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I'll put -- i'm goingi into go h sam, 312. you must have an electoral vote count you've figured out. >> i'll go with 318. >> i'll go with 322. >> to be clear, these were all electoral college votes we thought hillary clinton would get. we didn't even think about trump. we were, of course, absolutely wrong. so was pretty much everyone else. so the question is why. harry anton is a senior political writer and analyst with 538 and nate cohn is a writer for the "new york times" upshot. so, very simply, why were we wrong? >> well, i think the polls, that's the reason why. the polls had indicated th...

End. the closest state in 2012, we're going down to the wire again. new hampshire, clinton plus three, clinton tried to get the white working class to reverse the clinton leads in those states. it's a big challenge for trump. let's look at the scenarios in terms of the road to 270. 268 for clinton, 204 for trump. even most republicans in nevada concede, we can take this one out of the tossup and give it to clinton. what can donald trump do to win? some democrats think this is actually conceivable. democrats think donald trump will get arizona in the end. but especially because of early voting ...

Screen from where i'm sitting oddly enough. but there's two different numbers i think i've seen on our screen. one says 322 for hillary clinton. the other says 332. i just want to get it straight, is it 322 to 216 or 332 to 216? >> 322 to 216. no toss-ups. >> yewe're joined bring ana mar cox. ana marie, so america has nothing to fear, according to every electoral college projection, including the one today on fox news, which has hillary clinton at 274. >> we don't have maybe to fear a trump presidency. i mean, there's still a lot to fear, i mean, i think now my biggest fear is that people, if ...

Sabato's krystal ball sees clinton coasting to victory a whopping 422 electoral vote. rather 322. got the math. till the final vote is cast, it's anyone's guess this year. one of the biggest deciding factors in the election might be the influence of the latina vote. early voting suggests it is at an all-time high in key states. gabe gutierrez ventured to central florida to get a closer look at what folks there are thinking. >> let's talk to these folks are out and let's see. >> reporter: in the toughest of battlegrounds, the war is changing. >> the latino community know their futures their fam...

This is a lot we will be doing as the votes come in. we will have fun with that tonight. joining me now is contributors michael steel and former chair of the republican national km t committee. ej, i will start with you. they looked at the race and not just thinking win. they were not just thinking win, but margin. they were thinking mandate and making some kind of statement that might help her govern. where do you think they are tonight? >> they could get there if all those states fall their way. they would get 322 electoral votes which is pretty good, but what they lost is the opportunity to...