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Rain's likelihood, coverage taken into account

The National Weather Service calculates a probability of precipitation, or PoP, which describes the likelihood of measurable rain (at least 0.01 inches) occurring in a given time in the forecast area. The PoP is calculated by multiplying two factors: the certainty that rain will fall and its widespread coverage. While expressing the precipitation forecast as a single-event probability can cause confusion, understanding the probability of precipitation as a percentage can help with planning outdoor activities. ....

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