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And kent county, michigan. the establishment republicans in this traditionally gop area, the avatar republican might be gerald ford and home of the newly independent congressman justin amash and beaver county, pennsylvania, whether the president can sustain the working class vote. key to the 2016 victory. and in florida, cuban and venezuelan voters, how they're trending that could be the difference in flipping florida by half a percentage point. and maricopa county, arizona, very diverse county in a very independent state. if maricopa is flipping blue, the whole state may flip as well. joini...

Counties have more in common with counties from other states than with counties within their own state. >> yes. >> which is why we do it this way. you just came back from beaver. that's a county that john kerry carried in 2004. >> unbelievable. >> by four points. >> yes. >> and now donald trump carried it by 19. >> these are the old labor democratic, shiny democrat guys. >> these are home blue collar democrat, reagan democrats and you're in a town, a river, a lot of towns around it, a steel mill closed and in al equipa, when the steel mill closed, 30, 40,000 jobs going away in the mid '80s. th...

>> interesting. >> and at the same time, the counter weight to that, which is something to explore, you have older people retiring there, and you are moving from the midwestern reddish to purple states. >> so in maricopa in particular, you have these kind of two population inflows that are changing. >> of our five counties, is maricopa the one that you would say, as maricopa goes, so goes the nation? >> i would say this. if the democrats win mare co ma, maricopa, i think they win arizona and if they win arizona it is hard to conceive how they would win arizona and lose. but in 2016, yes. >> mi...

Xfinity customer service simple, easy, awesome. not my thing. welcome back, we're very excited about a new initiative here at "meet the press," we're calling it county to county. from now until election day, we're spending time, even more granularly than we normally are in five counties in five of the closest battleground states across the country, these places are going to tell the story of this election and a group of voters that will have a critical impact on who wins the white house, and we picked our five counties because they help tell different stories of the electorate and not all sw...

Now that was basically almost a 20 point county, kent county, michigan in the same 2004 presidential, bush carried it by 20 points. it was the home of that wing of the republican party. >> yes. >> and this is a county that it will be a shock if trump wins it. >> yes, so the interesting thing is, you know, we always talk about michigan as a gaelgd state, we have for a long time and going democratic until 2016 and trump wins the state in 2016 and then as he does that, kent county, which is traditionally republican, the support drops. he lost ground. there unbelievable. so it is a perfect place w...