Hillary clinton, given the lead she would presumably have if you just random sampled, but you seem to also be alluding the to the fact that there are different universes of voters. let me put on the screen some of the places where there's huge clinton leads right now that certainly couldn't be at an early vote, wouldn't be her expected margin. look at this in virginia, right? you're up 52/37. look at wisconsin, she's up over 20 points, if we count democratic-affiliated ballots, that's how we're doing the early vote. so that would suggest that even if she wins wisconsin, as might be expected, y...