine to do this, the lives of many ukrainian civilians and soldiers who later became victims of cruise missiles launched by the black sea fleet will be at stake. I say all this because i dont think that he had a broad geopolitical context in front of his eyes, which gas first used its influence to help ukraine and then backed down when he was afraid that even more people could die from his technologies, however i think that this problem has now been solved and the discussions between the Biden Administration and elon musk will prevent Something Like this from happening again. Well, on the other hand, we understand that United States secretary of state anthony blinking cannot give instructions to elon musk, on the other hand, lets hope that elon musk understands all the responsibility of the historical which falls on his company and on him personally, ambassadors, you also mentioned the black sea basin, we understand that now the level of escalation there can increase significantly, and so can ukraine. I really hope for that. Concrete specific scenario, how to make russia understand that blocking ukrainian ports is a substitute for this, it can get a symmetrical situation that would apply to the same novorossiysk and putin would no longer have the opportunity, for example , to visit his residence in sochi unhindered. So you understand that when we talk about grain corridors that russia is blocking, this is not only about grain, it is about the fact that russia wants to knock out certain preferences for itself, in particular, it is about the scum of the sanctions regime, as well as the very strange correspondence of the secretary general mr. Gutterishs United Nations organization testifies that this or that socalled double accounting , geopolitical double accounting, first of all, is being conducted. I believe that russias threats to block maritime transit through the black sea for ships that it considers to be its military targets are just making noise. We have seen several ships left odesa, sailed near the nato coast in romania and bulgaria, headed for turkey , where i am now, and finally left the turkish straits. Russia knows what if she will begin to attack ships owned by other countries, especially in the nato maritime zone, it risks the escalation of this war to an undesirable level for it, russia does not want to fight with nato , the vlyans and individual member countries are discussing the possibility of providing Naval Support to shipping through the black sea, since the threat is blocked the artery of commercial shipping is illegal according to international law, russia has not fulfilled its threats, so i think that every day the possibilities of ukraine to destroy the black sea fleet of russia are growing, either with the use of naval drones, which we have already mentioned, or neptune missiles, which ukraine developed independently, yes, a harpoon received from Great Britain. The fact is that ukraine has also demonstrated its ability to strike, and it is also about the port in novorossiysk, where it recently destroyed a warship and also attacked the oil tanker sending drove away russia that if you continue to threaten ukraine , very difficult times may come for you i am currently in ankara president erdogan expressed confidence that an agreement is about to be reached, but he also insists on what you just said, namely that russia should be allowed to export or at least that its Agricultural Bank should be reconnected to the swift system, and that there should be insurance for vessels that transfer russian Agricultural Products through the black sea, i suspect that russia actually wants to transport its ammonia through a pipeline that passes through ukraine, it will look for any excuse to try to loosen the sanctions regime, and so far the united the states and their allies do not agree to this, the new agreement is a kind of overlap for the agreement between turkey and russia and bulgaria against transporting more volumes of russian gas through the bottom of the black sea through the turkish stream and then through bulgaria, the socalled balkan stream, to serbia and hungary, all this is done very quietly in violation of eu legislation, and the European Commission will soon investigate this. Relentlessly dictates its conditions, on the other hand, an extremely serious signal from the United Kingdom of Great Britain and northern ireland, in particular, it is about the use of British Aviation to ensure the security of the socalled alternative grain corridor that passes through the coastal strip of nato member states, in particular, it is about romania itself. So, if we russia resorted to military provocation, would they be in a position now here whose proper moral readiness of the nato bloc to respond, and these interviews means, for sure, natos readiness for military response in the event of an attack on the territory of nato does not raise any doubts that shahed, who probably flew to the territory of romania and crashed there, is not an attack on romania, it is really a coincidence that a few months ago, when ukrainian missiles fell on the territory of poland and biden and the secretary general of nato from toltenberg clearly made it clear that if russia launches an obvious attack on nato territory , the United States, together with its nato allies, will defend every square meter of the alliances territory, and putin knows this well. Why did he not dare to attack those cargo ships that left odessa and then came through nato Maritime Territory in romania and bulgaria, so there is no doubt that if an attack is carried out on nato territory, nato will not delay in responding. I know that my former colleagues, in particular, my former head bill burns, who is now the head of the cia , and government representatives made it absolutely clear in moscow when he was the director of an Analytical Center in estonia, when russia first invaded ukraine in 2014, i began to worry that russia could return a similar scenario is also on nato territory, i. E. Russian soldiers without uniforms who can deny that they are Russian Occupying a certain territory, to which nato does not react, so they suddenly seize a large part of the territory , then nato must decide whether to enter the war in ambiguous situations when we are not sure whether it is really russian soldiers or not , this is a worrying problem of crisis management. But i think it has become much less likely now that everyone in the alliance knows what tricks putin is up to and how he threatens to attack nato territory, so in the event of an attack putins troops will be destroyed very quickly, he drove himself into a huge easter, in particular, it is not only about prorussian crimes , about the crimes of killing civilians, about attacks on civilian objects, about the temporary occupation of our territories, but the key story is a huge geopolitical and historical mistake by putin this is the socalled inclusion of temporarily occupied territories that are part of the Russian Federation , we understand that now the enemy has held socalled fake elections in those territories, the key story is that he seeks to legitimize his occupation presence in the zaporizhzhia region in the kherson region and so on, there are donetsk and luhansk regions. And accordingly, i would like to ask you, we understand that we will most likely receive longrange Missile Systems, we will receive aviation, and the armed forces of ukraine will relentlessly knock out the enemy, so if military logistics are destroyed, in particular , the same socalled kerch or the crimea bridge, russian groups can face colossal problems. Therefore, the horizons of the introduction and duration of the war in ukraine will be incredibly difficult to dislodge all Russian Troops from donbas, crimea and other territories which are currently occupied by it. For this, attack missiles and f16 fighter jets are absolutely necessary, but even with such weapons it will not be easy because putin obviously does not care how many russian soldiers will be killed in battle. Russia has a Large Population and also an almost unlimited stock of bombs that i spoke about previously, therefore, it will be very difficult to simply dislodge russia by military means, in this case great hopes are placed on logistics, say amateurs Study Strategy and logistics experts , logistics is everything from the point of view of ensuring a military victory, so if ukraine will continue to use its precisionguided munitions, drones and other equipment to destroy the crimean bridge and then expand its offensive, it will break through the first and pass to the second line of defense of russia north of crimea and northwest of mariupol if the ukrainian counteroffensive can also cut off the logistics route from russia through donetsk mariupol to the south to crimea. Then russia will find itself in a very difficult situation , not being able to make deliveries to crimea. And if we add ukrainian missiles as well neptune, which we have already talked about and which pose a threat to the black sea fleet, then putin may soon find himself in an unacceptable military and Economic Situation in crimea. And then i think he will

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