Gop at 197. that leaves 114 electoral votes in the toss-up column. that's been moved to president obama's favor. why? >> it has. there are pretty much three factors. one, president obama's political standing has improved since the debt ceiling blues back in the summer. you've seen better economic numbers which have obviously helped him. of course, in between the last time we did this map in november and now, we've been in the full throes of the republican primary season. you look at almost all these polling and the divisive primary season has not been good so far for the republican party. >> m...