Transcripts For FOXNEWSW The Journal Editorial Report 201906

More. There are going to be those who say the president lost deterrence, the iranians see they can continue to walk all over him and theyll continue to escalate tensions with some sense of comfort that perhaps the president doesnt have the stomach for conflict. There is another way of looking at this, however. And that is that the United States can use this to galvanize support from the europeans and perhaps from other places around the world to show the International Community that iran is still aggressive, that iran is deserving of the sanctions that we have on them right now, and these sanctions, lets go very clear, are still taking a bite out of the iranian economy, the political and economic isolation is working. So we still have a plan thats been in place by the Trump Administration and it looks right now as if were set to double down on that and perhaps even to recruit others to the cause. Paul there are two interpretations you offered us. Which one do you side with . I think theres a bit of truth in both. I certainly think the iranians right now may see this as a green light and that the president yet be forced to respond with force. Right now he doesnt have to. Hes taking his time. It doesnt mean he couldnt attack tomorrow or next week if he sees an opportunity. Were on no timetable here. So even though hes going to come under fire for having lost deterrence, he still has that ability. But i do see an opportunity right now that by not attacking we could still recruit others in this Important Campaign of isolating iran, again, its working. We can see that theyre in deep trouble right now. Their currency is dropping, unemployment is rising, and theyre potentially going to see a need to come to the negotiating table. Paul take us through what you think iranian strategy here is. As i look at it, its one of escalation here, militarily. Now they want to retain deniabilities. You have the huthis firing missiles. Theyve done something on the oil terminals. Theyve gone after air tankers. They shot down an unarmed american drone which the u. S. Insists was in international waters. They seems to be a calculated gamble that they can escalate tensions that will somehow get them off the hook on the sanctions. Is that what the strategy is . It could be. I think its important to establish the history here, which is that iran for 40 years has been carrying out violence against the United States and our interests. Just in iraq and afghanistan, weve seen iran carry out asymmetric attacks, which have actually cost the lives of more than 600 american servicemen. So this is an extension of what weve been seeing by the iranians for quite some time. The he question that i would ask now paul this is an escalation. Theres no question. They dont shoot down unarmed American Drones every day in international waters. Thats what they did this week. Thats right. Theyre also challenging what weve been doing, which is ensuring the freedom of navigation in the persian gulf and what thats doing is its potentially Setting Oil Prices higher, its making insurance more difficult to obtain. So theyre trying to i think make it more difficult for the United States to maintain the leverage that we have in the gulf and perhaps get us to stand down on some of these sanctions. In the meantime, threatening an asymmetric conflict that could really ex act a toll on the United States. Were seeing a United States that is treading carefully and, again, still leaving all of our options open, which, again, i dont think that weve lost anything so far but certainly way could see the iranians try to push things further. Paul if that happens, seems to me theres going to be a moment of truth sooner or later. As to your point for President Trump. As for the europeans coming around, i agree that would be a good outcome here, Good Progress but those countries are going to meet with china, iran and russia soon to see if they can salvage the nuclear accord. So instead of moving towards President Trump, in fact theyre trying to salvage what the president has already gotten out of. Its interesting, youre absolutely correct but on the other hand we actually saw the germans come out and verify the u. S. Intelligence, which point todd the iranians being responsible for attacks on some of those vessels in the gulf of oman and we also have really interestingly next week a summit between the National Security advisors of russia, the United States and israel, where theyre going to be talking undoubtedly about iran and what the next steps are. Not only about getting them out of syria or potentially trying to, but the broader challenge that iran pose toss the region poses to the region. Paul do you see any sign that the iranians are going to take up President Trumps offer to come to the table and actually talk to renegotiate the terms of the nuclear deal . Look, its hard to imagine that they will. And what the iranians have said now very clearly is that all of this rests on the Supreme Leader of iran. For all the talk about moderates or about some sort of imperfect democracy inside iran, we know thats all not true. It all rests on this one man who is deeply idealogical and deeply antiamerican and has said he doesnt wish to engage with the United States after the unraveling of the joint comprehensive plan of action, the iran deal of 2015. Paul if he doesnt do it, they dont move. So far, he doesnt seem to have any intention of doing that. Jonathan, thank you for being with us. Pleasure. Paul when we come back, amid rising global tensions, President Trump makes his reelection pitch. Will the themes he laid out in this Weeks Campaign kickoff be enough to win him a second term . Our panel weighs in, next. Our magnificent first lady, melania, thank you. Red lobsters new weekday five days. S here five deals. For fifteen dollars get a different deal every weekday til six pm like endless shrimp monday admirals feast tuesday four course feast wednesday and more. Five days. Five deals. Fifteen dollars. See you before six. Whoa. Travis in it made it. Its amazing. Oh is that traviss app . Its pretty cool, isnt it . Theres two of them. Theyre multiplying. No, guys, its me. See, im real. Im real he thinks hes real. Geico. Over 75 years of savings and service. The first survivor of ais out there. Sease and the Alzheimers Association is going to make it happen. But we wont get there without you. Visit alz. Org to join the fight. Thats ensure max protein, with high protein and 1 gram sugar. Its a situp, banana bend at the waist im tryin keep it up. Youll get there. Whoahoahoa 30 grams of protein, and one gram of sugar. Ensure max protein. I have news for democrats who want to return us to the bitter failures and betrayals of the past. We are not going back. Were going on to victory. Paul that was President Trump tuesday, kicking off his campaign for a second term at a rally in orlando, florida, the president leaning on familiar themes as he launched his reelection bid, including his attack on democrats and Hillary Clinton. Will that be enough to return him to the white house in 2020 . Lets bring in our panel, wall street journal come u columnistn henninger, and kyle peter sensed allysia finley. Let me ask you about iran. What do you make of the president s standdown on the military strike . Well, its very strange, i think in one respect, paul, which is that where we are now with iran i think was entirely predictable, certainly after the United States moved that Aircraft Carrier group into the gulf on the basis of intel intelligence that iran was going to do something imminently. It was entirely possible it would have escalated to this point. The military, National Security agency would have had to start thinking about this. It was predictable after the president pulled out of the iran nuclear deal. This was going somewhere and the iranians were going to produce a strategy to try to get the u. S. To back down from that nuclear deal, so i would assume the pentagon has an idea now of what they might do at this point in time. Paul seems to me that it depends a lot how this plays out with iran, if iran decides to escalate and they interpret this as a sign of weakness on the president of the United States, then the president s going to be forced down the road maybe even a bigger military action. On the other hand, if they decide okay, well negotiate, renegotiate, then the president may have this might look like a decision that is at least salvageable but, boy, when a president calls off a military strike in midair, that is some that is a big, big deal. President trump has Big Decisions to make now. Paul all right. Lets turn to the reelection theme. You heard the speech, allysia. What do you think his team for reelection is . Whats his argument . Well, hes trying to relitigate 2016. I think this is one thing he and democrats can agree on. His argument is basically keep america great. Hes trying to run on the economy, but he hasnt really provided a second term agenda which i think is going to be a problem. Paul litigating 2016, thats usually not a winning issue for 2020, for the next election. Youre saying hes got to have an agenda in the next hes going to have to develop one to be able to move forward. Right. Hes not a policy wonk but he could put some poe sal some prot there, fix obamacare, he could talk about how he wants to finalize the china deal if its not done by then. Of course, he kind of walks into the trap there, well, why werent you able to get china deal done. Paul the other theme, kyle, the president really struck me with, hes saying to the voters democrats are going to take you off the cliff, theyre so extreme now. Socialists and so on, that you just cant afford to go there. But thats a risk because it means you have to have a candidate who l validate valida. Bernie sanders would do that. Maybe Elizabeth Warren would do that but maybe not joe biden. Its understandable why the president is pitching his message that way right now because he doesnt have an opponent. Next week were going to get the first democratic debate, 20 democrats up on the stage and so the president can still talk about how democrats are dangerous and unhinged an afflicted with an ide idealodgel callogicalsickness. If its bernie, it might work. If its joe buy depositio biden. President trumps nickname for joe biden i is sleepy joe. Whats wrong with being sleepy . Paul President Trump mentions Hillary Clinton all the time. Sooner or later hes got to get rid of that, doesnt he . I think so. Lets give him the fact that 2016 was an extraordinary unpredicted victory, it was a big achievement for him and he cherishes it. Hes the president four years later. You look at the orlando audience, the intensity of their support for the president is overwhelming. Id assume hes got 43 of the electorate behind him, Something Like that. You cant win a president ial election with 43 of the vote. He somehow has to find a way to pull in 7, 8 of the electorate out there who might be independents, women, suburban women. Hes got to make an argument to them, not merely to the people in those rallies who put him across in 2016. Paul one of the things thats interesting about the speech, ali sharks i thought was the president stressing cultural issues, he mentioned partial birth abortion, saying the democrats are radical on that. Hes going to stress immigration, its obviously. He did talk about the economy a lot but this is also going to be election where cultural themes are really coming to the fore. I think thats right, especially in places like wisconsin, michigan, pennsylvania, where he won. There were cultural issues, the Supreme Court nomination was at stake and that probably put him over the finish line, lets be honest. Paul hes going to want to stress that. He went on judges for a long time on that speech. The fundamental challenge, you cant forget that Hillary Clinton won almost 3 million more votes in 2016 than donald trump did. The 2020 nominee for the democrats doesnt have to do that much better. They just have to move some of the voters over the state borders. Trumps approval is negative 13 in wisconsin. He will have a tough time turning that around, i think. Paul hes got do that, win some of the suburban women back. When we come back, 16 months from the 2020 president ial election, a closer look at where President Trump stands in the poll as he kicks off his reelection bid. Pened up so many doors. Its a lifelong adventure finding all of these new connections all the time. New features. Greater details. Richer stories. Get your dna kit today at ancestry. Com. Priceline will partner with even more vegas hotels to turn their unsold rooms into amazing deals. Delegates, how do you vote . cheering yes, yyyyes, yes. That is freaky. applause but allstate actually helps you drive safely. With drivewise. It lets you know when you go too fast. And brake too hard. With feedback to help you drive safer. Giving you the power to actually lower your cost. Unfortunately, it cant do anything about that. Now that you know the truth. Are you in good hands . On the sleep number 360 smart bed. It senses your movement and automatically adjusts to keep you both comfortable. And now the queen sleep number 360® c4 smart bed is now 1,299. Save 400. Only for a limited time. Applebees new loaded chicken fajitas. Now only 10. 99. We like drip coffee, layovers and waiting on hold. What we dont like is relying on fancy technology for help. Snail mail we were invited to a y2k party. Uh, didnt that happen, like, 20 years ago . Oh, look, karolyn, weve got a mathematician on our hands check it out now you can schedule a callback or reschedule an appointment, even on nights and weekends. Todays xfinity service. Simple. Easy. Awesome. Id rather not. Our economy is the envy of the world, perhaps the greatest economy weve had in the history of our country. And as long as you keep this team in place, we have a tremendous way to go. Our future has never, ever looked brighter or sharper. The fact is, the American Dream is back. Its bigger and better and stronger than ever before. Paul that was President Trump tuesday in orlando, touting the economy as he made his case for reelection. So where does he stand, some 16 months before election day in 2020 . Lets ask republican pollster, eed goez. Great to see you again. Lets take a step back, take a look at where you think the president is now. Whats his standing for reelection . Theres two types of models out there, one is an economic model or series of economic models, all which predict hell be reelected. The other are the political models, based more on polling and some other factors, all which predict he will lose. So i think right now its kind of too early to tell. Certainly his rankings that he gets on the economy from a variety of different voter groups, majority of americans is very, very positive. If he keeps the focus on the economy. Paul this is the fascinating thing. You look at the disconnect between his Approval Rating on the economy, which is above 50 , in nearly every survey now and you look at his overall Approval Rating and the average polls i see, its 44 , some 43, a little lower. How do you explain that disconnect . Well, the thing to also look at is favorability index which is his favorable, unfavorable rating, which quite frankly has been that 55 unfavorable since the day he announced. It was a 55 the day he was elected, 55 the day he was sworn in and 55 today. What you get is there is a group of voters, some of which like what hes doing policywise, particularly on the economic, but dont like his persona and they put a priority on that. And theres some that put a priority they dont like his persona but they like what hes doing policywise and they put a priority there and thats where you get the split. Paul so what that suggests is that the economy is not going to be the dominant issue in the election and even if it continues to be quite strong, some of the president s character issues are going to come to the fore. Well, that certainly would be the case if he doesnt focus on the economy but the more he focuses on the economy and kind of moves away from the kind of tweets of the day and some of the things he does on other issues, you know, hes always shown an interest in keeping his base strong which is important. Not the Republican Base but the trump base which runs about 32, 33 . That was his advantage in 2016 over Hillary Clinton that did not have intensity in her favorable base. But at the end of the day, and especially one of the numbers i look at closely is the gender gap, which you get very poor ratings with some of the key groups of women, married white women, white women overall but when you look at where they give him a rating on the economy, theyre in the high 50s, low 60s. So they dont like his persona. They do like his policies on the economy. He needs to show that as the important part, important focus of his race. Paul specifically to your point, i was looking at the nbc wall street journal poll this week. It shows the president has a 20 point negative rating among College Educated white women. Not overall women. White women. And of course that group went against republicans in the house races in the swing districts in 2018. President has to get some of those back, doesnt he . Well, the bigger concern, and the gender gap has always been more of a married gap and a racial gap and so when youre talking about United States<\/a> can use this to galvanize support from the europeans and perhaps from other places around the world to show the International Community<\/a> that iran is still aggressive, that iran is deserving of the sanctions that we have on them right now, and these sanctions, lets go very clear, are still taking a bite out of the iranian economy, the political and economic isolation is working. So we still have a plan thats been in place by the Trump Administration<\/a> and it looks right now as if were set to double down on that and perhaps even to recruit others to the cause. Paul there are two interpretations you offered us. Which one do you side with . I think theres a bit of truth in both. I certainly think the iranians right now may see this as a green light and that the president yet be forced to respond with force. Right now he doesnt have to. Hes taking his time. It doesnt mean he couldnt attack tomorrow or next week if he sees an opportunity. Were on no timetable here. So even though hes going to come under fire for having lost deterrence, he still has that ability. But i do see an opportunity right now that by not attacking we could still recruit others in this Important Campaign<\/a> of isolating iran, again, its working. We can see that theyre in deep trouble right now. Their currency is dropping, unemployment is rising, and theyre potentially going to see a need to come to the negotiating table. Paul take us through what you think iranian strategy here is. As i look at it, its one of escalation here, militarily. Now they want to retain deniabilities. You have the huthis firing missiles. Theyve done something on the oil terminals. Theyve gone after air tankers. They shot down an unarmed american drone which the u. S. Insists was in international waters. They seems to be a calculated gamble that they can escalate tensions that will somehow get them off the hook on the sanctions. Is that what the strategy is . It could be. I think its important to establish the history here, which is that iran for 40 years has been carrying out violence against the United States<\/a> and our interests. Just in iraq and afghanistan, weve seen iran carry out asymmetric attacks, which have actually cost the lives of more than 600 american servicemen. So this is an extension of what weve been seeing by the iranians for quite some time. The he question that i would ask now paul this is an escalation. Theres no question. They dont shoot down unarmed American Drones<\/a> every day in international waters. Thats what they did this week. Thats right. Theyre also challenging what weve been doing, which is ensuring the freedom of navigation in the persian gulf and what thats doing is its potentially Setting Oil Prices<\/a> higher, its making insurance more difficult to obtain. So theyre trying to i think make it more difficult for the United States<\/a> to maintain the leverage that we have in the gulf and perhaps get us to stand down on some of these sanctions. In the meantime, threatening an asymmetric conflict that could really ex act a toll on the United States<\/a>. Were seeing a United States<\/a> that is treading carefully and, again, still leaving all of our options open, which, again, i dont think that weve lost anything so far but certainly way could see the iranians try to push things further. Paul if that happens, seems to me theres going to be a moment of truth sooner or later. As to your point for President Trump<\/a>. As for the europeans coming around, i agree that would be a good outcome here, Good Progress<\/a> but those countries are going to meet with china, iran and russia soon to see if they can salvage the nuclear accord. So instead of moving towards President Trump<\/a>, in fact theyre trying to salvage what the president has already gotten out of. Its interesting, youre absolutely correct but on the other hand we actually saw the germans come out and verify the u. S. Intelligence, which point todd the iranians being responsible for attacks on some of those vessels in the gulf of oman and we also have really interestingly next week a summit between the National Security<\/a> advisors of russia, the United States<\/a> and israel, where theyre going to be talking undoubtedly about iran and what the next steps are. Not only about getting them out of syria or potentially trying to, but the broader challenge that iran pose toss the region poses to the region. Paul do you see any sign that the iranians are going to take up President Trump<\/a>s offer to come to the table and actually talk to renegotiate the terms of the nuclear deal . Look, its hard to imagine that they will. And what the iranians have said now very clearly is that all of this rests on the Supreme Leader<\/a> of iran. For all the talk about moderates or about some sort of imperfect democracy inside iran, we know thats all not true. It all rests on this one man who is deeply idealogical and deeply antiamerican and has said he doesnt wish to engage with the United States<\/a> after the unraveling of the joint comprehensive plan of action, the iran deal of 2015. Paul if he doesnt do it, they dont move. So far, he doesnt seem to have any intention of doing that. Jonathan, thank you for being with us. Pleasure. Paul when we come back, amid rising global tensions, President Trump<\/a> makes his reelection pitch. Will the themes he laid out in this Weeks Campaign<\/a> kickoff be enough to win him a second term . Our panel weighs in, next. Our magnificent first lady, melania, thank you. Red lobsters new weekday five days. S here five deals. For fifteen dollars get a different deal every weekday til six pm like endless shrimp monday admirals feast tuesday four course feast wednesday and more. Five days. Five deals. Fifteen dollars. See you before six. Whoa. Travis in it made it. Its amazing. Oh is that traviss app . Its pretty cool, isnt it . Theres two of them. Theyre multiplying. No, guys, its me. See, im real. Im real he thinks hes real. Geico. Over 75 years of savings and service. The first survivor of ais out there. Sease and the Alzheimers Association<\/a> is going to make it happen. But we wont get there without you. Visit alz. Org to join the fight. Thats ensure max protein, with high protein and 1 gram sugar. Its a situp, banana bend at the waist im tryin keep it up. Youll get there. Whoahoahoa 30 grams of protein, and one gram of sugar. Ensure max protein. I have news for democrats who want to return us to the bitter failures and betrayals of the past. We are not going back. Were going on to victory. Paul that was President Trump<\/a> tuesday, kicking off his campaign for a second term at a rally in orlando, florida, the president leaning on familiar themes as he launched his reelection bid, including his attack on democrats and Hillary Clinton<\/a>. Will that be enough to return him to the white house in 2020 . Lets bring in our panel, wall street journal come u columnistn henninger, and kyle peter sensed allysia finley. Let me ask you about iran. What do you make of the president s standdown on the military strike . Well, its very strange, i think in one respect, paul, which is that where we are now with iran i think was entirely predictable, certainly after the United States<\/a> moved that Aircraft Carrier<\/a> group into the gulf on the basis of intel intelligence that iran was going to do something imminently. It was entirely possible it would have escalated to this point. The military, National Security<\/a> agency would have had to start thinking about this. It was predictable after the president pulled out of the iran nuclear deal. This was going somewhere and the iranians were going to produce a strategy to try to get the u. S. To back down from that nuclear deal, so i would assume the pentagon has an idea now of what they might do at this point in time. Paul seems to me that it depends a lot how this plays out with iran, if iran decides to escalate and they interpret this as a sign of weakness on the president of the United States<\/a>, then the president s going to be forced down the road maybe even a bigger military action. On the other hand, if they decide okay, well negotiate, renegotiate, then the president may have this might look like a decision that is at least salvageable but, boy, when a president calls off a military strike in midair, that is some that is a big, big deal. President trump has Big Decisions<\/a> to make now. Paul all right. Lets turn to the reelection theme. You heard the speech, allysia. What do you think his team for reelection is . Whats his argument . Well, hes trying to relitigate 2016. I think this is one thing he and democrats can agree on. His argument is basically keep america great. Hes trying to run on the economy, but he hasnt really provided a second term agenda which i think is going to be a problem. Paul litigating 2016, thats usually not a winning issue for 2020, for the next election. Youre saying hes got to have an agenda in the next hes going to have to develop one to be able to move forward. Right. Hes not a policy wonk but he could put some poe sal some prot there, fix obamacare, he could talk about how he wants to finalize the china deal if its not done by then. Of course, he kind of walks into the trap there, well, why werent you able to get china deal done. Paul the other theme, kyle, the president really struck me with, hes saying to the voters democrats are going to take you off the cliff, theyre so extreme now. Socialists and so on, that you just cant afford to go there. But thats a risk because it means you have to have a candidate who l validate valida. Bernie sanders would do that. Maybe Elizabeth Warren<\/a> would do that but maybe not joe biden. Its understandable why the president is pitching his message that way right now because he doesnt have an opponent. Next week were going to get the first democratic debate, 20 democrats up on the stage and so the president can still talk about how democrats are dangerous and unhinged an afflicted with an ide idealodgel callogicalsickness. If its bernie, it might work. If its joe buy depositio biden. President trumps nickname for joe biden i is sleepy joe. Whats wrong with being sleepy . Paul President Trump<\/a> mentions Hillary Clinton<\/a> all the time. Sooner or later hes got to get rid of that, doesnt he . I think so. Lets give him the fact that 2016 was an extraordinary unpredicted victory, it was a big achievement for him and he cherishes it. Hes the president four years later. You look at the orlando audience, the intensity of their support for the president is overwhelming. Id assume hes got 43 of the electorate behind him, Something Like<\/a> that. You cant win a president ial election with 43 of the vote. He somehow has to find a way to pull in 7, 8 of the electorate out there who might be independents, women, suburban women. Hes got to make an argument to them, not merely to the people in those rallies who put him across in 2016. Paul one of the things thats interesting about the speech, ali sharks i thought was the president stressing cultural issues, he mentioned partial birth abortion, saying the democrats are radical on that. Hes going to stress immigration, its obviously. He did talk about the economy a lot but this is also going to be election where cultural themes are really coming to the fore. I think thats right, especially in places like wisconsin, michigan, pennsylvania, where he won. There were cultural issues, the Supreme Court<\/a> nomination was at stake and that probably put him over the finish line, lets be honest. Paul hes going to want to stress that. He went on judges for a long time on that speech. The fundamental challenge, you cant forget that Hillary Clinton<\/a> won almost 3 million more votes in 2016 than donald trump did. The 2020 nominee for the democrats doesnt have to do that much better. They just have to move some of the voters over the state borders. Trumps approval is negative 13 in wisconsin. He will have a tough time turning that around, i think. Paul hes got do that, win some of the suburban women back. When we come back, 16 months from the 2020 president ial election, a closer look at where President Trump<\/a> stands in the poll as he kicks off his reelection bid. Pened up so many doors. Its a lifelong adventure finding all of these new connections all the time. New features. Greater details. Richer stories. Get your dna kit today at ancestry. Com. Priceline will partner with even more vegas hotels to turn their unsold rooms into amazing deals. Delegates, how do you vote . cheering yes, yyyyes, yes. That is freaky. applause but allstate actually helps you drive safely. With drivewise. It lets you know when you go too fast. And brake too hard. With feedback to help you drive safer. Giving you the power to actually lower your cost. Unfortunately, it cant do anything about that. Now that you know the truth. Are you in good hands . On the sleep number 360 smart bed. It senses your movement and automatically adjusts to keep you both comfortable. And now the queen sleep number 360\u00ae c4 smart bed is now 1,299. Save 400. Only for a limited time. Applebees new loaded chicken fajitas. Now only 10. 99. We like drip coffee, layovers and waiting on hold. What we dont like is relying on fancy technology for help. Snail mail we were invited to a y2k party. Uh, didnt that happen, like, 20 years ago . Oh, look, karolyn, weve got a mathematician on our hands check it out now you can schedule a callback or reschedule an appointment, even on nights and weekends. Todays xfinity service. Simple. Easy. Awesome. Id rather not. Our economy is the envy of the world, perhaps the greatest economy weve had in the history of our country. And as long as you keep this team in place, we have a tremendous way to go. Our future has never, ever looked brighter or sharper. The fact is, the American Dream<\/a> is back. Its bigger and better and stronger than ever before. Paul that was President Trump<\/a> tuesday in orlando, touting the economy as he made his case for reelection. So where does he stand, some 16 months before election day in 2020 . Lets ask republican pollster, eed goez. Great to see you again. Lets take a step back, take a look at where you think the president is now. Whats his standing for reelection . Theres two types of models out there, one is an economic model or series of economic models, all which predict hell be reelected. The other are the political models, based more on polling and some other factors, all which predict he will lose. So i think right now its kind of too early to tell. Certainly his rankings that he gets on the economy from a variety of different voter groups, majority of americans is very, very positive. If he keeps the focus on the economy. Paul this is the fascinating thing. You look at the disconnect between his Approval Rating<\/a> on the economy, which is above 50 , in nearly every survey now and you look at his overall Approval Rating<\/a> and the average polls i see, its 44 , some 43, a little lower. How do you explain that disconnect . Well, the thing to also look at is favorability index which is his favorable, unfavorable rating, which quite frankly has been that 55 unfavorable since the day he announced. It was a 55 the day he was elected, 55 the day he was sworn in and 55 today. What you get is there is a group of voters, some of which like what hes doing policywise, particularly on the economic, but dont like his persona and they put a priority on that. And theres some that put a priority they dont like his persona but they like what hes doing policywise and they put a priority there and thats where you get the split. Paul so what that suggests is that the economy is not going to be the dominant issue in the election and even if it continues to be quite strong, some of the president s character issues are going to come to the fore. Well, that certainly would be the case if he doesnt focus on the economy but the more he focuses on the economy and kind of moves away from the kind of tweets of the day and some of the things he does on other issues, you know, hes always shown an interest in keeping his base strong which is important. Not the Republican Base<\/a> but the trump base which runs about 32, 33 . That was his advantage in 2016 over Hillary Clinton<\/a> that did not have intensity in her favorable base. But at the end of the day, and especially one of the numbers i look at closely is the gender gap, which you get very poor ratings with some of the key groups of women, married white women, white women overall but when you look at where they give him a rating on the economy, theyre in the high 50s, low 60s. So they dont like his persona. They do like his policies on the economy. He needs to show that as the important part, important focus of his race. Paul specifically to your point, i was looking at the nbc wall street journal poll this week. It shows the president has a 20 point negative rating among College Educated<\/a> white women. Not overall women. White women. And of course that group went against republicans in the house races in the swing districts in 2018. President has to get some of those back, doesnt he . Well, the bigger concern, and the gender gap has always been more of a married gap and a racial gap and so when youre talking about College Educated<\/a> women what you really have to look at is are they married, are they not married as opposed to a lot of those in fact are single. Where we do see concerned is married white women where we normally win by 20 points, we only have a 4 point lead. White women overall that we usually win between 4 and 8 points, we have an 8 point deficit. At least in the numbers that im looking at. Those are both, again, that if you take those two groups, they give him over a 57 Approval Rating<\/a>, not only on the economy but on jobs. And so if he keeps the focus on that, rather than where the democrat trying to take the economy, which is education and health care, he would do very well on bringing those women back. Paul theres been some state polling and you i know its early but one of the themes thats emerging and karl rove wrote about it this week, is some of the states that trump won comfortably in 2016, texas, georgia, north carolina, florida, texas and georgia in particular look to be in play this time. Do you think thats realistic. Is that something trump has to Pay Attention<\/a> to . I dont know about texas. Florida will certainly be in play. We had him slightly ahead in florida and ohio. Win the final week of the campaign, he moved forward to a lead in all four states and thats what brought him the presidency. Those are the states to really watch. Paul so the president s pollster says, well, look, the poll crazy, they dont model the actual voters who will come out. Our base is going to be mobileized. And thats going to be the key to the race. Every time i hear some Campaign Advisor<\/a> say ignore the polls, you know what, i mean, usually thats theyre just trying to distract from whats a bad poll result. I mean, what would you watch if youre a voter trying to measure how well the president s going to do . What do you watch . One of the mistakes a lot of the public polls make is they try model the sample based on what they think the electorate will be rather than go wider and look at intensity. What we watch very closely is intensity. We see the intensity being quite frankly both on our side in the trump base but we see equal intensity with the democratic side. Thats going to be the thing to watch very closely. The overall numbers at this point are not very good at predicting whats going to happen. The movement on intensity is. And thats the thing to watch in the coming months. Paul ed, thanks so much for coming in. Thank you. Paul well talk to you again soon. Still ahead, as the democratic president ial hopefuls prepare for their first debates next week, frontrunner joe biden is facing a backlash over his comments about working with segregationist senators and Elizabeth Warren<\/a> is enjoying a bump in the polls. All the latest from the campaign trail, next. All Money Managers<\/a> might seem the same, but some give their clients cookie cutter portfolios. Fisher investments tailors portfolios to your goals and needs. Some only call when they have something to sell. Fisher calls regularly so you stay informed. And while some advisors are happy to earn commissions whether you do well or not. Fisher investments fees are structured so we do better when you do better. Maybe thats why most of our clients come from other Money Managers<\/a>. Fisher investments. Clearly better money management. Oh oh oh ozempic\u00ae announcer people with type 2 diabetes are excited about the potential of onceweekly ozempic\u00ae. 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Paul as democrats gear up for their first debates next week, a series of recent polls have shown Elizabeth Warren<\/a> on the rise, running just behind Bernie Sanders<\/a> in iowa and florida and leading him in a recent survey out of nevada. A new poll shows him gaining on sanders as well in a statistical dead heat, this comes as joe biden faces backlash after he cited se gre segregationist sens his ability to collaborate, during his years in the senate. So kyle, lets start with biden first. Does he deserve this criticism from democratic competitors . I dont think so. Its worth noting some of the democrats in congress are standing up for him. Jim clyburn, the black representative from South Carolina<\/a> said where would i be if in 1992 when i came to washington if i refused to work with my senator, strom thurman. Biden is polling very well among black voters. Bernie sanders has struggled among black voters. Its understandable why democrats on the left are going after him in this kaye. Im not sure its going to work. Paul theyre trying to reduce his support among African American<\/a> voters. This is a cynical scheme. You also see right now theyre saying hes real his relationships with segregationist senators shows he was in favor of segregation. Paul thats the implication. Thats the implication. They also said they are tying it back to the opposition in the 1970s to force bussing. Paul you think thats unfair as well . Right. But theyre also trying to make him apologize for every single make him appear weak. His argument is that presumably a lot of the public out there wants washington to come together and try to get something done. Paul i think its a good argument. He was hammered by cory booker and kamala harris, saying we dont do business with people who think those sorts of things. That poll is a proxy for the modern Republican Conservative Movement<\/a> in the eyes of liberals. We dont do business with these people because theyre morally rereprehensible. Paul how will you get Elizabeth Warren<\/a> wealth tax . How will you get her 20 programs, thats right. Paul Elizabeth Warren<\/a>, we have a boom here, is it the real thing . Whats behind it. I think it might be the real thing. One of the narratives is people who are scared off by bernie are moving to Elizabeth Warren<\/a> who is someone who may be as left as she is but might be more electable. I think theres something to that. Whats interesting is who this helps. If you look at the poll numbers, biden is at 32 and warren is at 29 , plus sanders. As long as they split that up, hes got to love that. Paul what is the appeal of warren above bernie . Bernie calls himself a socialist. She says im a capitalist who wants to fix and save capitalism. But their policies arent all that different. I think thats right. If anything, her policies are more detailed and prescriptive, how she wants to reengineer the u. S. Economy, she wants in terms of antiprost antitrust,p paul big companies. Break up in ag, break up tech companies, she talks about stakeholders, corporations should be accountable to stakeholders which would include basically workers. This would be a complete overhaul of the u. S. Capitalist system. Paul shes proposing a federal charter for companies who big companies, which are now chartered at the state level, saying they need to put employees on the board and that they need to answer to the stakeholders, not to shareholders. That would be a really radical move, dan. But whats the difference . Does the fact that she doesnt call herself a socialist, that is reassuring to a lot of democratic voters, they think she might be a better candidate against trump for that reason . I do think so. She is proposing Something Like<\/a> semisocialism. The speech Bernie Sanders<\/a> gave, defining himself as a socialist, that was a mistake. Elizabeth warren is offering something to my mind mitch more likmuch morelike the obama term. Raising the question of whether obamas socalled new normal, 2 growth, and theres a lot of agreement that warrens plans will be suppressive of growth, can be mitigated by the rest of her programs which is essentially bribes to the middle class, new tax credits and things like that, and new entitlement programs. Paul a huge wealth tax. A huge wealth tax to pay for the programs that would make up for 2 growth. Paul how does that the support for warren, though, square with the fact that if you look at the polls of democratic primary voters, most say we dont want a radical transformation of the United States<\/a> economy or the United States<\/a> government. We want a return to normalcy pretrump. Thats not the the warren agenda is transformation, its not return to normalcy. Some of it may be generational. Bernie sanders made that arrestingment this week. He argument this week. He said part of the reason warren might be rising, theres people who want to see a woman in the white house, dont want to see a mid70s guy in the white house and there may be generational effects at work here too. To dans point, i think its more than a socialism label. Remember when Bernie Sanders<\/a> was asked a couple months ago whether the Boston Marathon<\/a> bomber who is convicted and in jail should have the right to vote and he said yeah, i mean, i think that. Hes honest. You know what youre getting. Hes the radical and warren is just a little bit more its not clear what she entirely means. Paul allysia, do you think she has staying power . Do you think shes going places. I actually thing sh think she staying power than Bernie Sanders<\/a>. I think its a matter of time before his favor fizzles out. When people realize hes not as authentic as he seems, theyll move to maybe Pete Buttigieg<\/a> or Elizabeth Warren<\/a> or some of the others. Paul as the suprem supreme cot winds down its term, surprising rulings that show a divided conservative majority, what were learning about the new Supreme Court<\/a>, next. We bought a house in a neighborhood with a lot of other young couples. Then we noticed something. Strange. Oh, could you, uh, make me a burger . Poof youre a burger. [ laughter ] everyone acts like their parents. You have a tattoo. Yes. Fun. Do you not work . So, what kind of mower you got, seth . I dont know. Some kid comes over. We pay him to do it. But its not all bad. Someone even showed us how we can save money by bundling home and auto with progressive. Progressive cant protect you from becoming your parents. But we can protect your home and auto. Progressive cant protect you from becoming your parents. Iand i dont add up the years. But what i do count on. Is staying happy and healthy. So, i add protein, vitamins and minerals to my diet with boost\u00ae. 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Chantix reduces the urge so when the day arrives, youll be more ready to kiss cigarettes goodbye. When you try to quit smoking, with or without chantix, you may have nicotine withdrawal symptoms. Stop chantix and get help right away if you have changes in behavior or thinking, aggression, hostility, depressed mood, suicidal thoughts or actions, seizures, new or worse heart or blood vessel problems, sleepwalking, or lifethreatening allergic and skin reactions. Decrease alcohol use. Use caution driving or operating machinery. Tell your doctor if youve had Mental Health<\/a> problems. The most common side effect is nausea. Quit smoking slow turkey. Talk to your doctor about chantix. Paul the Supreme Court<\/a> ruling this week that a 40foot cross in maryland can continue to stand, the cross was erected in 1925 to commemorate soldiers who died in world war i and the decision is seen as a big win for religious liberty. The decision comes as the justices wind down a closely watched term, the first since Justice Brett<\/a> cavanaugh cemented the courts new p conservative majority. Were back with dan henninger, allysia findley and kyle peterson. What are we learning about the court this year . First of all, that its not as polarized as people would expect and the conservatives dont all vote in lock step. There are a lot of divisions on some issues, especially gorsuch, neil gorsuch and Clarence Thomas<\/a> have aligned on, for instance, the issue or the case, gamble versus u. S. On state sovereignty and prosecutions double jeopardy, whether states and federal government can both prosecute an individual for the same offense. They came down in the minority. Theyve been the minority in more cases than any of the liberals. Paul dan, what do you think . Its interesting, the cross issue is fascinating, it wasnt 54. Some people thought it would be. Justice alitos opinion managed to bring along kagan and bryor, 72, a pretty strong majority. Justices gorsuchs concurrence, he talked about something called the offended observer, the cross is that is in the middle of the road in maryland, people drive by, saying im offended by it, violates my sense of religious independence. Gorsuch raises the question about how can you file a Supreme Court<\/a> lawsuit simply because youre offended by something. Have you to have some standing to sue. Why didnt the court, he said, go all the way and simply say that explicitly. Paul thats an interesting question. Maybe because they didnt have five votes to get there. Basically put together what is a more measured opinion by alito. That measured opinion by alito very farreaching, if you look back, it gutted the precedent, the lemon test that guided some of the establishment ruling clause rulings for a long time. I think this is a very big vic victory for freedom of religion. The question is, how much direction are we getting from these decisions where you have even the majority divided amongst all the occurrences, how clear is the decision. Paul what do you make of this so far, kyle sunn . I mean is allysia right about the division between conservatives. The case was interesting. It was a 72 decision. There were seven decisions issued by the court, a image may decision, minority descent and five concurrences. If youre a lower court judge, good luck making sense of that its disheartening because theres a narrative we have red and blue justices, its more complicated than that theres different ways of interpreting the statutes, of looking at the law. Thats a prime example of a that. In another case the justices split 3, 3, 3 and there was a third case where you had Justice Ginsburg<\/a> on the left and Justice Gorsuch<\/a> on the left teaming up to descent from the decision. Theres a whole mix of outcomes this week. Paul on the double jeopardy decision, gorsuch read the original constitution to say only one trial, one time, no matter the jurisdiction. And the other justices did not. Clarence thomas said, well, took issue with the reliance on 170170 years of precedent. He said the precedent wasnt clearly erroneous and there are probably good arguments both sides, based on English Common<\/a> law in both sides and i support neil gorsuch for jettisoning precedent and not paying too much respect for it but im going to agree with the majority anyway. Paul dan, its fascinating to see and this may be the most consequential result of the trump presidency, that youre going to have these rulings that are now i think center right rulings of one kind or another and youre going to see that the conservative justices no longer united as much, but having the varieties of originalism interpretation. Yeah, i mean, maybe people should pay more attention to the Supreme Court<\/a>. Out there in our politics, were so divided, the left, the right. We cant talk to each other. The Supreme Court<\/a>s conservatives and liberals are having a much more interesting conversation about the biggest issues of our time. We should start paying attention to it. Paul what about Justice Kavanaugh<\/a> . What have we learned about him. He seems in many cases to be separated, not as close as with Clarence Thomas<\/a> and neil gorsuch as some might have thought, maybe closer to samuel alito and chief justice roberts. Hes in the pragmatist wing of the conservative block. But the varieties of interpretation and originalism on display are interesting. Justice thomas had a concurrence where he talked about respect for precedent. He said when faced with erroneous precedent, my rule is simple, we should not follow it. [ laughter ] paul that would throw out an awful lot of law. An Antonin Scalia<\/a> described himself as a faint hearted originalist. Paul when we come back, Overland College<\/a> is ordered to pay 44 million in damages after a jury finds it defamed a local bakery with accusations of racism. What other universities can learn from overlands might,s overlands plight, next. Like job. When he was diagnosed with cancer, his team at ctca created a Personalized Care<\/a> plan to treat his cancer and side effects. So job could continue to work and stay strong for his family. This is how we inspire hope. This is how we heal. We love you, daddy. Good night. I love you guys. Cancer Treatment Centers<\/a> of america. Appointments available now. Its kind of unfair that safe drivers have to pay as much for insurance. As not safe drivers ah that was a stunt driver. Thats why esurance has this drivesense\u00ae app. The safer you drive, the more you save. Dont worry, im not using my phone and talking to a camera while driving. Im being towed. By the way, im actually a safe driver. Im just pretending to be a not safe driver. Cool. Bye dennis quaid when insurance is affordable, its surprisingly painless. Paul Overland College<\/a> ordered to pay a whopping 44 million in damages last week after a jury in ohio found that the university defamed a local bakery, falsely accusing the fifth generation Family Business<\/a> of racial profiling, following the 2016 arrest of three black students involved in a shoplifting incident. Wall street journal editorial page writer Gillian Melchior<\/a> is here with details. What happened here at overland and the gibsons store that caused the gibsons family to sue . Yeah, so the day after trumps election this 19yearold kid went into gibsons with a fake id. He had wine bottles stuffed down his shirt. They tried to stop him from shoplifting. It turned into a tussle outside. Paul he was charged. Yes. In addition, admitting this wasnt a racial incident. Paul how did it escalate into one where the store was accused of a racial incident. All three students present were black and they were aided an abetted by the dean of students who was handing out fliers, saying that this bakery is guilty of discream nation, d. Paul and saying that on pieces of paper. And cheerleading the protesters on. Paul the bakery said youre maligning us falsely, defaming uus and hurting our business and they sued under the defamation statute. They did suffer damages. The university pulled back on a contract. More broadly, you saw emails where some of the professors were saying lets smear the bakery, ruin the reputation, trying to get people to boycott it. The bakery fells falsely aligned, accused of racism and suffered because of that. The court was similar pathetic. Paul the original ruling by the jury, 11 million in actual damages, and then a punitive damages additionses of 33 million. Yeah, thats probably going to drop a little bit because the state does have a cap on punitive damages, this is a big hit for overland. Paul where does the case stand now . Is the school appealing. Theyre saying the fight is not over. Its unclear what theyre going to be appealing about. I think it sends a message to other colleges, theres a kneejerk reactionary attitude on campus where the detaut i des to accuse people of racism, trans phobia, all of these things. Paul has the school apologized for said youre not racist, have they done anything like that . They insisted they did not defame the bakery. I think if you look at the evidence, like the jury did, its pretty clear that they did. Paul dan, lets step away a bit here and look at the consequences. Whats the larger meaning of this . Is this a oneoff or is this something that other universities really should be concerned about . Oh, i think they should be and i think they are. Because the big thing here with the overland decision is in terms of the legal analysis was that Something Like<\/a> this a lot of these incidents happen on campuses now, theres a racial element, students protest, they accuse people of racism. What happened here was that some of the employees agents of overland, such as the dean, participated in that and what the court here was saying is, you are responsible for the behavior of the people who work for you. The students are one thing. Theyre students, theyre protesting out there. But have you to be held liable for the actions taken by, say, deans and so forth, possibly even professors. Thats new because the question here has always been adult supervision. Do you merely wave your hand and let the protests happen or do you try get your facts straight as gillian just described and discover that in fact there was no racism going on here at all. Paul should employers be responsible for the defamation defamatory statements of an employee . And is this the right way to actually kind of for conservatives generally to get back at to kind of rein in the leftism of some of the campus faculties . Is this the right way defamation cases the right way to proceed . I think with this, the dean was acting as a representative of the university, was institutional in a way. Whether this is right or wrong, i think this is one success thats going to have repercussions, like it or not youre going to see more people suing for defamation. Paul at schools across the country. Exactly. Paul with these kinds of case, similar facts, circumstances. We have to take one more break. When we come back, hits and misses of the week. Wow thats ensure max protein, with high protein and 1 gram sugar. Its a situp, banana bend at the waist im tryin keep it up. Youll get there. Whoahoahoa 30 grams of protein, and one gram of sugar. Ensure max protein. Its nice. You got this woo on a john deere x300 series mower. Because Seasons Change<\/a> but true character doesnt. Wow, youve outdone yourself this time. Hey, whatre neighbors for . Its beautiful. Run with us. Search john deere x300 for more. I didnt have to call 911. Help. And i didnt have to come get you. Because you didnt have another heart attack. Not today. You took our conversation about your chronic coronary Artery Disease<\/a> to heart. Even with a stent procedure, your condition can get worse over time and keep you at risk of blood clots. So you added xarelto\u00ae to help keep you protected. Xarelto\u00ae a blood thinner approved by the fda when taken with lowdose aspirin is proven to further reduce the risk of blood clots that can cause heart attack, stroke, or cardiovascular death in people with chronic cad. Thats because while aspirin can help, a recent study showed it may not be enough to manage your underlying risk of blood clots. In a clinical trial, almost 96 of people taking xarelto\u00ae did not have a cardiovascular event. Dont stop taking xarelto\u00ae without talking to your doctor, as this may increase your risk of heart attack, stroke, or cardiovascular death. While taking, you may bruise more easily or take longer for bleeding to stop. Xarelto\u00ae can cause serious, and in rare cases, fatal bleeding. It may increase your risk of bleeding if you take certain medicines. Get help right away for unexpected bleeding or unusual bruising. Do not take xarelto\u00ae if you have an artificial heart valve or abnormal bleeding. Before starting, tell your doctor about all planned medical or dental procedures and any kidney or liver problems. Enjoy every moment and help protect yourself from an unexpected one like a serious cardiovascular event. Are you doing enough . Ask your doctor if its time for xarelto\u00ae. To learn more about cost and how janssen can help, visit xarelto. Com. Time now for hits and misses of the week. My miss goes to mexico a ministry of culture. They condemned Fashion Designer<\/a> Carolyn Herrera<\/a> for cultural appropriations. The designers new resort Line Features<\/a> indigenous mexican designs but you have gotten the leading party in mexico right now actually trying to draft legislation that would penalize cultural appropriation. I think its really dangerous when you have a government representative going and doing that. It is a suppression of creative thought and i think we are forcing artists to stay in a culture you will end with less. I will give a hit to the great did by hope. Earlier this year they couldnt agree to reauthorize the state ministry of code. Which covers everything from fishing licenses to tax appeals. He left the governor there in a position to decide what to keep. So he posted a revised code to speak it cost to 40 percent of the roles including one that requires state veterinarians have pleasant manners. Altogether theyve eliminated 900 pages. What some would call that is a good start. [laughter] dan . It turns out donald trump is not the only world leader struggling with his Approval Rating<\/a> these days. Im giving a mr. Vladimir putin whose Approval Rating<\/a> recently dropped from 90 percent to 64 percent. Incredibly enough it seems to me kind of role because he adjusted his annual tb call and showing people called in asking questions like are you ever going to leave . And is it ever going to get better . Find logic think is under pressure by making a prediction the reelection chances are excellent. That is it for this weeks show thank you to my show. Thanks to all of you for watching. I am paul gigot. We hope to see you all here next week. We start with the fox news alert. President trump jason aldean he will delay tomorrows raids by immigration and customs enforcement. That by two weeks after getting major pushback from the democrats but hello everyone and welcome to americas news headquarters, im eric shawn. Arthel i am arthel neville. I. C. E. Raids were expected to happen in 10 major u. S. Cities but now the president is holding off sending request from democrats like housesitter nancy pelosi, the president tweeting quote at the request of democrats are to lead the league i have delayed the process. To see if we can get together","publisher":{"@type":"Organization","name":"archive.org","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","width":"800","height":"600","url":"\/\/ia801007.us.archive.org\/23\/items\/FOXNEWSW_20190622_190000_The_Journal_Editorial_Report\/FOXNEWSW_20190622_190000_The_Journal_Editorial_Report.thumbs\/FOXNEWSW_20190622_190000_The_Journal_Editorial_Report_000001.jpg"}},"autauthor":{"@type":"Organization"},"author":{"sameAs":"archive.org","name":"archive.org"}}],"coverageEndTime":"20240617T12:35:10+00:00"}