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MSNBCW MTP Daily November 1, 2016

Mtp daily starts right now. One more week. The election is shifting the Battle Ground and we have a lot to dive into. We have a brandnew map that i will unveil. There is an even bigger story. American democracy has been badly damaged by this election. The results next tuesday will make things worse. Its a scary proposition, but lets be blunt. There is little that can stop the slow trust of our defolk mock reas. This is keeping leaders up at night left and right. Heres why. James comeys decision to publicly revive his investigation of clintons emails has thrown gasoline on a rigged election talk we thought was only burping in one party. They may not recognize the full legitimacy. Heres one plausible scenario. Say clinton wins the presidency and the republicans hold the senate. They will say they rigged the presidency for clinton. Democrats are likely to argue that comey rigged the senate for republicans by dampening enthusiasm for down ballot democrats with this announcement. This is what november 9th could look like. Defoo fines and anger from all sides. Ask yourself, how can american democracy function if large chunks of the electorate question legitimacy even if the out come is different . The result will probably be the same. They will not tolerate support for any parts and the same can be said for the Democratic Base if trump wins. The National Nightmare does not end there. The third branch of government cannot function in this mess either. Obstructions impaired the support and it is looking like republicans will feel like they have no choice but to block any clinton nominee, possibly for years if she wins. Heres what republican senator richard burr told republican volunteers in the audio obtained by cnn. Hillary clinton obtains the presidency and i will do everything i can do that four years from now we have an opening on the Supreme Court. This is richard burr. Not somebody associated with sort of the fire and brim stone of the right. We heard this type of things like ted cruz. The next two years could see a permanent war being waged. We could have an incomplete Supreme Court and untrufed fbi and a branch mired in investigation and election result called illegitimate and four rings of the electorate and democrats and tea parties and Establishment Republicans futing on what to do about it and who to blame and how to rebuild it. Lets folks focus on the email support joined by a clinton supporter here in washington who was counsel to House Democrats in bill clintons impeachment proceedings. Welcome. Good to see you again. Is there any discomfort you had with a clinton messaging that is going hard after director comey. They may feel legitimate about it. There is a consequence in the same way republicans were furious after july. We know in this case if you are getting beaten up by both sides, it doesnt mean you are doing your job. Thats right. Its selfinflikted. The first way was sort of backwards. Its not ready, aim, fire. Its fire, aim, ready. First i will talk to you and update you and then do an investigation and tell you if there was anything there. It brings on criticism and it never happened. There is lots of people that pointed out the director violated decades of policy in two ways. The first way is to tell you about an ongoing investigation. Thats not a law. He did not break any laws. Y i totally understand. Its a policy recommendation. Its not a law, but there is two doj policies. You dont talk about investigations and you dont take action in the shadow of an election that can influence it. The irony is that he violated two policies of his Department Investigating secretary clinton over email servers which doesnt violate the policies of the department of state. Isnt that weird . There is plenty of people on that front. Let me ask you this, if you are him and this was coming out that there were more emails to investigate and the public didnt know about this, capitol hill republicans would think this information was with held unfairly. What do you say to that . Two wrongs dont make a right. He should not have announced in july his personal opinion and having committed that wrong, he is in a very important job that he volunteered to have. Its a tough job. Its a job where you take criticism and in Law Enforcement accident its such a powerful tool that officials especially need to know that like good children, they should be silent at the table. It is unnerving to watch and we see it recently. We had investigations impact elections that eventually lead to no conviction. That influenced an election. You could argue Terry Mcauliffe is governor because of the investigation into the previous governor of virginia which had an impact on how republicans felt. Do we have to have laws in place that changes this because the idea is you are guilty until proven innocent . I dont know if you need a law, but you need a couple of things. You need americans to remember that this Means Nothing more than opening up a file on his desk. It doesnt lead anywhere. Thats an erosion of the presumption of innocence. Lets say we are reality and thats what people think. Law enforcement officials do pretzels and not to do something that can influence an election. Two things have gotten lost. One is there is no Law Enforcement purpose for what the director did. It doesnt advance the ball at all. He is looking at more emails. There could be 10,000 more emails on huma abedins computer and it wouldnt change what was announced in july. The two people are allowed to talk to each other about classified information and it doesnt violate the law. They both have security claims. The only thing is there is prove that the material was removed. Yes. Thats the other thing. The only other time any case has been made when there was a physical removal of something marked classified like in the sandy berger case or other cases. Im not saying and believe i read, secretary clinton could be a harsher critic. If they could get their hands on it huma abedin is not even sure what emails they are referring to. Not sight unseen. Believe me, i dont think that the Clinton Campaign is actually interested in anything being with held, but you kapt say im going to jump out from the way and we dont want to see this. For more on the Bigger Picture and the idea that may be damage has been done by the democracy. The cofounder of the policy center, majority leader under bill clinton and a New York Times chief washington correspondent and the unofficial mayor of capitol hill. Splachb what you think is about to happen on november 9th. If they think this election will clear the air and there will be a washington reset and dysfunction will go away, they will be disappointed. What senator burr said and senator cruz said in texas that they are going to block any stream Court Nominee that is an extraordinary thing to say. Some republicans said they would never stand for that and we would move ahead. If the republicans win the senate, they would be able to block this indefinitely. If the democrats win, if there is a blockade, they will move to do the Nuclear Option. Okay. Thats where i want to move to senator mitchell. I want to clear that up. Senator mitchell, going the Nuclear Option which means no opportunity for a filibuster at all for the other side on a Supreme Court justice. Republicans say hey, harry reid started this when he invoked the lower option for lower courts, but explain the damage that could do to the institution. It would be severe damage. I refrain from any such actions when i was Senate Majority leader, but the circumstances were different. The numbers of filibusters and the willingness to use obstructionist taxes have increased exponentially. You can argue day and night as to who started it, but the real question is how do you finish it . I believe that there are steps that whoever is elected president can and should take immediately to try to diffuse the hostility and the partisanship and try to get the government and the legislative branches on the right track towards bipartisan action. I was going to say, you were a special envoy to try to solve the israeli and palestinian ongoing crisis. I think this might be harder. Thats nothing compared to this. Senator mitchell, let me go on there. If you are president elect Hillary Clinton and dealing with Mitch Mcconnell not just in the lame duck, but you are dealing with him, what can she do to diffuse things and what pressure do you think what obligation does Mitch Mcconnell have . The basis of both parties, they dont want to diffuse things. Right. At first before taking office, i would announce the highest possible ethical standards to govern administrations and make sure that everyone in his or her dont trust either. What is the new ethical standard that we have not had before that could start to rebuild trust . President obama has had the highest ethical standards in history and i think even they can be improved perhaps particularly in the area of the receive vofling door between people entering and leaving government and engaging in other activities. Many areas in which this can be improved. Everything human beings can be can be improved. Secondly one or two numbers of the Opposition Party to the cabinet. I think they serve a beautiful purpose both symbolistally and realistically. An a level post or b level post . We have never seen it on an a level. One of each. Not just minor cabinet positions and a meaningful level. My colleague is a republican and served as secretary of defense under clint. He did an outstanding job. Its possible that it can be done in the future. Third, i would seek out the opposition in developing my budget and administrations initial proposals to find areas where there can be common ground. There are many. An Infrastructure Program and they say they wanted it. Lets try to do it. Returning and repatriating money from overseas and using that and both parties say they want to do it. Lets give them the chance to do it. Thirdly, do something in terms of a proposal about this horrific Campaign Spending problem that we have in our country. One of the reasons both mr. Trump and senator sanders did well in the nomination process is they focused on the completeness trust that americans have with excessive money in politics and the declining transparency in that area. Go ahead with that. I think that a real effort is like your kids. They know when you are serious and the public will know whether the incoming president is serious about seeking bipartisan assistance. Lets do a little reality check. No offense, but the center senator mitchells optimism. The center has been hollowed out of the senate. I know this and i know this. They dont act like centrists because of the way the bases work. One of the proposals put out there, the progressive wing to allow the common ground. Whats the reality here . They would be upset if there is centrist republicans appointed to the cabinet. I do think thats a nice overture. In 2013 when they did change the rules on the judges, there were democrat who is wanted to go ahead and eliminate the filibuster. Some of the older democrats didnt want to do that and worried about whether they would be able to block a bad republican nominee. Those folks are gone and a lot of this sense of a bipartisanship is fading. I think senator clinton has a reputation for being being able to work with republicans and could try to reach across the aisle, but the republicans are seeing what their constituents want and that is give no ground to the democrats. I think it will be tough. The House Republicans are talking more about investigating secretary clinton rather than sitting down and talking to her. I think its going to be unfortunately more of the same. On that upbeat note, i have to go and pay bills. The public takes its queue from the political leaders. Minds can be changed. Until now, until this last year for 50 years, republicans have favored trade agreements and encouraged more trade agreements. One candidate capitalized on sentiment and changed the position of the republican party. Why could not a president change minds by taking the bully pulpit and uses it for positive purposes as opposed to negative purposes. There you go. You are a statesman for a reason. Good to see and thanks for coming on. Always a pleasure. Coming up, the Battle Ground map might be getting a shakeup. What could be clintons new roadblock to 270 and does trump have a couple of realistic paths . I will show you. Well be right back. Long. Did you read every word . No, only lawyers do that. So when you got rearended and needed a tow, your Insurance Company told you to look at page five on your policy. Did it say great news. Youre covered on page five . No. It said, blah blah, blah blah blah blah blah. The Liberty Mutual app with coverage compass™ makes it easy to know what youre covered for and what youre not. Liberty stands with you™. Liberty mutual insurance. Because shevery year. Ow that it kills 40,000 californians. Because she doesnt understand what cancer is. Because she cant spell emphysema. Because she is a butterfly, who fights fires. Because she is my daughter, and the Surgeon General says that raising tobacco taxes. Is a proven way to make sure she never smokes. Thats why im voting yes on 56. We haves showing how many people are voting early. As of today, over 26 million votes have been cast already. Nearly twice as many as the last president ial election. At this point 13. 5 million had been cast early. They were tracking more votes cast early compare paired with a week out and it should be noted there are states that have allowed more early voting including colorado by mail. The biggest growth is happening in these critical states. Florida, michigan, arizona, and colorado. Specifically in michigan, the early vote turn out is favoring democrats. They are outpacing republicans by three points in colorado and michigan and by 13 points in virginia. The numbers may come as a relief to the Clinton Campaign, but the path looks like it could be narrowing. There are more paths that could be narrowing. That credit scorecard. Give it. Sure its free for everyone. Oh well thats nice and checking your score wont hurt your credit. Oh im so proud of you. Well thank you. Free at at discover. Com creditscorecard, even if youre not a customer. Hillary clinton far too many families today dont earn what they need and dont have the opportunities they deserve. I believe families deserve quality education for their kids, childcare they can trust and afford, equal pay for women, and jobs they can really live on. People ask me what will be different if im president . Well kids and families have been the passion of my life and they will be the heart of my presidency. Im Hillary Clinton and i approve this message. We were talking about a potential wave that could flip control of the senate and putting the house in play. Is it possible the path is narrowing . Lets look at the map before comey. This is whether it stood. The stuff in gray is where the toss ups were. In main and nebraska. We had her well over 270 with a pad. Trump at 157. Well, lets go ahead and look at a new Battle Ground map. Thanks to early voting, nevada appears to be getting out of reach for trump. The early vote is going in sump a way that is good news there for clinton. Today she is making new ad buys in colorado and polling 179s the idea that colorado has gotten close. The senate race has gotten close. She has gone up in mitch dpan and not a lot to say the race is below five points as well as virginia. Then you start i saing enthusiasm is up and arizona is more likely to go back to the norm there. Then you are like okay, she is sitting at 274 and we know that New Hampshire, the maine situation there, we will get that back here a little bit. Get it out. Goodbye, maine. Lets get that back. North carolina has gone back in the poss up and she is under her number. What happens . Right now lets sum north and North Carolina and give him ohio. I am not ready to move pennsylvania. Its still preety lean blue. We have utah and that mcmullen thing is something he has to deal with. Give him iowa. We are sitting at trump at 258 and clinton at 255. You see whats going on based on what we think we know right now. Look at that. It would suddenly put wisconsin and these little votes here into play potentially. Especially if New Hampshire goes red you throw maine. It feels like its more likely to go red. He is sitting there and everything could come down to wisconsin. If thats the deal, democrats feel good because they think they have a ground game there and the republicans dont. Dont forget the chairman is from where . Wisconsin. Lets talk to him. The convibtor for our friends and will ork r obama days of both 08 and 12. Do you buy it . I think we have to take it seriously that things will be close. We are not a country where we have a five orpoint race. To say that North Carolina and florida go republican is really tough. We got florida in the last two elections and the demographics that are making democrats more competitive, it grounds central to florida with the hispanic vote. A lot of my friends argue that when you look at the early vote in floater, they like their chances. Mow matter how i do this map, trump has to breakthrough the big blue wall of the midwest. Give them the southern swing states off the bort. He has to breakthrough the wall. Pennsylvania looks hard and wisconsin is hard, but maybe of the three the easiest . Its much more in line with his current vote share and you can make the argument that at the end of the day, the fundamentals work the best for trump. They have come the closest for winning and previous cam

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