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Folklife center. The library hosted this event as part of its summer lecture series. I am going to start the program off. I want to leave time for q a for stephen afterwards. I have a boatload of questions and i imagine the audience is going to as well. As littlewho know about the American Folklife Center as i did, i will share notes i jotted down. Our speaker today is Stephen Winick, who is with the Folklife Center. I will tell you more about his job and a second. The center is located at the library of congress, that is our theme for this month lecture series. The center was created in 1976 ...

【国际大宗商品早报】9月21日，芝加哥玉米、小麦和大豆期价涨跌不一；美油、布油分别收涨0.38%和0.60%；纽约金价上涨0.82%；伦敦金属交易所基本金属期货价格多数下跌；日内重点关注美国至9月17日当周EIA原油库存。

原油：侍奉事件性影响久与预期，电力短缺拉高气价油价1。核心逻辑：热带风暴尼古拉斯再度袭击湾区，放缓了产量和炼厂开工的时间。目前美湾仍有29.5%约合53.72万桶/天的产量关停，预计后续将会加快恢复速度，与此相对应的是受影响炼厂的恢复速度仍旧相对缓慢，截至上周的数据为1438万桶/天。但Colonial管道受影响关停，汽柴油短期价格大幅推涨，汽柴和原油库存也仍旧处于大量去化中。

煤炭、钢铁、有色等周期板块26日盘中联袂拉升，截至发稿，煤炭板块方面，云维股份、兖州煤业、山煤国际等涨停，美锦能源涨逾8%。对于煤炭板块，中信证券指出，目前虽然“保供”政策不断落地，行业供给紧张格局短期也难扭转，煤价整体有望维持高位。焦煤价格供给缺口明显，价格不断创新高；动力煤均价大概率环比逐季改善。加之短期上市公司中报业绩向好，优质公司估值吸引力明显，配置性价比仍在。

7月以来建材市场一直“沉迷”于下半年粗钢不超过去年整体量的“气氛组”，期螺对于供应端减量预期满满，现货市场跟随期货走强；“红火”的背后，出货欠佳，房地产数据表现较为“勉强”等需求弱势情况，似乎一直在被忽略。8月18日黑色系期货踏上“十米跳台”，单日数据来看，螺纹钢期货下探超过400点。就目前来看，市场交易逻辑逐步从“强供应预期”转化为“弱需求”。