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The burden of aortic aneurysm in China from 1990 to 2019: findings from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019 | BMC Public Health

Aortic aneurysm (AA) is a global public health concern. However, little is known about the disease burden of AA in China. Following the general analytic strategy used in the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2019, we analyzed the mortality and years of life lost (YLLs) due to AA, stratified by sex, age, and province-level region in China from 1990 to 2019. The temporal trend of AA burden in China was analyzed and the main attributable risk factors for AA in China were also explored. In China, the total AA deaths were 17,038 (95% UI: 14,392-19,980) in 2019, an increase of 136.1% compared with that in 1990, with an age-standardized death rate (ASDR) of 0.93 (95% UI: 0.79-1.08) per 100,000 person-years in 2019, a decrease of 6.8%. Meanwhile AA caused 378,578 (95% UI: 315,980-450,479) YLLs in 2019, an increase of 102.6% compared with that in 1990, with a crude YLL rate of 26.6 (95% UI: 22.2-31.7) per 100,000 person-years, an increase of 68.6%. The AA mortality and YLLs were higher in ma ....

United States , Hong Kong , Macau General , Graphpad Software Inc , Environmental Systems Research Institute Inc , International Classification Of Diseases , National Cancer Institute , Applications Branch , Chinese Center , Statistical Research , Adobe Systems Inc , R Foundation For Statistical Computing , International Classification , Death Ensemble , Disease Control , Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average , Macao Special Administrative Regions , Supplementary Figure , Factor Collaborators , Graphpad Prism , Graphpad Software , Environmental Systems Research Institute , Statistical Computing , Adobe Illustrator ,

How did the COVID-19 pandemic impact the circulation of other respiratory viruses in New York City?

Researchers from Columbia University have been investigating the impact of the pandemic on the spread of non-coronavirus respiratory viral infections in New York. ....

New York , United States , Columbia University , Sam Hancockoct , Ivan Marc Shutterstock , Sam Hancock , Image Credit , Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average , Coronavirus Disease Covid 19 ,

A 9 % growth is NOT realistic !

Fatal fault lines in macro-economic management – short and long term – crisscrossing each other have emerged in the recent past. With an economy that… ....

World Bank , Statistics Office , Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average , Hon Minister , உலகம் வங்கி , புள்ளிவிவரங்கள் அலுவலகம் , க .ரவ அமைச்சர் ,

Trend analysis and forecasting the spread of COVID-19


(1)
. Therefore, only q errors will affect the existing
level, but higher order errors do not affect
. This indicates that it is a short memory model.
Auto-Regression (AR)
p, an AR (
(2)
The model is described in terms of past values and therefore we would like to estimate the coefficients
, and use the model for forecasting. All previous values will have cumulative effects on the existing
level, which is a long-run memory model.
Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) Process
ARIMA modeling methods were used in this study based on a common method available for modeling and forecasting the time series data. ARIMA is the most common class of time series models which can be made “stationary” by differencing (if necessary), possibly in combination with non-linear transformations such as logging or deflating (if necessary) ....

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