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Conservative democrats by double digits. i think it's an outlier but the fact is if he's going to win the nomination, look, he was up by 30 points in june. that's probably the margin he needs to be winning them if he wants to win the nomination. it's not a surprise given that he's only up by two among that group in this poll, that in this poll in particular he's down by a point to the other two candidates. >> but a poll is a snapshot in time. >> it is a snapshot in time and it is just one poll. >> dan merica, let's bring you in. crowd sizes. you know, as a person that loves to talk about crowd...

I still think this is joe interesting in terms of the tale of two summits. biden's race to lose because of there's the one in president his entrenched support among trump's mind where he's winning african-americans and other key the trade battle with china, he's the strongest president in constituencies in the democratic primary. the world. but elizabeth warren is gaining he's an enviromentalist. ground and her campaign he's done so much. operation, the organization we'll see how that pays off. but iowa is a state that i think and the summit that was in she will do very well in. actuality he f...

>> reporter: the 2020 contest has been remarkably stable throughout the summer. but campaign advisers tell cnn they believe the race could be far more fluid heading into the fall. a new monmouth university poll today shows a three-way fight with warren, bernie sanders and biden at the top of the field. yet that survey stands in contrast to a cnn poll last week that showed biden with a double-digit lead over sanders and warren. sanders is also drawing impressive crowds just like he did in 2016. a remainder that crowd sizes did not always translate to victory. but then, like now, the fight for t...

Has been remarkably stable throughout the summer. but campaign advisers tell cnn they believe the race could be far more fluid heading into the fall. a new monmouth university poll today shows a three-way fight with warren, bernie sanders, and biden at the top of the field. yet that survey stands in contrast to a cnn poll last week that showed biden with a double-digit lead over sanders and warren. sanders is also drawing impressive crowds. just like he did in 2016. a reminder that crowd sizes do not always translate to victory. but then, like now, the fight for the nomination is framed about ...

Picture. >> i'm serious about this and those crowd sizes show it. and you make the joke about how president trump would talk about his crowd size in 2016 but there was something telling in the crowd and the actual crowds he got and places he was able to fill at time that the media, including myself sort of missed because our heads were buried in the polling and it speaks to that idea of having strength and power. i also think what this poll said with the moderate and conservative democrats or middle or whatever we're calling them, as well as the fact that 53% of democratic voters want the syst...