And an 11point lead in a fourway. This was taken before last nights debate. Here is the big question, did donald trump do enough to stop the weekend bleeding and begin to recover lost ground . Scott jennings is here. He did political analysis for the george w. Bush white house, joins us from kentucky. Scott, your thoughts on whether trump did himself enough good to bounce back. Thats a good question. In this survey he was down to 72 of republicans. So were back where we were over the summer, brit, with donald trump needing to do base consolidation. It was fine then because he had a lot of time. Were late in the game and right now hes rehearding his own sheep. A poll that comes out later this week if he did enough to explain to republicans and apologize to republicans and bring them back onboard. Im dubious he would get that low of a number on election day among his own party. My suspicion is once the number goes back up into the 80s youll see retightening in the national surveys. Im thinking about mitt romney back four years ago. He got on election day, what, 93 of the republican vote, so it would appear at least as we look out from this moment, scott, that mr. Trump has a lot of ground to make up even among republicans. He really does and we should caution this poll was taken as the video was being released. A smaller sample and it could be an outlier and thats why its wise to wait and see what other data you get after a few days go by. I do think republicans largely accepted his performance last night, and so we should begin to see it bounce back. As you say, we have a long way to go to get back up to the 90 . Its hard to imagine someone winning the presidency without 90 of their own party. He has a lot of ground to make up. My suspicion is it did among some republicans but im not sure against other constituents he would need to put him over the hump. Thats right. Thats a good question. Weve talked a lot about the u suburban moms, educated white women, and the suburbs around philadelphia that have become a sort of symbol of what a republican needs to do better than republicans have done in recent cycles. As you watched the debate last night, scott, what were your thoughts about whether those constituencies and others like them might respond to his performance . Well, my first thought was that his strategy was to keep the base together. Theres about 40 of the country that sees it the way donald trump sees it. They would never vote for Hillary Clinton under any circumstance, and some people actually do share his world view and his policy view. That makes up about 40 . Thats just not enough to win. Hes gotten up to almost a tie with Hillary Clinton at some points in the campaign. Right now hes not tied. Right now hes losing. So last night was about trying to get that base back together that gets within shouting distance of a tie but, boy, time is running out. We already have early voting going on in some states. People are casting their ballots and making up their mind. If he has to spend the next month getting back to where he was, thats no recipe for winning. Its a lot of work to do in a short amount of time. Viewership was off from the first debate. He was obviously speak iing to smaller audience. Hard to know whether hell have an even smaller audience for the third debate which our Chris Wallace is moderating. Were all looking forward to that for obvious reasons. What he might try to do then . Well, at this point if the poll numbers are staying the same, showing him losing the race, hell literally have nothing to lose at the third debate. Hell probably continue to go for broke on attacking the clintons and their past sexual scandals. They clearly think thats a ticket to win this race. Im not sure that it is. The polling doesnt necessarily back that up, but they believe that it is. Its a ticket to try to hold a lot of the Republican Base together. The republicans dont like the clintons, of course. Getting over the hump, weve never seen trump get over the hump. Just focusing on this 40 of the country that loves what hes talking about right now is not going to be enough to win. So at the third debate he would try to probably go for broke on the clintons and then maybe come up with some kind of policy discussion that would attract new people. But that is quite a hail mary scenario to be throwing at the end of a president ial Campaign Like this one. It certainly is, scott. Thank you very much. Today as many people now know, House Speaker paul ryan told republican lawmakers in a morning Conference Call he will no longer campaign with trump. Instead he will use the next 28 days to try to keep his party in control of the house. Mr. Trump reacted on twitter as follows. Paul ryan should spend more time on balancing the budget, jobs, and illegal immigration and not waste his time on fighting the republican nominee. Our nightly Political Panel here, fred barnes, ebbs he can tiff editor of the Weekly Standard and melissa hemingway. Fred, what about ryan said today . Was this a wise move, a signal to his charges in the house of representatives as to how they ought to pursue this . What . I think it was a mistake, and here is why it was a mistake. Theres nothing wrong with paul ryan deciding not to campaign for trump or not to defend trump. Thats fine. Why announce it to the world . Thats going to make trump mad and hell fire back with a tweet. He did. Of course he did. We have republicans in disarray again. Theres chaos and so on. Paul ryan didnt need to do that. You know who doesnt do that and i think probably has the same generally low opinion of trump as paul ryan does and thats mitch mcconnell, the Senate Majority leader. Hes not hes not out there defending trump or campaigning for him. But he doesnt talk about it. Molly . Theres no question people are upset about what was revealed in that tape and you saw that flurry of exodus of people saying they could no longer support him. The polls suggest that even if he isnt doing particularly well with republican support he still has over 70 of republicans even at his lowest point saying that they want to support him. They dont really want to see the civil war among their elite leaders and it doesnt really benefit either side. It doesnt help donald trump. So the idea is to keep the talk to a minimum . Actually paul ryan hasnt been out there doing much for trump anyway. He didnt need to announce that. I want to get to the question was it wise for the republicans who jumped ship to do so and in that context its worth looking at what we now know about the state of ohio and the polling in that state. The real clear politics average has been consistently showing trump with a lead in ohio. And as of today Hillary Clinton has moved into a lead in ohio by half a point. Now thats on the average. Im not sure that will hold obviously, but it represents a significant change in the polling in the rust belt in the state where trump was doing the best. So rob portman, running for reelection in the senate out there, he bailed early on trump, said he wasnt going to vote for him. Was that smart of him, fred . Something seemed to work for him. Hes running against a weak candidate. Hes the poster child of candidates running for the senate or house with trump at the top of the ticket. Hes doing very well. Its on the screen now, in a twoway race its a full point. A fourway race a half point. Molly, your thoughts on the people who deserted him particularly including rob portman of ohio . There was nothing in the tape different from everything weve known about donald trump, so the exodus thats happening now is not because people are suddenly surprise d to learn donald trum is who weve always known who he is, theyre bailing on him in large part because hes doing so poorly electorally. Isnt what were seeing now in the polling available to us, the wall street journal poll, that video went down very badly with a lot of people and while you may not have been shocked and maybe i wasnt shocked a lot of people were shocked. Oh, it absolutely went over poorly with people. I dont think people were aware that they hadnt listened to Howard Sterns audio where donald trump said very similar things. They hadnt read the book where he brags about bedding married women and what not. Also theres something of a selffulfilling prophecy here. The media are absolutely apoplectic about this and that creates a dynamic that is feeding into these polls. Lets take a look at who some of the main figures were who bailed on donald trump over the week. I think we can put it up on the screen. Theres a set of about ten of them. And that doesnt represent that doesnt represent anything like the full complement because theres a whole slew of house members who did as well. Obviously theyre heading for the exits because theyre afraid hell drag them down. Would it have been wiser for them to do what paul ryan didnt do and move away from him qui quietly, or can you do you have to Say Something in light i think they have to Say Something and theyre worried about getting elected or reelected and they assume, of course, that trump is not going to win. If they thought trump was going to win, they wouldnt be out there putting distance between themselves and trump, but they dont want him while he loses they dont want him to drag them down. Its selfpreservation and its not unusual. Mollie, its been true from the very beginning whats so terrified officeholders and mainstream republicans about donald trump he would lose in such a landslide that not only would they lose the senate, which would be tough for them to carry anyway with the lineup, but might lose the house as well where theyve had a very strong margin of majority over there. And that is a very legitimate concern, one of the best arguments about why you wouldnt nominate someone like donald trump. Up until recently it seemed people were viewing donald trump differently than their house and senate candidates. Its hard to compare this to previous years in that nobody really thinks donald trump is much of a republican and he doesnt seem that interested in presenting himself as much of a republican. Its not common you will see a split ticket. Its a small percentage. In this case it might not be as bad as it would be historically if you saw the bottom falling out of the campaign as we seem to be seeing this past weekend. Let me get your thoughts very quickly on whether you think he did himself any good last night and if so how much. Fred . Absolutely. I think he under polls a point or two and may have gotten three or four points. This brings him up depending on your paul, the wall street journal poll, should bring up up to five or six points behind. That is going to be hard to get, though. The last month. Mollie . It was huge. He had a good night and it was important for him to do that. It just should have happened in the first debate not the second debate. Thanks to both of you. Well see you later. For the past few days emails have been coming out on a rather regular basis. Tonight new emails from Hillary Clintons campaign chair, chief National Correspondent ed henry reports. Reporter its not just secrets about Hillary Clintons campaign that are spilling out of the emails hacked from the account of john podesta. Private family deliberations involving bill and Chelsea Clinton are now leaking in the second batch of podesta correspondence dumped out by wikileaks with aides to bill clinton fretting about a meltdown on the eve of new hampshires primary where his wife lost by double digits. Two days before that loss a top aide to bill clinton confided to podesta his temper was flaring writing, quote, hes losing it bad today. Im not request him. If youre in nh, please see if you can talk to him. Just before that same primary, meanwhile, Clinton Family friend lanny davis urge d podesta to release the transcripts of Hillary Clintons paid speeches to Goldman Sachs warning, quote, my opinion for what its worth release later as is inevitable is worse. That advice was never taken and clinton took a hit to her credibility. And now some of them came out anyway late last week in the first batch of leaked podesta emails. While the Campaign Chairman has not confirmed the authenticity of the emails, he did tell fox unnamed russians broke into his email. The russians as the u. S. Senior members of the u. S. Government confirmed have been hacking into democratic accounts and now theyve hacked into my account. Reporter one email shows a longtime adviser to the former president let loose on chelsea in 2011 telling poe ddesta, quo she is acting like a spoiled brat kid who has nothing else to do but create issues to justify what shes doing because she, as she has said, hasnt found her way and has a lack of focus in her life. He was angry about chelsea in her enhanced role at the Clinton Foundation raising questions about whether his Consulting Company made money by trading on her fathers name. Chelsea had written in a 2011 email to podesta and several others tied to the foundation that band and his associates called members of congress claiming it was, quote, on behalf of president clinton for clients without my fathers knowledge. There are also emails taking us inside the democrats musings about clintons honesty problems during the primaries. Clinton supporter writing to podesta in march she should stop attack i attacking bernie sanders, quote, especially when she says things that are untrue which candidly she often does. Now that same democrat wrote to podesta that clinton was so weak she was almost totally dependent on republicans nominating trump. Thats sticking in the craw, the notion that clinton allies have been musing their candidate is so beatable the democrats believe trump may be the only republican who cannot take advantage of it and thats whats fascinatinging. Youre seeing the emails talk about selling access to bill clinton, whether he knew about it or not, strife and tension on the other side. But can the republicans capitalize . You also see people wondering how these leaks, like the one that affected donald trump over the weekend, came about and why now. You see there are people in the Democratic Party who are close to clinton who clearly thought trump was the best nominee they could face. Absolutely. Saving stuff within the last 30 days. And so as not to kill him off too early. Good to see you, brit. Other news in the world of politics. Mitch mcconnell, as fred barnes observed, has taken a different tack from House Speaker ryan to deal with donald trump. Mcconnell is simply ignoring trump. During an event today in kentucky mcconnell said he would not answer any questions about trump. Last week mcconnell called trumps comments on the 2005 video, quote, unacceptable. And what may seem an unlikely statement from one of the most liberal Supreme Court justices, Ruth Bader Ginsberg has weighed in on the Colin Kaepernick kneeling during the anthem controversy, dumb and d disrespectful. Last night the most tweeted ever, by the end of the night 17 million tweets related to the debate were sent out. Trump disagreeing with running mate pence over syria was the top moment. And this may be the most ludicrous fact check of all time. Trump said Hillary Clinton and her email service acid washed it. He called it a very expensive process but the company says it is free. Well catch up with the candidates on the trail shortly. Before we go to break we wanted you to see part of last nights debate you might have missed. Watch this. Hello. Hello. Now ive had the time of my life no, i never felt like this before yes, i swear its the truth and i owe it all to you because ive had the time of my life and i owe it all to you ive been waiting for so long now ive finally found someone to stand by me saw the writing on the wall felt this magical fantasy now with passion in our eyes theres no way we could disguise secret so we take each others hands because we seem to understand the urgency just remember youre the one thing well be right back, folks, please stay tuned. For lower back pain sufferers, the search for relief often leads here. Introducing drugfree aleve direct therapy. A high intensity tens device that uses technology once only in doctors offices. For deep penetrating relief at the source. New aleve direct therapy. Spending the day with my niece. That make me smile. I dont use super poligrip for hold, because my dentures fit well. Before those little pieces would get in between my dentures and my gum and it was uncomfortable. Even well fitting dentures let in food particles. Just a few dabs of super poligrip free is clinically proven to seal out more food particles so youre more comfortable and confident while you eat. So its not about keeping my dentures in, its about keeping the food particles out. Try super poligrip free. Trump is talking to billy bush, a cohost of access hollywood. And just before the debate yesterday nbc suspended bush from his current job cohosting the today show. Media for the hill paper joins us from new york. What do you think about this decision by nbc to suspend billy bush . Brit, i think its a whole bowl of wrong, quite frankly. Heres the thing, if we had our hot mike moments recorded and released in this industry, i think the media Unemployment Rate would be 87 . Let him sit it out until after the election, the stench goes away. The irony is not lost that a bush may have taken out a trump. You cant dispute that, i guess. I must say there was a real contrast between his reaction, billy bushs, and the trump camps. He got out with an apology in which he took full responsibility for what he had done, said he was a younger man then, that he was older and wiser now, he hoped, and he was very sorry. Trumps original apology seemed a little forced to a lot of people. Somebody said it looked like a hostage video and nbc did not react to this right away. They waited a couple days. Does that say anything to you about them . They did react ib terribly. If youre a reporter and call bi billy bushs voice mail it says, im out making america great. Please leave a message. S