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800,000 Years of Climate Risk - FEDERAL RESERVE BANK of NEW YORK

We use a long history of global temperature and atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) concentration to
estimate the conditional joint evolution of temperature and CO2 at a millennial frequency. We document
three basic facts. First, the temperature–CO2 dynamics are non-linear, so that large deviations in either
temperature or CO2 concentrations take a long time to correct–on the scale of multiple millennia. Second,
the joint dynamics of temperature and CO2 concentrations exhibit multimodality around historical turning
points in temperature and concentration cycles, so that prior to the start of cooling periods, there is a
noticeable probability that temperature and CO2 concentrations may continue to increase. Finally,
evaluating the future evolution of temperature and CO2 concentration conditional on alternative scenarios
realizing, we document that, even conditional on the net-zero 2050 scenario, there remains a significant
risk of elevated temperatur ....

Dulani Seneviratne , Tobias Adrian , Domenico Giannone , Nina Boyarchenko , Ananthakrishnan Prasad , Yanzhe Xiao , Staff Reports , Climate Risk , Climate Change , Gfs Scenarios ,

Metals demand from energy transition may top current global supply

Metals demand from energy transition may top current global supply
tynmagazine.com - get the latest breaking news, showbiz & celebrity photos, sport news & rumours, viral videos and top stories from tynmagazine.com Daily Mail and Mail on Sunday newspapers.

South Africa , Democratic Republic Of The Congo , Dulani Seneviratne , Martin Stuermer , Ananthakrishnan Prasad , Nico Valckx , International Energy Agency Net , Smart Mining Initiative , World Bank , October World Economic Outlook , International Energy Agency , Democratic Republic , Climate Smart Mining Initiative ,