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China's Secret Plan To Sink the U.S. Navy Comes From a Century-Old Playbook Grave tensions in Russo-Turkish relations serve as a timely reminder that great power tensions can spiral downward all too rapidly. China is taking notes from World War I, and maybe the United States should too.  Here's What You Need to Remember: Beijing is taking lessons from Bismarck when it comes to sea power.  Grave tensions in Russo-Turkish relations serve as a timely reminder that great power tensions can spiral downward all too rapidly. Diplomats in Washington, Ankara, Moscow, and throughout Europe should be...

The Chinese defense media does not miss much, especially concerning the capabilities of U.S. Navy carrier groups. Here's What You Need To Remember: An article in a Chinese military journal demonstrates how Chinese military analysts are diligently probing for cracks in the U.S. Navy’s armor, as they seek to develop their own naval capabilities Early in 2015, a curious and disturbing report surfaced briefly and then disappeared—almost without a trace. The report, apparently published and then quickly retracted, had been posted by the French Ministry of Defense and concerned the successful...

How China Is Closing the Submarine Gap With the U.S. Navy A somewhat subtle, but nonetheless, important signal of that intention is the PLAN’s fielding of its very first large-size unmanned undersea vehicle (UUV), the HSU001. Here's What You Need to Remember: The robot submarine (and unmanned surface ship) era is now nearly upon us. Chinese naval strategist have, moreover, stated explicitly that they intend to circumvent their long-recognized weakness in submarine warfare by cultivating undersea AI and by developing highly capable UUVs. The Achilles Heel of the Chinese Navy has long be...

Even China Wonders if It Can Avoid a Great Power War With America Great power competition is back and it may not result in a major war, but it has got leaders in Washington and Beijing a bit nervous. Key point: The Cold War was full of accidents and miscommunications that nearly ended in bloodshed. Can America and China avoid a terrible fate? It has become quite common to use historical analogies to describe the complex Sino-American relationship. At the centenary of the First World War, the comparison between China’s rise and that of Wilhelmine Germany has been widely made. However, a pat...

The One Flaw In China's Military Rise: No Combat Experience Beijing likes to talk a big talk, but a good military needs experience in addition to modern equipment and training. Key point: Crack troops aren't called that for nothing. Here is why real-life experience with the stress of war matters for winning future fights. A new assessment of the Chinese military by a reputable U.S. think tank concludes, in effect, that “the emperor has no clothes.” The authors of this report seem to be wary lest “… the US might be inclined to assume China has more sway in international affairs than ...