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Cap weinberger, frank carlucci that republican party, the problemen party of dick lugar and john tower. but in recent years, there's been a significant shift to the right and we have seen what that shift has produced, two losing presidential campaigns. i think what the republican party needs to do now is take a very hard look at itself and understand that the country is changed. the country is changing demo graphically. if the republican party does not change along with that demographic, they are going to be in trouble. so, when we see this in one more generation, the minorities of america, af...

Why? >> i'm one of the only people that talks on tv that is a pollster, made my living to doing it. there are three sources of distortion in these polls you are looking at. the first is this is the first election when turnout matters. romney doesn't get any black votes, only a few latino votes. obama did very well among college students, poorly among the elderly. it makes who you are demo graphically. while many of these polls like rasmussen use likely voters, what they then do is weight the sample so it reflects what they believe the turnout is going to be. >> sean: 2008 model versus the 2010...

good evening, everyone, i'm erin burnett and "outfront" tonight live from jer ruse level the old city is behind me, as you can see the walls. just a few hours ago, the sirens went off in the city people stopping on the sides of the streets in honor of the beginning of memorial day. later on this week exit will be the 64th anniversary of the state of israel. it is an important week in this country and and it is an important decision whether to strike or not strike iran, a conversation topic at dinner tables around the world and crucial election issue in the united states as well. matt...

75,000 in our poll, how to broke down in wisconsin. 65% of wisconsin republicans have an income of less than 75,000. 35% over. 100,000 break down in our exit polls. you can see where it slots in here, wisconsin income-wise, somewhere between illinois and michigan. moderate lay romney state. what does that look like here? we know romney won ohio by one, he won michigan bay three, won illinois by 12. if you believe that demographics are destiny, then it is going to be somewhere between five and ten, which, of course, our poll had romney up seven, smack dab in the middle, if that is what the turn...

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