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Benefit those down ballot. we've been focusing on the senate race, reportedly one of the most contested senate races as we head to the midterms. >> i think it's a big deal, david. it's the first day of early voting. 60% of the vote will be in after this two-week early voting period so we'll know a lot. the republicans want to turn out the base so they're bringing president trump into the heart of rural nevada where all these republicans, including down ballot candidates need to do really, really well to make up for what is going to essentially be big losses where i'm sitting in las vegas in cl...

Blue wave, it's not on me? >> you really can't square that -- this is a bit of cognitive dissonance from the president where he's trying to have it both ways. he wants to have -- he wants to juice republican base turnout, which does require -- he's still the leader of the republican party, the most powerful surrogate they have on the campaign trail. sew has to say those things on the campaign trail and the oval office and the safety of the white house and the political insulation of the white house in the oval office. he's going to have a different message. and that's likely the message we're ...

We've been seeing at these special elections is republicans are not necessarily fighting on the positives. they are in an attempt to gin up their base turnout. they are running ads about immigration primarily. is that going to have to be the strategy if they have any hope of maintaining control of the house? >> i'm not sure it's going to work. also they're running this idea which seems to be a bannon idea that we're running against impeachment, right? that the democrats get in charge, there will be impeachment. i'm not sure the country wants impeachment but i'm not sure that's going to be comp...

Looking forward to november, i would recommend it is clear, you must, if you are a republican candidate, have you got to hug the president for one reason and one reason alone and that's because the president has uncanny ability to generate base turnout. that's what these mid terms elections are all about. there are two things these candidates have to do. hug president trump because he will help turn out your base and, two, run on the trump agenda. that's how you get those swing voters because his agenda is incredibly popular as well. brian: right. and the economy going well, not necessarily a ...

>> so i findi find it fascinati well o'connor did in franklin. he outperformed obama and clinton by 5 points there. in delaware county, balderson underperformed romney and mccain by 7 and 5 points. if you had told me that beforehand and said that he would even be in the race or let alone be winning it, i would have told you you'd be crazy. so i think it's a little disheartening for democrats how well o'connor did in his base and didn't win. >> right. jeremy peters, how much of this do you think is due to the strategy that cory bliss and his congressional leadership fund were running anti-immig...