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预计9月M2同比增速下降至8.1%,M1同比增速下降至4.0%,信贷投放约1.9万亿,新口径社融规模约3.3万亿。实体部门融资方面,9月政府部门负债增速继续回落,信用债表现尚可,合并的债券余额增速相比前值有所下行,但幅度变小。

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