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Analysis-Despite COP28 deal on fossil fuels, 1.5C goal likely out of reach

A deal for the world to transition away from fossil fuels was hailed as a historic achievement on Wednesday at the U.N. climate summit in Dubai, but there's a good chance it won't achieve its ultimate goal - holding global warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius. For months, COP28 President Sultan al-Jaber had described that 1.5C limit - first stated in the 2015 Paris Agreement - as his "North Star" or guiding principle for the summit. Scientists say that a global temperature rise beyond 1.5C above the preindustrial average will trigger catastrophic and irreversible impacts, from melting ice sheets to the collapse of ocean currents. ....

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No COP28 consensus yet on climate change goals

While emission reduction or mitigation has clear goals-the temperature target of well below 2C and pursuing efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5C, there are no comparable targets for adapting to impacts of climate change. The 2015 Paris Agreement addresses this gap through the decision to put in place a global goal that mirrors that for mitigation. ....

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