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The Demographic Costs of a War Over Taiwan

China’s population is already shrinking. The further demographic consequences of a Taiwan invasion would be devastating. ....

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Most Experts Agree: China Isn't About to Invade Taiwan – The Diplomat

A new report from the Swedish National China Centre finds that forecasts consistently rate the risk of armed conflict in the Taiwan strait as low. ....

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China Lacks Capabilities To Launch 'Ambitious' Taiwan Invasion, New Survey Finds

According to a recent survey, a majority of American and Taiwanese experts believe that China lacks the necessary capabilities to successfully carry out an amphibious invasion of Taiwan. ....

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Understanding China's Approach to Deterrence – The Diplomat

China’s approach to deterrence involves compelling as well as dissuading, and is intertwined with the idea of “war control.” ....

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China's 2024 Priorities Tucked in Xi Jinping's New Year Speech – The Diplomat

The president’s speech has a clear goal of boosting Chinese people’s declining confidence amid the past difficult years. ....

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