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I think that everyone is a kingmaker here, and the congresswoman had to do a lot with joe manchin and people like that and this congress. i think that is something that kevin mccarthy is going to have to do it in 2023 and 2024, the mic law learns, who had the triple seat chair in new york and also the marjorie taylor greene. at the core of your argument, whether there is a governing philosophy and its overarching in the house republican conference, i would concede that point, there s not a cohesive governing philosophy that is discernible. could that point, i think it s an important point that there will be, i don t know, seven, eight, nine members the biden district, biden plus seven, biden plus eight, those new york members who are going to want to be reelected. things like impeaching joe biden, probably not your smartest vote, a month after you ve got to congress. ....
With joe manchin and people like that and this congress. i think that is something that kevin mccarthy is going to have deal with in 2023 and 2024, the mic law learns, who had the triple seat chair in new york mike and also the marjorie taylor greene. at the core of your argument, whether there is a governing philosophy and its overarching in the house republican conference, i would concede that point, there s not a cohesive governing philosophy that is discernible. to that point, i think it s an important point that there will be, i don t know, seven, eight, nine members the biden districts, biden plus seven, biden plus eight, those new york members who are going to want to be reelected. things like impeaching joe biden out of the gate, probably not your smartest vote a month after you ve got to congress. ....
Congressional district. this one s gonna be close. that s with that math we were running early. this is steve shabbat a republican incumbent whose, district was redrawn into being a biden plus eight district. he s been challenged by member of the cincinnati city council greg landsman. so the big district is hamilton county, cincinnati plus this is warren county, republican territory. now look, shabbat is running up the score here in warren county. there s still votes to come, same-day votes. you expect to be that heavily republican, so shabbat with an opportunity to make gains here. but look at the cincinnati portion of the district which is bigger. two thirds of the vote already for landsman. now again, the same day vote should be more friendly for shabbat, but there s an opportunity for landsman s to still win and make gains with the same day vote and hamilton county. this is a very winnable race for democrats and if they win it, that s a pick up. you get a pick up of out of that dis ....
Incumbent will, biden won the district by eight points. how did biden ever win the it s not the district he got elected in. it s redistricting in ohio. it generally favored republicans except for steve shabbat. in fact, he was a sort of sacrificial lamb of their plan to maximize republican seats. correct. and it s part of the deals that they had to make an ohio since they kept intact here. and that s the more democratic part of that. there is a republican suburban county in here. it adds up to biden plus eight. so, chabot this is the kind of see if democrats can pick up this, it s a net gain for them. they have to win all the seats like this, among other things, to have a chance. because 7:30 pm poll closing time in ohio again, could get early and we should say, chabot is a long serving incumbent, right? part of the reason they put him in that seat is because they thought he could withstand this. let s talk about the senate races which, of course, our friend of mine ....