Wisconsin and virtually tidy. We have Team Coverage and we will get into as much as we can. Karl rove with analysis, Jacqui Heinrich with the ben campaign and in michigan where we preview now, john. Good afternoon to you. Air force one landed about 50 minutes ago so President Trump will be taking the stage in the next few minutes but one of the things the president will be talking about today has every stop is mailin voting. Where he is going after michigan over to wisconsin with the Supreme Court just ruled that they cannot go with that six day extension past election day. The count mail in ballots and all the mail in ballots have to be accounted Election Night. President trump talking about that issue as he was leaving the white house earlier today. Listen here. Very proper and on novembe november 3rd, instead of counting ballots, which is totally inappropriate and i dont believe that is our laws. Bill the president will be talking about the coronavirus locked down here in and of course, he has been in a vitriolic feud with kristin wittner the governor of michigan and the president also suggesting today there will not be a Coronavirus Relief bill before election day, but also saying that after election day, that is something unlikely will get done, listen here. The stimulus, but nancy pelosi is only interested in bailing out badly run crimeridden democrat cities and states. She is not interested in helping the people. After the election, we will get the best stimulus package you have ever seen because i think we will take back the house because of her. Bill one thing we talk about when it comes to a federal election like this, voter enthusiasm. Bill, and behind me, out in the cold rain and some of them since 6 00 this morning. They are very excited about seeing the president and the next few minutes. And so that translates to the polls, lightning might strike twice a michigan. Bill thank you, john, really close 2016. Karl rove come a little bit of analysis and hello to you, sir, i know you are crunching numbers and we all have, right . It appears this race is too close to coal. Is that the starting point for this conversation right now . Is that where the races . I think the race has tightened a lot particularly the days since the second debate. The problem is, we dont have a good handle on where it is because we are doing individual state polls. We do have an rcp average but based on relatively small number of polls over a twoweek period as opposed to National Averages which tend to be a lot of polls like the last week. Bill okay, so i dont know how you factor in absentee voting from a mailin voting but this is an element i agreed we have never seen but these battleground states. How do you analyze that . It is very hard to because we have no sort of frame in which to put it here or there is no we cant rely on the outcome of early vote and mail in ballots in 2016 because we got so many more this time around. The only states where you can generally get a good handle on what is happening or states in which either the Republican Party or the Democratic Party has microtargeted everybody so they can literally look at individual voters who turned out and forecast are they Republican Voters or democratic voters . That is being done for example in texas on the democratic side. Pretty good day operation by governor abbotts campaign committee. The democrats are taking the mail in ballots by about eight points. The republicans are taking the early vote by about six points. There are a heck of a lot more early voters then mail in ballots so overall republicans are three or four points ahead on the early vote so far. And that will get better, i suspect as we get closer to election day and the republicans are likely to win election day by a big margin. We dont have that kind of data. Bill here is my thesis but tell me if im right or wrong. With all of the mail in an absentee voting and early in person seen in the states, the numbers are just extraordinary. Is it fair to say that the campaign actually is nowhere where it stands right now . Because they have so much information, karl rove. Each campaign in the Biden Campaign and Trump Campaign has models who will vote now so they have their own polling and tracking, but they also have these models on top of it. We dont know which is more accurate the polling or the models appear they have a couple of sources of information if they believe in their mechanism and a belief in the process, they think they have a pretty good handle on what is shaping up to happen. Bill in the meantime, joe biden was in georgia today. He will make a trip to iowa later in the week. What do you make of that travel schedule . Well, i think the states are close and the former Vice President had been really reluctant to travel outside of delaware and pennsylvania. So it is a big thing that out of the last seven days of the election, two of those seven days will be devoted to single stops and georgia today and iowa later in the week. Bill florida i think is on the list, may be wisconsin. He threw out a number of state yesterday. As you rightly point out he has not done that during this campaign. If he were trying to gain the south, what would that suggest to you . I think its a just he thinks those dates are close and if he wins florida or keep trump from winning wisconsin, it increases his chance. Im a little bit dubious about whether he will actually do it but maybe thats because im in texas and every week they say they will make a hard run in texas. Weve played 5 million of ads next week and then cancel them. But in the meantime the National Press was pulling for this four or five times this fall, biden is making an aggressive attempt to sweep texas into the blue column. But here is her 5 million worth of time in a week or two and it never happens. Bill do you think and i will come back to texas on a moment, do you think these nonstop rallies are giving biden the goose to get out of wilmington and visit folks . One thing that political scientists have studied a lot one of the candidates targeting battleground states and all the evidence points to these kind of events tend to drive the message and hit critical marks at the critical part of the state and help the Person Holding the rallies. With the president with nonstop rallies, it is problematic that biden has reluctant to do so. To think hes been to arizona one time. The president has been there seven times. Hes not making a critical mistake of never going to a state like Hillary Clinton never went to wisconsin, but nevertheless, the Political Science studies are accurate, visits to a state hope they cannot do it on the ballot than trump is doing a lot to. Bill let me put it a different way, can he smoke him out to get back on the road . I dont know if that is how it is said but biden looked at it and said biden high command said we better get him out there because trumps frequent presence in a battleground state will give him a boost. We need to do what we can to blunt it. Bill im looking at pennsylvania, the numbers, wisconsin 22,000, michigan 10,000 and if the rnc numbers are right, every time they hold a rally if they find 2,000 more people in a white Little County in the states that turn out to vote for President Trump. And tough races, tight races like this, that makes a difference. Also in tight races like this, having a grassroots ground game matters. Clearly, trump has a better ground game in the states than does biden. Biden didnt have in person marks, not very Good Organization and trump has been building that for a year and a half. It doesnt matter if you lose by five or six points but if the race one or two points, that kind of thing plus shy of a trump odor may be enough of the president. Bill seven days and counting, thank you for your input and analysis. We will talk to you again today and in the meantime lansing, michigan, 15 electoral votes on the ballot in that state. President trump first stop of the day. Donald trump has won the state of michigan. That was big. Hadnt been done in decades, but i dont know if you sold the polls that just came out, we are up 3 in michigan. [cheers and applause] and i think we are up a lot more. They give you the big vote but i think we are up a lot more. We are going to have a great, big red wave of people that want to go out and vote. [cheers and applause] they want to go out and they want to vote. It is a great red wave in florida. And up four. Im watching these guys the way they talk. They are down 25 in michigan. I said, no, we will win michigan. No, no. Im kidding when i say 25 but they put up numbers, suppression polls. They make you like feel badly so that you say to your wife or your husband, darling, lets go out to dinner and then we will feel president ial. But right now, the polls say we are leading almost everywhere. We are leading almost everywhere. [cheers and applause] now come i have to say im working my ass off here. Sleepy joe, the guy goes to his basement. He has another lid purity goes to the basement, the lid, that is the garbage can that they put a lid on. [laughter] yesterday, we had three big ones, really big in pennsylvania. It was incredible. The crowds were incredible. I like this. They have people outside and i see people on the streets, cra crazy. And i always said about people, a bigger airport. And these are better because our rallies are bigger than they have ever been. And the arenas even if 18,000 people, weve had 40, 45, bid me. And you know what is nice to get out of the plane, say a few words, you say byebye, vote for me but that is actually what democrats do. They say, they say vote for me. And they are lovely a few months before the election. And after the election, they are gone. And nobody has done for michigan what i have. You have plants being built all over. [cheers and applause] and you didnt have a plant built in 42 years. You have them all over. No, we are not interested. To go and build plants. I always suggest michigan because i have to tell you, i think of cars when i think of michigan. When i got man of the year, michigan, like 12 years ago, nothing to do with politics. They wrote to me and of the year and i came here and gave a big lecture. I said mexico is stealing your plants. They are going to canada they lost 32 of the car production. What the hell is going on. It turned out to be quite a controversial acceptance, but i felt that. It is probably the number one reason im standing here because have we turned that around. [cheers and applause] seven days from now, we are going to win the great state of michigan. [cheers and applause] and we are going to win four more years in the white house. And by the way, there has never been [chanting four more years] there has never been a campaign in the history of the country. First of all, theres never been a Movement Like this. But theres never been a campaign, and we had the record. You know, the record was four years ago and has had more enthusiasm. Dont forget, they may have a crowd, this is a big crowd commit the night before election, you know, but not really. This is thank you. [chanting we love you] thank you, thank you, that is really nice. A phrase, i dont think they will find it because look at all of them back there. [boos] hello, john roberts. Hes been very nice. John roberts has been very nice to us, thank you, john. But john commit we lov, there ha a phrase we love you and i love you too, i love you too. [cheers and applause] but theres never been anything like this in terms of enthusiasm and in terms of crowds. I saw obama this morning and he had a couple of cars. [boos] and then i saw sleepy joe. So he came out yesterday, right . You will see this. He came out yesterday and he made his speech and then they had to rip him off of the stage because he lost it. Once again, michigan is going to answer the call of history. And show the world that Sleepy Joe Biden committee his dark money donors and corrupt special interest and by the way, theres never been anything like this. He goes into the country and family walks out with billions of dollars, millions and millions. [boos] and then the press allowed to report, the press secretary report and they dont cover it. New york times, washington post, they dont cover it. [boos] cnn, you know, i introduced a great justice of the Supreme Court last night, right . [cheers and applause] they say it is the most important thing a president can do. I say may be military, but regardless, we rebuilt our military like nobody would ever believe. But you know what commits one of the most important especially because this turns the court. The most important thing since 50 years. And cnn and msnbc didnt cover they didnt cover and they wouldnt cover it. Even though the ratings go through the roof. 60 minutes had very good ratings the other night. A fake report, but the ratings go through but they didnt cover my introduction, can you believe that . My introduction of a woman who will hopefully be there for 50 years as far as im concerned. [cheers and applause] and last night, we did make history and we confirmed Amy Coney Barrett to the United StatesSupreme Court [cheers and applause] and justus perry will defend our rights. Defend our liberties and godgiven freedom and she will be fantastic. She is a terrific person. Joe biden, kamala, do you like kamala . Would you like her to be your first president . [boos] if he gets elected, three weeks into his presidency, they will say kamala, are you ready . Lets go. That is why they are talking about the 25th amendment. Three weeks, three weeks, lets go, kamala are you ready . The most liberal person in the senate. She makes Bernie Sanders looks like a serious conservative. This will not be we cant let it happen. This will not be the first woman president. You can have a woman president , but this will not be the first woman president. [cheers and applause] that is a lot of cameras back there. Yeah, thats right. They are all screaming. You know, a funk trump is out campaigning and doing really well, but she can be very happyr husband is here Jared Kushner making peace in the middle east. Where is jared . Where is jared. We have to find him. Hes never around too much. He doesnt want any accolades, but he has done something nobody else has done. Hes leading peace in the middle east. Without blood. [cheers and applause] good jared. He doesnt want to be outside. Hes mr. Inside, but he smart. But ivanka would be very happy just being at home with the kids but we have her working. You know whos making the speech today, the first lady who is out in pennsylvania. Shes out in pennsylvania. People love our first lady. [cheers and applause] our first lady is doing a great job. I mean, she got the plague from china and so did i and so did my son. And he recovered and about 12 minutes. How are you feeling, barron. What is the problem . I dont know, the doctor told me. Sir, your son has tested positive. And 12 seconds, how is he doing . He is all better. Doc, did you give him one of those miracle cures . No, sir. Hey, young kids have a strong immune system and nobody even knew it. Get your children back to school. [cheers and applause] and the governor is a disaster. And open up this day. And shes got to keep her husband away from sailing, and only one in this state is her husband. And its no good, you cant do it. Joe biden, kamala harris, and of course, the reverse, shes got the harris and he actually said it, didnt he . The harris biden. You know i have a great Vice President and we all do, but i want to give him but the mike pence Trump Administration come he doesnt have any clue where he is and use all that. The radical democrats want to pack the Supreme Court with our left justices and want to shred our constitution come abolish the second amendment, terminate religious liberty. Shield the violent criminals and regulate the economy and to oblivion and you will have depression. If he gets in, he will raise your taxes at a level nobody has ever seen. He is the first candidate that ive ever seen who is running on a promise that i will raise your taxes. Ive never heard that one. Ive been involved and followed and studied politics for the first time but you will be the first one i will raise your taxes immensely. Ive never heard of that went before. I like running against that guy. This election is a matter of economic survival for michigan. Look what i have done and weve all done together for this date. This date, you are building cars again. And if you are Union Leaders werent in the pockets of the democrats, because we get the vote, but you have these guys that come to the white house, so nice to me, so nice to me. But they go for the democrats every time for a certain reason. Someday we will talk about it. But the people, the workers are for us. [cheers and applause] bidens plan to abolish the entire u. S. Oil industry, use all that, will cripple our nation and send us to an absolute deep depression. You saw what he did with fracking. There will be no fracking. There will be note he hasnt said that. There will be no fracking. There will be no fracking. But he said it for like a year, and then he got to pennsylvania where we are leading. [laughter] but we are going to put it see that beautiful screen . We will have it up there. It saves me a lot of words, that screen is great. It cost a fortune. When we bring it to important locations like michigan. [cheers and applause] it but then you can hear it in his own words, you dont say oh, the president is exaggerating. He said no fracking, no fracking and then he goes to pennsylvania with a million jobs, fracking is a big part of their economy, big part of your economy as far as the standpoint of energy. How do you like the gas prices at 2 . [cheers and applause] it is amazing as they go up, you produce fewer and fewer cars. I got you down to the lowest level as your president. Im going to give another major tax cut after already having passed the largest tax cut in the history of our country. We are giving