candidate by two and a half points. interestingly, if you look really close in nevada in 2020, the trump did a little bit better in that clark county area in 2016. he actually did worse, and with irena speaking to what's going on there. some inroads and some gains for trump within hispanics. in the las vegas area, nevada, and republicans are just looking at that data, they believe the day can work nevada, that might be all they need for that senate. similar story in arizona, incumbent there as a very large population. a very close election in 2020. you can even talk about colorado's being a re-state for republicans, it's got a large population. in georgia, there's a rising hispanic operation. the metro area has one of the fastest-growing shares of the population, and obviously it's a tight senate race there with herschel walker and raphael warnock. it could be meaningful. >> you've studied this so many